Dobber’s Offseason Fantasy Grades – Detroit Red Wings
Cam Robinson
2017-08-03
For the last 14 years (12 with The Hockey News) Dobber has reviewed each team from a fantasy-hockey standpoint and graded them.
This year, due to Dobber’s battle with cancer, he recruited Cam Robinson (of Frozen Pool Forensics fame) to pinch hit. The 15th annual review will appear here on DobberHockey throughout the summer. This is not a review of the likely performance on the ice or in the standings, but in the realm of fantasy hockey.
Enjoy!
Gone – Tomas Nosek, Mitch Callahan, Edward Pasquale
Incoming – Trevor Daley, Luke Witkowski, Tom McCollum, Libor Sulak, Matej Machovsky, Turner Elson
Impact of changes – The addition of Daley adds a veteran element to a defense core that needs a lot of work. He won’t be a savior by any means, but can still reasonably move the puck around in a second or third pair role. Machovsky comes over from the Czech Republic after several very successful seasons in their top league, he’ll likely become the team’s third net minder and step up in a back-up role if injuries arise to either Mrazek or Howard. Detroit was a bottom-feeder in 2016-17 and improved very little this offseason.
Ready for full-time – Anthony Mantha has followed the prototypical Red Wings’ developmental model. Drafted 20th overall in 2013, Mantha went on to destroy the QMJHL for another season and then two full AHL campaigns before heading into camp last fall. He didn’t earn a job outright so he was back in Grand Rapids to start 2016-17 but his tenure there didn’t last. Upon recall, the 6’5 scoring winger went off for a near-point-per game stretch during the holiday months before slowing to finish the year. He finished fourth on the team in points-per-game with a 0.60 mark and a very respectable 2.26 points per 60 minutes which came in 92nd league wide – a near-first-line rate. Mantha projects as the highest impact piece within the Detroit organization, and he should have a top line wing spot with his name on it this fall. Read more on Mantha here.
This year’s AHL Playoff MVP, Tyler Bertuzzi looks fully marinated. The 22-year-old posted 56 points in 67 combined regular season and playoff contests, including nine goals and 19 points in 19 playoff games on route to the Calder Cup victory. Todd’s nephew has also shown a strong grade of sandpaper to his game as his 133 penalty minutes in 2015-16 attest to. Look for the young forward to engage in plenty of physicality during camp to display his versatility to earn a job. He does have one more season before he becomes waiver eligible, so the Wings could shuffle him back and forth so if he doesn’t impress or if he’s beaten out by the newly signed Luke Witkowski. Read more on Bertuzzi here.
Nick Jensen is another product of Detroit’s passion for over cooking their prospects. Selected in the fifth round back in 2009, Jensen spent three years in the NCAA before now completing three more campaigns in the AHL. He managed to push his way onto the big club for 49 games last season, seeing just under 18 minutes a night and recording four goals and 13 points. He projects to start the year on the team’s third pair after signing a two-year extension back in February. Read more on Jensen here.
Fantasy Outlook – Detroit has built up a great deal of good will over the years. That’s what’ll happen when you make the playoffs for 25 straight seasons, reach the finals six times and come away with four championships. But things are trending in the wrong direction. Captain Henrik Zetterberg remains the beating heart of the franchise and likely the only true fantasy option, but at age 37, father time will be catching up swiftly. Bounce back seasons from Tomas Tatar and Gustav Nyquist would go a long way, but expecting much more than 50 points is likely setting up for a disappointment. Mantha is the player you want for dynasty settings but he needs to be insulated with further skill. The lack of offense created from the back end, coupled with a dearth of dynamic producers up front and a split time situation in net means you shouldn’t rely on too many titillating producers from this team.
Fantasy Grade: C- (Last year: C+)
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And…the Wings are over the salary cap. Great job Kenny (Holland). Jim Nill did the work, “Kenny” got the credit. Foolish contracts and signing aging retreads is hardly “rebuilding on the fly.” Maybe losing “The Captain” (Stevie Y) to Tampa Bay was the biggest loss of all.
Nah, it couldn’t have been losing the best two-way centerman in the game to the KHL. That couldn’t possibly have done it.
How old were those “best two” when they left? Isn’t the GM supposed to plan for that? Could that same logic be said for “losing” Rafalski and Lidstrom?
Datsyuk’s age has nothing to do with the fact that you failed to mention him as a factor in Detroit falling out of the playoff picture for the first time in a quarter century. I fully agree that management should have been better prepared for that eventuality, but again that’s not something you mentioned. So, if we’re talking about why Detroit wasn’t a playoff team for the first time in 25 years, well that ought to be reason #1 on the list.
We had been reading 3 years before he left that he was thinking about it. Holland and his crew should have had their finger on the pulse of that and reacted waaaay sooner….
Very much agree. Thus in the enumeration of things management got wrong,
I would still say the list *REALLY* ought to include losing Datsyuk without
some kind of contingency plan. But the problem isn’t just that Datsyuk left — it’s that he
left before his contract was up, putting the team on the hook for his remaining
salary cap hit. As I’d understood it, Pavs was originally considering leaving after his contract was up.
My initial comment had nothing to do with “why” Detroit missed the playoffs. My comment addressed the fact that Kenny Holland hasn’t done a very good job. Hence my reference to the Wings losing Stevie Y who would most likely have done a far better job than Holland. Therefore my “failing to mention Datsyuk” is not relevant.