Looking Ahead: Week 25

Bob Fisher

2014-03-28

AndersLee


Five players to target in Week 25…


Here are some teams to target and avoid for the next week or two, several players to target that may be available in your league as well as teams that play a light schedule in the upcoming week.

 

Anaheim Ducks = Target

 

Games: 8 (4H/4A)

Favorable Matchups:

    – @ Edmonton x 2

        > 3rd worst defensive team

        > 6th most shots allowed per game

        > 16 goals allowed in past three games (5.33 GAA)

    – vs. Edmonton

        > See above

 

That's really all you need to see.  The Ducks face the Oilers three times over the next ten days.  Over the next two weeks, Anaheim is one of only three teams to play eight games.  In addition, they face the Canucks twice and the Jets and Predators once apiece.  So their next seven games are against non-playoff teams, some of which are vulnerable to letting in goals in bunches.  Expect much of the same from Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry.  While Mathieu Perreault , Nick Bonino and Teemu Selanne should provide damn good secondary scoring numbers.

 

Ottawa Senators = Consider

 

Games: 7 (5H/2A)

Favorable Matchups:

    – vs. NY Islanders

        > Worst defensive team

        > 2nd worst penalty kill

        > 45 goals allowed in 13 games since John Tavares' injury (3.46 GAA)

    – @ NY Islanders

        > See above

 

Much like the Ducks, the Senators are here because they will attempt to feast on the same team multiple times over the coming weeks.  The Islanders are the worst defensive team in the league right now and have nothing to play for, really.  Coupled with that, Ottawa has games against Calgary and Carolina to help boost their offensive totals.  It's not like Ottawa is playing for much either, so we could see some wide open games.

 

Nashville Predators = Beware

 

Games: 5 (1H/4A)

Unfavorable Matchups:

    – @ Anaheim

        > 6th best defensive team

        > 8th fewest shots allowed per game

        > 11 goals allowed in past five games (2.20 GAA)

    – @ San Jose

        > 4th best defensive team

        > 7th best penalty kill

        > 5th fewest shots allowed per game

 

Last week the Predators were a "Consider" team and they put up six on Calgary, two on Chicago, four on Colorado and six on Buffalo (18 goals in four games = 4.5 goals per game).  That's a pretty solid hit for me.  Now I'm leaning the other way.  Just one game at home between now and April 10th, including stops in Anaheim and San Jose.  I don't see that 4.5 goals/game continuing.

 

Vancouver Canucks = Avoid

 

Games: 4 (4H/0A)

Unfavorable Matchups:

    – vs. Anaheim x 2

        > See above

    – vs. NY Rangers

        > 5th best defensive team

        > 6th best penalty kill

        > 19 goals allowed in past 11 games (1.73 GAA)

    – vs. Los Angeles

        > 2nd best defensive team

        > 3rd fewest shots allowed per game

        > Nine goals allowed on current five-game winning streak (1.80 GAA)

 

The Canucks have the fewest games of any NHL team between now and April 9th.  All four of their games over that period are against top defensive clubs that are in the playoffs.  Vancouver has gone on a nice little run; winning three of their past four and keeping their playoff hopes alive.  This upcoming schedule will see to it they don't make the postseason, especially because they've played more games than any of the teams they are chasing or tied with (Dallas).

 

Possible Pickups

Here's a list of some players, owned in less than 30% of Yahoo leagues, to target for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule.

 

Anaheim: Mathieu Perreault (7%) – Currently on six-game point streak, four of which are goals.  Six penalty minutes, +3, 17 hits and 13 shots on goal over the same span.

 

NY Islanders: Andres Lee (5%) – Nine points in his past ten while being a +5 on a crappy Islander team.  Another impressive stat: 35 shots.

 

New Jersey: Adam Henrique (26%)Patrik Elias seems to be the only Devil still producing and he's dragging Henrique to four points in his past four with a +3, 2 PIMs and 6 hits.

 

Columbus: Boone Jenner (2%) – Centering two of Columbus' most gifted offensive players in Ryan Johansen and Nathan Horton.  He's recently held onto that spot on the powerplay (which is a good sign).

 

Florida: Scottie Upshall (4%) – Not much to cheer about in Florida, but Upshall does lead the team in points, plus/minus and game-winners. 

 

 

Light Day Targets

Want to know what teams to target based on their schedule landing on light days for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule?

 

Week: Monday, March 31st through Sunday, April 6th

 

Monday: 8 teams

Tuesday: 22 teams

Wednesday: 8 teams

Thursday: 18 teams

Friday: 14 teams

Saturday: 22 teams

Sunday: 12 teams

 

Different week, same schedule.

 

So what teams have a good schedule for the light days?

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thur

Fri

Sat

Sun

Anaheim Ducks

X

 

X

 

X

 

X

Ottawa Senators

X

 

X

 

X

X

 

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Los Angeles Kings

X

 

X

X

 

X

 

Florida Panthers

X

X

 

 

X

 

X

Edmonton Oilers

 

X

X

 

X

 

X

 

Friday, March 28 to Thursday, April 3

Best Bets

Ottawa (4.46) – 4 Games: CHI, CGY, CAR, NYI

Anaheim (4.35) – 4 Games: @EDM, @VAN, WPG, EDM

Tampa Bay (4.15) – 4 Games: @BUF, @DET, MTL, CGY

Carolina (4.10) – 4 Games: CBJ, @OTW, @PIT, DAL

NY Rangers (4.04) – 4 Games: @CGY, @EDM, @VAN, @COL

Steer Clear

Vancouver (1.89) – 2 Games: ANH, NYR

Montreal (2.04) – 2 Games: @FLA, @TB

Nashville (2.05) – 2 Games: @DAL, WSH

Minnesota (2.66) – 3 Games: @PHX, @LA, @CHI

Colorado (2.79) – 3 Games: SJ, @CBJ, NYR

Saturday, March 29 to Friday, April 4

Best Bets

New Jersey (4.50) – 4 Games: @NYI, FLA, @BUF, WSH

Ottawa (4.46) – 4 Games: CGY, CAR, NYI, MTL

Anaheim (4.36) – 4 Games: @VAN, WPG, EDM, NSH

Florida (4.20) – 4 Games: MTL, @NJ, @NYI, CGY

Calgary (4.18) – 4 Games: @OTW, @TOR, @TB, @FLA

Steer Clear

Vancouver (1.89) – 2 Games: ANH, NYR

Nashville (1.96) – 2 Games: WSH, @ANH

Minnesota (2.66) – 3 Games: @PHX, @LA, @CHI

Philadelphia (2.70) – 3 Games: BOS, @STL, CBJ

Dallas (2.76) – 3 Games: @STL, @WSH, @CAR

Sunday, March 30 to Saturday, April 5

Best Bets

Ottawa (5.32) – 5 Games: CGY, CAR, NYI, MTL, @NYR

New Jersey (4.31) – 4 Games: FLA, @BUF, WSH, @CAR

NY Rangers (4.20) – 4 Games: @EDM, @VAN, @COL, OTW

Calgary (4.18) – 4 Games: @OTW, @TOR, @TB, @FLA

Tampa Bay (4.15) – 4 Games: @DET, MTL, CGY, DAL

Steer Clear

Vancouver (1.84) – 2 Games: NYR, LA

Colorado (2.70) – 3 Games: @CBJ, NYR, @STL

Minnesota (2.71) – 3 Games: @LA, @CHI, PIT

Buffalo (2.76) – 3 Games: NJ, @STL, @DET

Nashville (2.77) – 3 Games: WSH, @ANH, @SJ

Monday, March 31 to Sunday, April 6

Best Bets

Anaheim (4.51) – 4 Games: WPG, EDM, NSH, @EDM

NY Islanders (4.35) – 4 Games: FLA, @OTW, WSH, @CBJ

New Jersey (4.31) – 4 Games: FLA, @BUF, WSH, @CAR

Columbus (4.26) – 4 Games: COL, @PHI, CHI, NYI

Florida (4.25) – 4 Games: @NJ, @NYI, CGY, DAL

Steer Clear

Nashville (1.66) – 2 Games: @ANH, @SJ

Vancouver (1.84) – 2 Games: NYR, LA

Minnesota (2.71) – 3 Games: @LA, @CHI, PIT

Chicago (2.79) – 3 Games: MIN, @CBJ, STL

Detroit (2.90) – 3 Games: BOS, BUF, @MTL

Tuesday, April 1 to Monday, April 7

Best Bets

NY Islanders (4.35) – 4 Games: FLA, @OTW, WSH, @CBJ

Anaheim (4.35) – 4 Games: EDM, NSH, @EDM, @VAN

Columbus (4.26) – 4 Games: COL, @PHI, CHI, NYI

New Jersey (4.25) – 4 Games: @BUF, WSH, @CAR, CGY

St. Louis (4.16) – 4 Games: PHI, BUF, COL, @CHI

Steer Clear

Nashville (1.66) – 2 Games: @ANH, @SJ

Vancouver (2.78) – 3 Games: NYR, LA, ANH

Chicago (2.79) – 3 Games: MIN, @CBJ, STL

Los Angeles (2.81) – 3 Games: PHX, @SJ, @VAN

Detroit (2.90) – 3 Games: BOS, BUF, @MTL

Wednesday, April 2 to Tuesday, April 8

Best Bets

NY Islanders (4.35) – 4 Games: @OTW, WSH, @CBJ, OTW

Anaheim (4.35) – 4 Games: EDM, NSH, @EDM, @VAN

Columbus (4.26) – 4 Games: @PHI, CHI, NYI, PHX

Ottawa (4.25) – 4 Games: NYI, MTL, @NYR, @NYI

St. Louis (4.21) – 4 Games: BUF, COL, @CHI, WSH

Steer Clear

Vancouver (1.84) – 2 Games: LA, ANH

San Jose (2.00) – 2 Games: LA, NSH

Montreal (2.14) – 2 Games: @OTW, DET

Nashville (2.61) – 3 Games: @ANH, @SJ, @DAL

Chicago (2.79) – 3 Games: MIN, @CBJ, STL

Thursday, April 3 to Wednesday, April 9

Best Bets

Columbus (5.21) – 5 Games: @PHI, CHI, NYI, PHX, @DAL

Dallas (5.15) – 5 Games: @CAR, @TB, @FLA, NSH, CBJ

St. Louis (4.21) – 4 Games: BUF, COL, @CHI, WSH

Philadelphia (4.06) – 4 Games: CBJ, @BOS, BUF, @FLA

Anaheim (4.04) – 4 Games: NSH, @EDM, @VAN, SJ

Steer Clear

Vancouver (1.84) – 2 Games: LA, ANH

Phoenix (2.16) – 2 Games: EDM, @CBJ

Nashville (2.61) – 3 Games: @ANH, @SJ, @DAL

Los Angeles (2.80) – 3 Games: @SJ, @VAN, @CGY

San Jose (2.85) – 3 Games: LA, NSH, @ANH

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UPCOMING GAMES

Mar 28 - 19:03 OTT vs CHI
Mar 28 - 19:03 TOR vs WSH
Mar 28 - 19:03 MTL vs PHI
Mar 28 - 19:03 PIT vs CBJ
Mar 28 - 19:03 FLA vs NYI
Mar 28 - 19:03 CAR vs DET
Mar 28 - 20:03 MIN vs S.J
Mar 28 - 20:03 STL vs CGY
Mar 28 - 20:03 WPG vs VGK
Mar 28 - 21:03 EDM vs L.A
Mar 28 - 21:03 COL vs NYR
Mar 28 - 22:03 SEA vs ANA
Mar 28 - 22:03 VAN vs DAL
Mar 28 - 22:03 ARI vs NSH

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
TAGE THOMPSON BUF
JJ PETERKA BUF
ANTHONY DUCLAIR T.B
JORDAN GREENWAY BUF
JURAJ SLAFKOVSKY MTL

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
ALEKSEI KOLOSOV PHI
JOONAS KORPISALO OTT
KAREL VEJMELKA ARI
UKKO-PEKKA LUUKKONEN BUF
JUSTUS ANNUNEN COL

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency DET Players
13.0 LUCAS RAYMOND DYLAN LARKIN ALEX DEBRINCAT
9.3 DAVID PERRON ALEX DEBRINCAT J.T. COMPHER
7.2 MICHAEL RASMUSSEN CHRISTIAN FISCHER ANDREW COPP

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