June 19, 2015
Michael Clifford
2015-06-19
Ryan O’Reilly, a couple of young defencemen with blocks ahead of them, and Dallas should improve next year.
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Ryan O'Reilly is apparently a priority for the Colorado Avalanche. I don't like using the word "underrated" (though I have and probably will again) so I will say that O'Reilly is an underappreciated player in the NHL. He doesn't miss games (12 in five 82-game seasons), he drives possession, can produce, and can play in all situations. At the age of 24, he's in his prime, and a six-year contract would net Colorado perhaps O'Reilly's best years of his career.
The one question I have is: how much is too much centre depth. Of course, Jordan Staal ended up being a key cog for Pittsburgh, and that wasn't found out until he was gone. Nathan MacKinnon did play some on the wing last year, but I assume the long-term plan is for him to stay at centre. Matt Duchene is already signed for four more seasons. Can this team go three deep down the middle with MacKinnon-Duchene-O'Reilly? Does one of them get moved to the wing? John Mitchell still has a couple of years left on his deal and he's no slouch either. He'd be a great fourth line centre, but could probably last as a third line centre.
There are a couple of American defencemen I'm going to struggle with for projections next year for roto fantasy leagues. Both of them look to be on the cusp of stardom, and both are in the mix on a good blue line. They are Winnipeg's Jacob Trouba and Nashville's Seth Jones.
At times, Trouba looks like a 25-year-old defenceman who is playing his sixth year in the league. His poise with the puck enables him to find plays that may not be available immediately, allowing things to develop as he finds space. It's a knack that can elude career NHL defencemen, and he showed it at the age of 20.
Dustin Byfuglien is around at least for another year, and Tyler Myers saw a big role on the team after he came over from Buffalo in the Evander Kane trade. For now, I would have to treat Trouba as no higher than third on the pecking order (and Tobias Enstrom is still around). If Trouba is getting second unit power play minutes, and doesn't improve much on the 23 minutes a game he got last year, I don't know if the big breakout year for Trouba happens next year like it did with Roman Josi of Nashville. Of course, Trouba still has a lot of growing and maturing to do, so even a 35-40 point season would be a good year. I just don't know if he takes that monster step this year.
Jones had a breakout of sorts in the playoffs this year, at least in the eyes of the public that doesn't get to watch Nashville on a regular basis. With Shea Weber missing most of the first round with an injury, Jones was the one that took the step forward on the blue line.
With all the offensive gifts that coaches drool over from a young d-man, and the smarts to turn those gifts into assets, Jones is a blossoming stud. There is still Weber and Josi on the top pair, though, and Ryan Ellis and Mattias Ekholm lurking, I'm not certain where Jones fits in the short-term. If he shows elite skill out of the gate, it'll be hard to limit his minutes obviously. It seems like he is a volatile fantasy asset next year, at least for now.
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Just a passing thought, I think I will let someone else draft Max Domi in a re-draft (one year) league next year. There will be a lot of hype with he and Anthony Duclair, and Domi's World Juniors performance is something that not a lot of people will forget sometime soon.
Arizona, though, will be very hard-pressed to score next year as they were last year. With a rebuilding team, I don't know how much can be expected of Domi in fantasy. Sam Gagner was their only forward to crack 40 points last year, and the team may be worse next year. Expectations will be high, and I just don't see Domi being relevant in standard 12- or 14-team leagues next season.