September 22, 2014

Dobber

2014-09-22

Thoughts on Merrill, Heatley, Beau Bennett, Brendan Smith, the domino effect in Columbus at forward – and more …

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Pre-season games? Pre-season games!

Soon there will be pre-season points available, and Frozen Pool has such a report. Click here. When it’s ready with the pre-season games, you simply select “exhibition 2014-15” and off you go.

Just a note about Frozen Pool – right now some of the features will not work if you are logged into DobberHockey. Weird, I know, because it’s supposed to be the opposite of that. But anyway, if you have any trouble with a Frozen Pool tool, simply return to the DobberHockey home page and logout. Then try it.

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Devils defenseman Jon Merrill collided with Ruslan Fedotenko during drills late last week and Merrill was forced to leave, reportedly “feeling woozy“. The team is playing it safe and holding him off the ice. I doubt this causes Merrill to miss much more than a week or so, but it being a concussion you can never know for sure. In the Guide I have him pencilled in for 75-6-24-30 with 28 PIM. In a three-year forecast for him – I have him favored over both Marek Zidlicky and Eric Gelinas, so keeper leagues keep that in mind.

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Not at all unexpected, Dany Heatley is practicing with Getzlaf and Perry in scrimmage sessions. Heatley has completely lost the magic and about the only thing in the NHL that can turn things back around is a Getzlaf-Perry situation like this one. I don’t have my hopes up, but if anything is going to work it will be this. Still, the experiment could be over surprisingly quick. As we saw with Selanne last season, Coach Bruce Boudreau will have little patience for big name vets who aren’t contributing due to an erosion of talent.

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It’s early of course, but Danny Cleary has been playing with Henrik Zetterberg and Johan Franzen and apparently showing no signs of knee problems. NHL.com reports that Coach Mike Babcock has been impressed with his play. However, if he forces his way into the lineup (and on a scoring line, at that), this is to the detriment of talented youngsters such as Gustav Nyquist, Tomas Tatar and Riley Sheahan. I’m all for kids “earning it”, but I get the sense that even if they earn it…they won’t earn it. Nyquist will never spend time in the press box, but I can see Tatar and/or Sheahan there once in awhile in the first month. Even though they won’t deserve it. Sounds ridiculous I know. But when a team signs too many vets, this is the result. One of the tougher teams to project for, that’s for sure.

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Dmitry Orlov is still sidelined with a broken wrist suffered back in May at the Worlds. But there is no pain in the wrist now and he hopes to return to practice before the season starts. An infection to the wrist had extended the healing process and at this point he may miss the first week or two of the regular season. I have Orlov for 72-6-20-26, 28 PIM in the Fantasy Guide.

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Derek Stepan blocked a shot Saturday and is now sidelined with a “foot contusion“. Consider him day to day. But you know Stepan – he’d probably play a regular season game minutes after a leg is chopped off.

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You don’t like seeing stuff like this – Jonathan Drouin is day-to-day with an upper-body injury. No more details beyond that. But anytime you have a player who is on the cusp of making the team and potentially debuting with 60 points, it makes drafting him in one-year leagues a more difficult decision if he misses camp time.

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Uh oh, Beau Bennett owners – not only do you have a Band-Aid Boy on your roster, but now the coach is happy with how he looks playing with Brandon Sutter and Steve Downie. Yes it’s early, but the line actually does look good together on paper, which of course means that another winger will be on the Malkin line.

Still with the Penguins, the team is sticking with Crosby – Malkin – Kunitz – Letang for the power play, but that precious fifth spot is up for grabs. It really looks as though they will go with four forwards though – and list Hornqvist, Bennett, Downie and Sutter as candidates. If so, then the puck movers such as Ehrhoff, Martin, Määttä and Pouliot will be in tough to produce points. I already have Martin ranked fairly low in terms of production, and I’m pretty cautious with the currently injured Määttä and Pouliot as well. But with this news, I would be a little more cautious – or rather “less excited” – when it comes to Ehrhoff.

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Let’s of Red Wings chatter today, but I’m finding a lot of interesting stuff on them. Apparently, Brendan Smith is getting a trial run in preseason games to play on the power play. Obviously if that happens you can pad his expected point totals by a good 10. Right now I have Smith for 69-7-15-22, 87 PIM.

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The closer we get to the season without Ryan Johansen putting pen to paper, the more realistic things become for other players to get an opportunity. Right now, the team is trying Alexander Wennberg, Brian Gibbons, Michael Chaput and Boone Jenner at center. Here is how I would see things falling out:

Brandon Dubinsky moves to first-line center and Artem Anisimov moves to second-line center. Both see a slight uptick in production.

– The third and fourth-line center spots would see Mark Letestu as one, and probably Jenner as the other. Possibly Chaput as the 13th forward/checking-line guy.

– With Jenner moving to center, the spot open now becomes a wing spot. So Gibbons will get a look, though I doubt anything fantasy-worthy would come of it.

Wennberg is getting the longest look and he’s certainly the Golden Boy of their prospects, but I think he’s still another year off.

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NHL players say who they would take first and second overall in a fantasy draft:

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Jan 23 - 19:01 DET vs MTL
Jan 23 - 19:01 NYR vs PHI
Jan 23 - 19:01 CAR vs CBJ
Jan 23 - 19:01 BOS vs OTT
Jan 23 - 20:01 MIN vs UTA
Jan 23 - 20:01 STL vs VGK
Jan 23 - 21:01 CGY vs BUF
Jan 23 - 21:01 EDM vs VAN
Jan 23 - 22:01 ANA vs PIT
Jan 23 - 22:01 SEA vs WSH
Jan 23 - 22:01 S.J vs NSH

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
LANE HUTSON MTL
PAVEL DOROFEYEV VGK
JIRI KULICH BUF
ADAM FANTILLI CBJ
KAAPO KAKKO SEA

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
SPENCER KNIGHT FLA
JACOB MARKSTROM N.J
JUUSE SAROS NSH
DARCY KUEMPER L.A
DUSTIN WOLF CGY

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency CBJ Players
23.1 DMITRI VORONKOV KIRILL MARCHENKO ADAM FANTILLI
17.9 JAMES VAN RIEMSDYK KENT JOHNSON LUCA DEL BEL BELLUZ
15.9 MATHIEU OLIVIER JUSTIN DANFORTH ZACHARY ASTON-REESE

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