Top 10 early-season disappointments
Tom Collins
2016-10-31
Looking at the Top 10 disappointing players after the first month of the NHL season…
Sometimes a slow start can be a harbinger of things to come. Other times it’s just a small slump a player goes through that gets more attention because it’s so early in the season. After all, there wouldn’t be as much focus on some of these guys if they went eight games with just three points in January.
Keep in mind that a pessimist might call this column the top 10 disappointments, while the optimist might call it the top 10 buy-low candidates. Most of these guys won’t be in a season-long slump. So, take a run and see if you can trade for a player on this list if you think you can get him cheap. Here are the top 10 early-season disappointments.
10. Elias Lindholm
Much was expected out of Lindholm this season. Same with linemate Teuvo Teravainen. Truthfully, either one of them could have been in this slot. But Lindholm has been slightly more disappointing considering he’s in his fourth season and was expected to break through. He has one point in eight games. But he’s averaging two shots a game, is winning 56 per cent of his draws and plays 60 per cent of the team’s power play.
9. Andrew Ladd
Sometimes a player just clicks with a new team with no issues (ie- Shea Weber). Other times, players struggle mightily (ie- Andrew Ladd). Ladd just doesn’t seem to have any chemistry with John Tavares. Despite spending about 98 per cent of his even strength time and power play time before last night with Tavares, Ladd has just one point in nine games. Although it should be noted Ladd was off Tavares line last night. But that’s looking like a bad signing early on.
8. James Neal
Neal scored Saturday. That was his first of the season and just his second point in eight games. Throw in a minus-eight (he hasn’t been a plus in any game yet), and it’s fair to say this is not what owners were anticipating. It’s extra disappointing when you consider he’s on the top power play unit. But on the bright side he got to play with Filip Forsberg and Ryan Johansen on Saturday when he scored the goal. That should earn him some more time with those two.
7. Keith Yandle
This signing has turned out to be a disaster for both Yandle and the Panthers. Yandle has just three points in nine games while the Panthers are just 4-4-1. Part of the reason behind Yandle’s slow start is that he’s on the power play just 52.4 per cent of the time (by comparison, he was on 86.5 per cent of the time two years ago). But Yandle is playing more minutes overall than in any of the last three years, he’s on pace for the most shots of his career and he’s playing regularly with Aaron Ekblad instead of the two stealing each other’s minutes. So, things could turn around in a hurry.
6. Pekka Rinne
The Nashville goalie has just been awful this year. He has just one win in six games, with a 3.22 GAA and a .906 save percentage. And if you own him in a cap league, he’s been killing you even more with a $7 million cap hit. There’s not a lot of positives here. But keep in mind Rinne will be the top netminder in Nashville for the rest of the year. And this could be the cheapest you might ever be able to get him.
5. Sean Monahan
The Flames have already played 10 games. And Monahan has just four points. Granted, all of them have been goals. But Monahan is averaging 0.4 points per game, his lowest of his brief career. He’s also on pace for his lowest number of shots since his rookie season. He’s still playing with Johnny Gaudreau and is on the top power play unit. It’s just a matter of time until he starts picking up the assists.
4. John Carlson
I’ve always believed that you could stick a fire hydrant on the Capitals power play and that hydrant would wind up with 40 points on the year. But that doesn’t seem to be the case anymore. Carlson is quarterbacking the team with the man advantage, but has just one point in eight games. But he is manning the Caps power play and has no competition from any other Caps dman to steal those power play minutes.
3. Torey Krug
Krug has been completely snake bitten so far this year. He has zero goals. Add in zero assists, and you can see why he is frustrating poolies. He’s also been a minus-four. But he’s still getting his opportunities. He plays 58 per cent of the Bruins power play as the Bruins go with four forwards, one defenseman lineup. And he’s on pace for 226 shots
Yikes. Klingberg is on pace for zero goals, 31 points, a minus-31, and just 103 shots. That is not helping anyone except for opponents in head-to-head leagues. All of Klingberg’s points have been on the power play, so at least he’s helping there. He’s also on pace 154 blocked shots (my theory is the Dallas goaltending is so bad, the dmen have been ordered not to let any pucks through). But Klingberg is still Dallas’ top power play point guy and he has too much talent to stay this bad for much longer.
1. Jamie Benn
It may seem a bit strange to have Benn on this list. After all, four points in eight games isn’t that bad. But it’s mostly because of who Benn is. Most expect him to be top five in points this year. He was the top winger chosen in many one-year drafts. To see a top-five pick struggle out of the gate is enough to drive an owner batty. But Benn is still playing regularly with Tyler Seguin. Benn is also seeing 4:23 with the man advantage, almost a minute more than last year. It’s just a matter of time until he is back among the league leader in points.
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I am being extremely patient with Carlson; the start is not ideal but he is shooting and it will happen and once it does he will hit the stat sheet consistently; Marcus Johansson has been wonderful for me though so far; once Carlson gets going my PP point pair will start churning em out.
Very timely post guys. I was just scouring my D waiver options to dump Carlson and thought I should look at Dobber first. I’ll be more patient on him, there’s no answers on the waivers anyway.
Carlson is an elite defender; I cannot explain this cold start but he is just too good to release. He is type of player where as soon as you drop he will start scoring at blistering pace.
Yeah, I think sometimes it just comes down to puck luck and timing. If Carlson had 20 points in 30 games to start the season and then went pointless in eight, it wouldn’t be as big a deal because he’s got the 20 points in the bank. I’d hold on to Carlson for now.
Those who justify don’t convince….
Benn is still hurting so once he gets back to full health he will get it going again. I’m frustrated as a Johnny Hockey owner, but him and Monahan should take off soon. The numbers will balance out eventually just give it time, every experience poolie knows how this works. Good time for making trades though if there’s some rookie poolies who are getting impatient with their under-performing stars.
That was my point at the start. I think most of these guys (except for Ladd and possibly Rinne) would be good buy-low guys if you can get a frustrated and panicky owner.
A good list but I would cut the players returning from serious off season surgery some slack & switching teams always causes me pause as players adjust to new systems. The same can also be said for players who’s teams had coaching changes. The fact Benn even played out of the gate is some what surprising. I thought he, Krug & Krejci might miss some time based on original timelines following major surgery. I’ll give them all 15 to 20 games to recover lost training time.
Kilingberg is an interesting 1. I took the under. I had serious concerns about him losing his partner since joining the NHL Goligoski & no suitable replacement brought into to replace him or others. No slight to Hamhuis who at least will help.
Question. Any idea who’s in charge of Florida’s PP? Who ever it is should be fired. Florida’s PP has been brutal again out of the gate as it has been since the 2012-13 lock out season. It doesn’t appear to be a personal issue as the players Florida has been able to ice at least since 14-15 has been solid.
Good point on the surgeries.
No idea on the Panthers power play. Do they have an assistant coach specifically in charge of it?
I assume so. Most teams have a coach dedicated to running the PP. Not sure who Florida’s is but something is wrong. I just thought if anyone knew I would be curious.
Barkov :(
He has five in nine, so it’s not that bad of a start.
True, not as bad as some here. I’d compare him with Monahan though, I was expecting both players to put up similar points.
Barkov had 2.71 points per 60 last year. This year, around 1.7. It’s early so I’m not too worried. But I wonder how much Huberdeau was the anchor of that line.
How is Ben Bishop not on this list. He’s been absolutely dreadful thus far after his incredible stats last year! Should be a top 3 goalie!
Scoring is very high right now, almost every goalie not named Price or Schneider has bad stats right now.
Goalies were really tough to add because one or two bad games could really inflate their stats. But yeah, he would be another one to add.
Loui Eriksson?
being a “disappointment” implies that there were high expectations. What expectations did you have for Eriksson on Vancouver?
based on his numbers last season in Boston and being able to play with his fellow Swede’s I thought he would have a great season but unfortunately he has not performed well.
I think Eriksson is doing exactly what was expected. I wrote a column in the summer about top 10 players sure to disappoint. Eriksson was number one. I wrote “Let’s put some things into perspective. He just had his first 30-goal season since 2008-09, and his first 60-point season since 2011-12. And it was a contract year obviously. I don’t like the odds of him having back-to-back 60-point seasons when it’s the first time he’s done it in five years.”
http://www.dobberhockey.com/hockey-home/fantasy-hockey-top-10/top-10-players-sure-to-disappoint-2/
Rinne isn’t disappointing. It’s his new standard. Look at his stats from his previous four seasons.
I agree it’s becoming his standard. But there are still lots of people who hold out hope for him. In one of my leagues, a GM was trying to use Rinne as the main bait to pry Holtby from me (in a cap league, no less). He was a top 10 goalie in Yahoo drafts and was generally taken in the third round.