Top 10 worst second-half players

Tom Collins

2016-01-18

Ten players who are known to decline in the second half

There's a lot of talk about NHL players at this time of year and who can keep up their hot start.

We even delved into it last week in this column, as we looked at the best second-half players. These were guys who routinely upped their production after the halfway point of the season. So that naturally begged the question, who were the ones that instead saw their production drop significantly?

We looked at the last four years of statistics.

I've got to be honest. I thought it was going to be really tough to find enough good hockey players that have seen their stats decline often enough in the second half. Was I ever wrong. Not only were there enough players, I could have expanded it to a top-20 list with no issue. And it's not like these guys are fringe players. Many of them are all stars. But although they continue to pile up the points, you can't bet on them to continue their first half-success.

Here are the top 10 players who decline in the second half.

 

10. Tyler Seguin

2014-15: 47 points in the first 40 games (1.18 PPG), followed by 30 in 31 (0.97 PPG)

2013-14: 41 points in the first 42 games (0.98 PPG), followed by 43 in 38 (1.13 PPG)

2012-13: 19 points in the first 22 games (0.86 PPG), followed by 13 in 26 (0.50 PPG)

2011-12: 36 points in the first 36 games (1.00 PPG), followed by 31 in 45 (0.69 PPG)

It is important to note the two recent years on this list for Seguin is with Dallas, and the previous two with Boston. His role was different with both teams so we need to take that into consideration. But the pattern is there. It's also amusing to note that his normal linemate of Jamie Benn was ranked 10th last week on best second-half players. Seguin has 53 points in his first 46 games. It's very easy to imagine Seguin's point-per-game pace dropping the rest of the way. It's already started as he has just three points in the last seven games.

 

9. James Neal

2014-15: 23 points in the first 35 games (0.66 PPG), followed by 14 in 32 (0.44 PPG)

2013-14: 36 points in the first 25 games (1.44 PPG), followed by 41 in 45 (0.91 PPG)

2012-13: 25 points in the first 25 games (1.00 PPG), followed by 11 in 15 (0.73 PPG)

2011-12: 36 points in the first 39 games (0.92 PPG), followed by 45 in 41