Rebuilding to Contention (Part IV)

Austin Wallace

2013-07-29

 

GustavNyquist USA Today

 

Targeting long term prospects who will be worth the wait.



To effectively rebuild a fantasy team, you must take advantage of certain situations. The primary advantage afforded to most teams is often dramatic value fluctuation that some players seem to take. Depending on the in-depthness and progression of your rebuild at least one and as many as three years of production mean zilch to you. If your plan doesn't see you contending for three years, the only reason that a player's next two years of production matter is if you are considering trading him. When you can let go of the wise and oft adhered to "three year rule", the possibilities for trading are endless. All of a sudden Kuznetsov is worth much more than St. Louis, and getting Berglund for Burrows is a good deal in a multi-cat league.

 

While youth is obviously integral to any rebuild, prospects aren't the be all and end all of a rebuild.  In addition, take a look at younger players who are in relatively bad situations, and target them. If that statement started alarm bells ringing in your head, you passed the test. The vast majority of good GMs feel the same way, and for good reason. Conventional wisdom aside, look at the history of players in bad situations and see how many of those turned around within three years. Recent examples include Cody Hodgson coming up where there was no spot for him and Jakub Voracek being stuck in Columbus with no end in sight. Now Bobby Ryan has been liberated from behind Corey Perry and Ryan Getzlaf (though it remains to be seen how much that helps him). While all of those players were somewhat costly to acquire, even before their situations turned around, that cost would now be a lot higher in each case.



Also, take a look at young prospects that are significantly undervalued because of their wait times. If there are two prospects expected to get 45 points three years from now, but only one will be in the NHL this year, that prospect's value is often inflated. Since you only care about the value a few years from now, the cheaper prospect is often bet