Looking Ahead: Week Five
Bob Fisher
2013-10-25
Looking ahead to the best fantasy options for Week Five.
* This article was written prior to NHL games played on Thursday, October 24, 2013
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Here are a couple teams to target and avoid for the next week or two as well as several players to target that may be available in your league.
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New York Rangers = Target
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Games: 7 (5H/2A)
Favorable Matchups:
- @ Detroit – Bookending their shootout shutout loss to San Jose, Detroit has allowed five and six goals to Phoenix and Ottawa, respectively. Seems like feast or famine with them right now since Jimmy Howard returned from his injured hand.
- @ NY Islanders – Nine goals against in their last two games and Evgeni Nabokov has looked shaky in both starts posting .826 and .848 save percentages. Last week I touted the Isles as a solid defensive team, guess I was kidding.
- vs. Buffalo – Like Steve mentioned in the ramblings on Thursday, Buffalo is fantasy hockey medicine for your struggling players going up against them. 15 goals against in their last four games.
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The Rangers are one of three teams to play seven games over the next two weeks. They also return home from their season-opening road trip and play five of their next seven games at MSG. Five of the teams they face average more than two and half goals against per game. Still no Ryan Callahan or Rick Nash for the foreseeable future, so look for Brad Richards and Derek Stepan to lead the way offensively for the Blue Shirts.
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Chicago Blackhawks = Consider
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Games: 6 (4H/2A)
Favorable Matchups:
- @ Winnipeg – 13 goals against in the last four games. Ondrej Pavelec is sporting a 3.09 GAA and .901 SV%.
- vs. Calgary – Bottom four team in goals against average and dead last in PK% (69.0%).
- vs. Winnipeg – See above.
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Odds are most of the Blackhawks top six are owned in your pool and they should be started with regularity, but this is a little reassurance. No one on the team is scoring at a point per game pace, but with one small scoring streak, that could change. Take a shot with your Hawks as you normally would.
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New Jersey Devils = Beware
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Games: 4 (2H/2A)
Unfavorable Matchups:
- @ Boston – Second best defensive team averaging a goal and half against per game. Fourth best PK in the league. Boston is good, New Jersey is not.
- @ Minnesota – Surprisingly, in the top four defensively despite a rather non-stellar 74.4% PK success rate. Josh Harding has performed admirably in Niklas Backstrom's absence.
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Aside from back-to-back games on November 2nd and 3rd, New Jersey has at least two off days between each of their next five games. Four games in 13 days, coupled with being 26th in the league in goals scored per game and a 13.3% powerplay means it may be time to bench those Devils.
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Nashville Predators = Avoid
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Games: 4 (1H/3A)
Unfavorable Matchups:
- vs. St. Louis – Ken Hitchcock
- @ Phoenix – Dave Tippett
- @ Los Angeles – Darryl Sutter
- @ Colorado – Patrick Roy
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Just look at that schedule. Only four games, three of which are on the road, all against notoriously defensive teams plus a game against the surprisingly stingy Avalanche (best defensive team and best PK in the NHL). Pekka Rinne is out for at least the next month, so fantasy owners are hurting there. Now owners of Predator forwards are going to be feeling the pain.
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Possible Pickups
Here's a list of some players, owned in less than 30% of Yahoo leagues, to target for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule.
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NY Rangers: Taylor Pyatt (0%) – No Rangers are really lighting it up lately since they've played one game in the past week and were shutout by the Devils. If Pyatt sticks on the Brad Richards and Derick Brassard line, then he has the best odds at chipping in points.
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Chicago: Andrew Shaw (6%) – Getting top unit powerplay time with Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane and Patrick Sharp. Good enough for me.
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Montreal: Brian Gionta (4%) – Tomas Plekanec has been turning it on lately and Gionta is lining up with him even strength and the powerplay. Gionta has two points in the past three games along with 12 shots on goal.
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Pittsburgh: Chuck Kobasew (1%) – Taking James Neal's spot along with Evgeni Malkin and Jussi Jokinen for the time being.
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Dallas: Rich Peverley (2%) – Two points in the last two games playing with Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin at even strength and second line PP time.
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Light Day Targets
Want to know what teams to target based on their schedule landing on light days for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule?
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Week 2: Monday, October 28 through Sunday, November 3
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Thursday: 6 teams
Sunday: 6 teams
Wednesday: 8 teams
Monday: 10 teams
Tuesday: 16 teams
Friday: 16 teams
Saturday: 26 teams
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As usual, Saturday is jam packed with all but four teams having a game scheduled. Tuesday is somewhat heavy with just over half the league being in action. The rare thing here is the unusually light (three games) Thursday and heavy (eight games) Friday.
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So what teams have a good schedule for the light days?
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Dallas Stars: Monday, Tuesday, Friday and Sunday
New York Rangers: Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday
Chicago Blackhawks: Monday, Tuesday, Saturday and Sunday
Pittsburgh Penguins: Monday, Wednesday, Friday and Saturday
Calgary Flames: Wednesday, Friday and Sunday
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Friday, October 25 to Thursday, October 31 |
Best Bets |
Toronto (4.28) – 4 Games: @CBJ, PIT, @EDM, @CGY |
Buffalo (4.24) – 4 Games: @FLA, @TB, DAL, @NYR |
NY Rangers (4.15) – 4 Games: @DET, MTL, @NYI, BUF |
Pittsburgh (3.94) – 4 Games: NYI, @TOR, @CAR, BOS |
Anaheim (3.80) – 4 Games: @OTW, @CBJ, @PHI, @BOS |
Steer Clear |
Minnesota (1.80) – 2 Games: @CHI, CHI |
New Jersey (1.91) – 2 Games: @BOS, TB |
Nashville (1.95) – 2 Games: STL, @PHX
📢 advertisement:
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Carolina (1.95) – 2 Games: @COL, PIT |
Detroit (2.05) – 2 Games: NYR, @VAN |
Saturday, October 26 to Friday, November 1 |
Best Bets |
Tampa Bay (4.24) – 4 Games: BUF, @FLA, @NJ, @CAR |
NY Rangers (4.15) – 4 Games: @DET, MTL, @NYI, BUF |
Dallas (4.15) – 4 Games: WPG, @BUF, @MTL, COL |
Montreal (4.10) – 4 Games: SJ, @NYR, DAL, @MIN |
Pittsburgh (3.94) – 4 Games: @TOR, @CAR, BOS, CBJ |
Steer Clear |
New Jersey (1.91) – 2 Games: @BOS, TB |
Nashville (1.95) – 2 Games: STL, @PHX |
Columbus (2.05) – 2 Games: ANH, @PIT |
Florida (2.10) – 2 Games: TB, STL |
Carolina (2.15) – 2 Games: PIT, TB |
Sunday, October 27 to Saturday, November 2 |
Best Bets |
NY Rangers (4.31) – 4 Games: MTL, @NYI, BUF, CAR |
Los Angeles (4.21) – 4 Games: EDM, @PHX, SJ, NSH |
Tampa Bay (4.09) – 4 Games: @FLA, @NJ, @CAR, STL |
Montreal (4.01) – 4 Games: @NYR, DAL, @MIN, @COL |
Pittsburgh (3.99) – 4 Games: @CAR, BOS, CBJ, @CBJ |
Steer Clear |
Nashville (1.85) – 2 Games: @PHX, @LA |
Minnesota (2.00) – 2 Games: CHI, MTL |
Calgary (2.10) – 2 Games: TOR, DET |
New Jersey (2.26) – 2 Games: TB, PHI |
Winnipeg (2.75) – 3 Games: @COL, @STL, CHI |
Monday, October 28 to Sunday, November 3 |
Best Bets |
NY Rangers (4.31) – 4 Games: MTL, @NYI, BUF, CAR |
Chicago (4.31) – 4 Games: @MIN, OTW, @WPG, CGY |
Montreal (4.01) – 4 Games: @NYR, DAL, @MIN, @COL |
Pittsburgh (3.99) – 4 Games: @CAR, BOS, CBJ, @CBJ |
Dallas (3.94) – 4 Games: @BUF, @MTL, COL, @OTW |
Steer Clear |
Winnipeg (1.85) – 2 Games: @STL, CHI |
Nashville (1.85) – 2 Games: @PHX, @LA |
San Jose (1.95) – 2 Games: @LA, PHX |
Columbus (2.00) – 2 Games: @PIT, PIT |
Florida (2.04) – 2 Games: STL, @WSH |
Tuesday, October 29 to Monday, November 4 |
Best Bets |
NY Rangers (4.36) – 4 Games: @NYI, BUF, CAR, ANH |
Detroit (4.23) – 4 Games: @VAN, @CGY, @EDM, @WPG |
Anaheim (3.90) – 4 Games: @PHI, @BOS, @BUF, @NYR |
Chicago (3.36) – 3 Games: OTW, @WPG, CGY |
Philadelphia (3.26) – 3 Games: ANH, WSH, @NJ |
Steer Clear |
Nashville (1.85) – 2 Games: @PHX, @LA |
San Jose (1.95) – 2 Games: @LA, PHX |
Columbus (2.00) – 2 Games: @PIT, PIT |
Florida (2.04) – 2 Games: STL, @WSH |
Colorado (2.10) – 2 Games: @DAL, MTL |
Wednesday, October 30 to Tuesday, November 5 |
Best Bets |
Detroit (4.23) – 4 Games: @VAN, @CGY, @EDM, @WPG |
Boston (4.21) – 4 Games: @PIT, ANH, @NYI, DAL |
Calgary (3.91) – 4 Games: TOR, DET, @CHI, @MIN |
Minnesota (3.41) – 3 Games: MTL, NJ, CGY |
NY Rangers (3.36) – 3 Games: BUF, CAR, ANH |
Steer Clear |
Nashville (1.85) – 2 Games: @PHX, @LA |
Tampa Bay (2.00) – 2 Games: @CAR, STL |
Winnipeg (2.00) – 2 Games: CHI, DET |
Los Angeles (2.05) – 2 Games: SJ, NSH |
Toronto (2.09) – 2 Games: @CGY, @VAN |
Thursday, October 31 to Wednesday, November 6 |
Best Bets |
NY Rangers (4.41) – 4 Games: BUF, CAR, ANH, PIT |
Phoenix (4.00) – 4 Games: NSH, @SJ, VAN, @ANH |
Anaheim (3.90) – 4 Games: @BOS, @BUF, @NYR, PHX |
Chicago (3.46) – 3 Games: @WPG, CGY, WPG |
Minnesota (3.41) – 3 Games: MTL, NJ, CGY |
Steer Clear |
Toronto (0.95) – 1 Games: @VAN |
Los Angeles (1.05) – 1 Games: NSH |
Tampa Bay (2.00) – 2 Games: @CAR, STL |
Vancouver (2.00) – 2 Games: TOR, @PHX |
New Jersey (2.11) – 2 Games: PHI, @MIN |
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