June 30, 2015
Ian Gooding
2015-05-31
Blackhawks' experience too much for Ducks in Game 7, plus more…
I know this narrative sounds cliché by now, but Jonathan Toews is clutch.
You could argue that there's no such thing as a player that can be counted on in the biggest games, but Toews is probably closer to that designation than any other NHL player.
Toews' two first-period goals turned out to be the difference for the Hawks in the 5-3 Game 7 win. Captain Serious has been Captain Clutch in this series, scoring two goals in both Game 5 and Game 7 – both road games. Toews scored a total of five goals in the series, all from Game 4 onward.
As we already know, Toews has scored many key goals both for the Chicago Blackhawks and Team Canada. Maybe you've cheered for those two teams, but maybe your team was on the receiving end of a Toews goal. On that note, the Toews clutch moment that sticks out the most to me is a game-tying shorthanded goal with just under two minutes to play in Game 7 against Vancouver in 2011.
After that goal, I didn't think the Canucks had any way of winning that game after holding a 3-0 lead in the series. (As a Canucks fan, I've had more than my fair share of "close but no cigar.") But thankfully, Alex Burrows came up clutch himself in OT.
Back to this game. The Hawks increased their lead to 4-0 in a second period that could have just as well ended up as 2-2. But that's playoff hockey for you. 2-2 would have made this a whole new hockey game. But 4-0 means that unless a miracle comeback is in the works, it's pretty much curtains.
Speaking of the 4-0 goal by Marian Hossa, should it have counted? So if the puck is kicked in, it's not a goal. But if it's directed in by the skate with "no distinct kicking motion," it's a good goal. Okay, got it.
You might remember that this isn't the first soccer goal of this series either. Speaking of that Game 2 overtime "goal" by Andrew Shaw, the sport is called hockey, not soccer. But I'll admit that Shaw's goal took real skill.
Brandon Saad scored another goal, his third in four games. In yesterday's Ramblings, Neil Parker compares Saad to fellow 2011 draft class members Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Gabriel Landeskog. Neil presents a solid argument, although I'm not quite sure I'd put Saad ahead of RNH and Landeskog at the moment. I had Saad in one league that was on the shallow side, and he just barely managed to stick around on this team.
As Neil mentioned, Saad wasn't a fantasy superstar last season because of the lack of power-play time. And I'm in agreement that the power-play points should increase next season with the new Toews and Patrick Kane contracts creating voids in the Hawks' lineup. But as the Oilers and Avalanche probably improve next season, RNH and Landeskog should have no problem getting to at least 60 points. I don't know if Saad is as much of a lead pipe lock guarantee to reach 60 points as the other two. But there's a strong case made about Saad taking another step forward.
I wonder how much Frederik Andersen's struggles during this series (18 goals allowed over his last four games) will affect his hold on the starting goalie job next season. Remember that John Gibson was the so-called "chosen one" in that he was assumed to have the upper hand before the start of the season. How much of a chance might he be given during training camp in the fall?
Since Dobber has bestowed tomorrow's Ramblings to me as well (in other words, you'll have to put up with me for another day), I'll wait until then to share my predictions and thoughts for the Chicago-Tampa Bay Stanley Cup Final.
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On to some brief thoughts on the Eastern Conference Final that just ended. I find the Lightning are a difficult team not to like, even though I was rooting for the Rangers (for fantasy pool reasons, which I'll get into shortly). Steve Yzerman has built his team the right way, finding top-level talent from ways other than high first-round picks. Speaking of which, you can read more about the fantasy value of the triplets going forward in an article I wrote over at Today's Slapshot earlier this week.
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Since Dobber mentions his own fantasy teams when he writes the Ramblings, I'm going to do the same. I'm currently third out of 12 teams in my money pool with five players out of 20 left. My team was nearly 50 percent composed of Rangers, although most of the other teams in this league were also largely Ranger-heavy (it was a multiple-choice pool with 10 Eastern Conference picks and 10 Western Conference picks).
That same team was practically split down the middle with Blackhawks and Ducks representing the Western Conference teams. I'm glad that my team accounted for three out of the four conference finalists. Between the number of points and players left, I won't finish higher than third, which is the lowest I can finish while winning money. The fourth-place team can't catch me, but oddly enough the fifth-place team still can. I know that sounds strange, but the fourth-place team has only one player left and the fifth-place team has more players left than I do and all the same players left that I do.
In a "fun" league (in other words, no money involved), I had stopped checking my team simply because the waiver wire ran out of eligible players and I assumed I was too far from first place to win. (Money leagues are always the ones we take more seriously, aren't they?) However, I received an intriguing trade offer a few days ago. Another owner offered me Marian Hossa and Niklas Hjalmarsson for my Jonathan Drouin, Rickard Rakell, and Kyle Palmieri.
With nothing to lose (I was in fifth out of ten teams, the other owner is dead last), I decided to accept the trade. The deal was offered to me on Thursday, which was after Game 6 in both Conference Final series, so I went with the "all four teams have a 50/50 shot of making the final" theory. With the Hawks winning, this deal obviously paid off for me. I'm too far out of first place to win, but at least I should manage to stay out of the basement.
My rationale for making the deal was simply on point totals during the playoffs:
I'm getting Hossa (12 points) and Hjalmarsson (5 points)
The other owner is getting Drouin (0 points), Palmieri (4 points), and Rakell (1 point)
Although Hossa has now scored 13 points in 17 games during the playoffs, he hasn't seemed to be at the top of his game (see Mike Clifford's Thursday Ramblings for more). Drouin has played only three games during the playoffs, and a major injury would probably have to occur for him to have a significant impact during the final. Bottom six forward Palmieri has looked decent during the Conference Final, but the offense hasn't really been there.
On a side note: I found Mike's Thursday Ramblings especially interesting for a personal reason. The three older wingers he focused on (Hossa, Patrick Sharp, and Patrick Marleau) were all on a keeper team of mine that won its second consecutive league title. That was in spite of reduced production from all three wingers last season. Throw in another winger who also saw his numbers fall in Milan Lucic, and it's a wonder that I found a way to win this league (although there were enough other players that came up big when it mattered). My pursuit of veterans may come at a price, as all except Marleau are under contract and will be back with my team next season.
I suppose I'm bucking the keeper league trend by targeting veterans. But my rationale is that older players can be had for a slightly reduced price and still be effective. In addition, you know what to expect from the player. Since this league has a salary cap, it's important to know how to allocate your money. In keeper salary cap leagues, another strategy that I have often used is to target good players at decent prices rather than elite players at Mercedes prices.
Thanks for reading. Talk to you tomorrow.