Cage Match Tourney Week 2 – The Biggest Risers/Fallers

Rick Roos

2015-07-15

VladimirTarasenko

 

Down to the final 13 players – who will rise/fall the most in this year’s Yahoo! draft rankings?

 

Welcome back to the summer 2015 Cage Match Tournament. Last week saw more than 500 total votes cast, so let's continue that momentum into this week and beyond!

What You're Voting on, and Quick Rehash of Key Rules

You're deciding which NHLer's Yahoo fantasy draft position will increase the most in 2015-16 compared to 2014-15, as well as that player's counterpart, namely who'll see his Yahoo draft position drop the most. In the end, we'll match against each other the players you voted as biggest riser and biggest faller, to see who'll have the biggest Yahoo draft position change among all NHLers.

Full "rules" were included in last week's column, but the most important things to remember are that you're voting based on a hypothetical one year Yahoo league where G, A, +/-, Hits, PPP, and SOG are the only six categories and are all equally weighted. To help hammer this home, this week I'll not only list the remaining players with their average Yahoo draft position from 2014-15, but also with their outputs in each of the six categories. That way you can see everything right in front of you.

Sean Monahan – 164.4 average draft position – 81 games, 31G, 31A, +8, 19 PPP, 39 Hits, 191 SOG

SeanMonahanHis season was essentially the reverse of Tarasenko, as Monahan was a point per game player from February onward. But Yahoo poolies might not fixate on that, focusing instead on his less overtly remarkable final point total of 62. And although he had the most PPPs among all the risers and gives Yahoo poolies a Tarasenko-like balance of goals and assists, his stats in the other categories were just okay at best. He'll move up for sure, but exactly how much is hard to say.

Aaron Ekblad – 176.3 average draft position – 81 games, 12G, 27A, +12, 13 PPP, 109 Hits, 170 SOG

I mentioned this last week, and at the risk of going out of my way to rain on Ekblad's parade or that of his owners, the last time a defenseman posted 39+ points in his first two seasons while age 18 and then 19 was more than 30 long years ago when Phil Housley did it. Of course that's not something which will likely resonate with Yahoo fantasy poolies. Plus, with Ekblad having been selected in the second lowest draft spot for 2014-15 among the seven risers who are left, not to mention his high profile Calder win, he's poised for a huge uptick in draft position.

Tyler Johnson – 177.5 average draft position – 77 games, 29G, 43A, +33, 17 PPP, 64 Hits, 203 SOG

As excellent of a season as Johnson had in 2014-15, the question is will it be truly appreciated by Yahoo poolies? To them, it's still likely all about Steven Stamkos on the Lightning. But even if Johnson doesn't have the name recognition or level of media coverage as Stamkos, there can't be any denying that his numbers were solid across the board and more than merit a massive leap up Yahoo fantasy hockey draft boards for 2015-16.

Click here to vote for bracket #1

 

 

Bracket #2 –Fallers

This should be a wide open race for who advances to round three, as four of the top five vote getters from round one were separated by a mere two votes each!

Chris Kunitz – 25.7 average draft position – 74 games, 17G, 23A, +2, 16 PPP, 211 Hits, 170 SOG

I was pretty shocked to see Kunitz advance to round two instead of someone like Eric Staal or Jeff Skinner. After all, Kunitz was the only player among the fallers (or risers!) who combined to average more than five Hits and SOG per game. And although his PPP are poised to dip with the addition of Phil Kessel in Pittsburgh, Kunitz still has name value and folks on Yahoo will be intrigued by the possibility of Kunitz lining up alongside Sidney Crosby and Kessel at even strength.

Patrick Sharp – 26.9 average draft position -68 games, 16G, 27A, -8, 14 PPP, 74 Hits, 230 SOG

Well, the shoe has finally dropped, as Sharp was indeed traded this past weekend. With that comes the kind of "name in the papers" publicity that helps Yahoo fantasy hockey poolies remember a player come draft day. But on the other hand, the fact that he's leaving the Blackhawks – one of the teams casual fantasy fans target for their rosters – for the Stars will likely result in the trade hurting Sharp's draft position more than helping it, not to mention that he technically plays the same position as Jamie Benn, which might just mean second line duty for Sharp at even strength and perhaps even on the PP as well.

Zdeno Chara – 76.1 average draft position – 63 games, 8G, 12A, even, 5 PPP, 125 Hits, 138 SOG

As we can see, the Hits were still somewhat there for Chara, and he managed to still post more than 2 SOG per game. But popular sentiment has turned toward fearing that the worst is yet to come for Chara, despite the reality that he'll likely be leaned on as much as – if not more than – he was last season by the Bs, which in turn would mean he still could produce. And with his legendary work ethic you wonder whether – even at age 38 – he might just have a fourth wind that could propel him to 40+ points again.

Dan Boyle – 107.0 average draft position – 65 games, 9G, 11A, +18, 8 PPP, 49 Hits, 116 SOG

Even I'll admit that Boyle's stats in these categories weren't as terrible as I'd expected, as he wasn't too far below 2 SOG and 1 Hit per game. And let's not forget he got hurt right as he was adapting to a new team, which can have ripple effects that last for weeks, if not months. But we also can't lose sight of the fact that Boyle is now 39, which makes him older than even Chara. And with Yahoo poolies seeing that Boyle's totals have dropped so much from his prime, chances are they'll push him down to the nether regions of their draft lists despite his still decent name recognition.

Alexander Semin – 119.9 average draft position -57 games, 6G, 13A, -10, 4 PPP, 30 Hits, 93 SOG

AlexSeminThe worry with Semin isn't just how he'll be treated by Yahoo poolies because of his 2014-15 disaster, but what would occur if he's not signed by training camp. But to put things in context, Daniel Alfredsson, at age 41 and coming off a 49 point 2013-14 campaign, was drafted as the 163rd RW on average last summer despite it being speculated that he'd retire. And even the career-threatened Nathan Horton was snagged as the 184th RW on average in 2014-15 Yahoo drafts. Long story short – Semin will be drafted. But he also does have quite a way to fall, so you'll have to speculate on where Yahoo poolies will actually slot him on average.

Cody Hodgson – 171.8 average draft position – 78 games, 6G, 7A, -28, 1 PPP, 40 Hits, 127 SOG

Based on week one voting, I guess DobberHockey readers think Yahoo poolies won't buy the idea that Hodgson will be given a fresh start and chance for success in Nashville. And while it does look like there will be too many capable players for Hodgson to get enough top six and PP time to produce well, the key to keep in mind is his draft position last season was already very low, so how much farther can he fall, as this isn't a vote based on how well Hodgson will do, but where he'll be drafted in relation to 2014-15.

Click here to vote for bracket #2

 

Voting for both brackets will close on Sunday July 19th, so make sure to cast your ballots in time. And I'll be back next week to go over the round two results and set up the semi-finals between the remaining two risers and the remaining two fallers. See you then!

 

Cage Match Tourney – The Biggest Risers/Fallers      
Sidney Crosby vs. Connor McDavid (Part 2)      
Sidney Crosby vs. Connor McDavid (Part 1)      

 

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 23 - 13:12 N.J vs NYR
Dec 23 - 14:12 TOR vs WPG
Dec 23 - 19:12 DET vs STL
Dec 23 - 19:12 CBJ vs MTL
Dec 23 - 19:12 BOS vs WSH
Dec 23 - 19:12 FLA vs T.B
Dec 23 - 19:12 PIT vs PHI
Dec 23 - 19:12 NYI vs BUF
Dec 23 - 20:12 NSH vs CAR
Dec 23 - 20:12 MIN vs CHI
Dec 23 - 21:12 UTA vs DAL
Dec 23 - 21:12 VAN vs S.J
Dec 23 - 22:12 VGK vs ANA

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JACKSON LACOMBE ANA
LANE HUTSON MTL
PATRIK LAINE MTL
SHANE PINTO OTT
JONATHAN HUBERDEAU CGY

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL
SPENCER KNIGHT FLA
DAVID RITTICH L.A
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
JACOB MARKSTROM N.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency OTT Players
20.6 BRADY TKACHUK TIM STUTZLE CLAUDE GIROUX
15.1 SHANE PINTO RIDLY GREIG NICK COUSINS
8.3 ZACK OSTAPCHUK NOAH GREGOR ADAM GAUDETTE

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