November 15, 2014

Dobber

2014-11-15

Dubnyk starting to get attention, why Erixon makes a great waiver-wire pickup, and more …

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We’re used to seeing hot starts out of Martin Hanzal, so this year was a bit of a surprise when he had just eight points 16 games into the season. A natural hat trick last night put him back on track – so yes, we’re still early enough in the campaign that a single game can fix almost all of the solo player stats that are out of whack. Hanzal played with Martin Erat and Tobias Rieder.

The most important thing to note about last night’s Arizona game – even more important than the fact that they scored five goals for just the third time all year – is Devan Dubnyk’s 35-save shutout. Mike Smith is off to one of his trademark slow starts, but usually his slow starts last about five games and by Game 10 his numbers look pretty good. But he’s played 13 games and his numbers still look horrible. Meanwhile, Dubnyk’s numbers look great. Take a look at the comparison:

Smith –    4-9-0, 3.43, 0.889

Dubnyk – 3-0-1, 2.54, 0.913

You can do a full goalie side-by-side comparison using this tool here. Smith is the Golden Boy (due to contract) and is given a lot of rope. Looking at the pattern of games, it’s pretty clear that he is given every start until he has a horrible one or has played five in a row. So what we need to watch for is if Dubnyk can cannibalize that over the next two months. If Dubnyk starts getting every fourth start, and then every third start, then you could see a shift in value. Similar to the situation with San Jose except Niemi isn’t playing as poorly as Smith, and Smith’s contract isn’t up in the summer – so different dynamics to that shift. But I’m always fascinated by the politics behind gradually changing over a team’s starting goaltender to the backup.

#2

20.1%

CRACKNELL,ADAM – TROPP,COREY – WENNBERG,ALEXANDER

#3

17.9%

FOLIGNO,NICK – GIBBONS,BRIAN – JOHANSEN,RYAN

#4

13.7%

BOLL,JARED – CHAPUT,MICHAEL – TYRELL,DANA

DEFENCE

#1

29.1%

SAVARD,DAVID – TYUTIN,FEDOR

#2

29.1%

ERIXON,TIM – WISNIEWSKI,JAMES

#3

27.4%

PROUT,DALTON

 

Of interest to me is the defense pairing – Tim Erixon and James Wisniewski. The latter player goes through some pretty big hot streaks and he has five points in his last three games. Whereas everyone in fantasy hockey has given up on Erixon. But he’s riding Wiz’s coattails and has four points in three games himself. Erixon makes for an easy waiver-wire pickup right now. Especially with Sergei Bobrovsky back.

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Anthony Mantha’s first AHL game was nothing exciting. No storybook “wow, he got eight points in his pro debut!” ending to his return from injury. Pointless and minus-1 with two PIM last night. Our Red Wings scout, Travis Watson, has been on top of it – Mantha’s fantasy hockey profile is very well documented here.

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Hanzal with two goals in nine seconds:

 

 

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Jaroslav Halak traps the puck between his shoulder and the crossbar! Four straight wins for Halak…

 

 

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 07 - 19:11 NYR vs BUF
Nov 07 - 19:11 CAR vs PIT
Nov 07 - 19:11 OTT vs NYI
Nov 07 - 19:11 FLA vs NSH
Nov 07 - 19:11 BOS vs CGY
Nov 07 - 19:11 N.J vs MTL
Nov 07 - 19:11 T.B vs PHI
Nov 07 - 20:11 DAL vs CHI
Nov 07 - 20:11 STL vs UTA
Nov 07 - 20:11 WPG vs COL
Nov 07 - 22:11 L.A vs VAN
Nov 07 - 22:11 S.J vs MIN

Starting Goalies

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TIMOTHY LILJEGREN S.J
ALIAKSEI PROTAS WSH
PAVEL DOROFEYEV VGK
CONNOR MCMICHAEL WSH
WYATT JOHNSTON DAL

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CAM TALBOT DET
PETR MRAZEK CHI
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ALEXANDAR GEORGIEV COL
STUART SKINNER EDM

LINE COMBOS

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17.7 TREVOR ZEGRAS ALEX KILLORN CUTTER GAUTHIER
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15.5 BROCK MCGINN ISAC LUNDESTROM ROSS JOHNSTON

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