Tom Wilson Capitalizing on his Top-Line Chance

Brennan Des



This week we take a look at a line Capitalizing on their chances, some Leafs that may be falling, and Senators losing their seat. I usually reserve my Twitter account @BrennanDeSouza for injury updates, so you can pick up players that become relevant when others are due to miss time. However, going forward I’ll be using it to point out notable line changes as well, so you’re the first to snag a guy like Tom Wilson when he’s playing with Ovi and Backstrom.


Alexander OvechkinNicklas BackstromTom Wilson


Team ES Point Production: 17 | Line ES Point Production: 12 (71% of team)


For years Alexander Ovechkin and Nicklas Backstrom have been one of the deadliest duos in the league. Backstrom being mister assister, and Ovi being mister wrister. While Evgeny Kuznetsov was skating alongside the Great Eight to start the season, Backstrom has since reclaimed his spot beside Ovechkin. Tom Wilson has rounded out the trio and their 59.26 CF% together shows a great ability to drive offense as a unit.


I’ll be the first to say I avoided drafting Ovi this season after Washington Capitals’ owner Ted Leonsis supported him going to the Olympics. Although it became less and less likely that Ovi was going to PyeongChang for the 2018 winter games, I figured I’d just side step the whole situation. While the Capitals’ captain has proven me wrong thus far, the numbers do suggest some regression going forward. Now the numbers aren’t crazy unsustainable, but it seems likely that his 5 on 5 shooting percentage of 11.11% drops a little (Averaged 9.18% last three seasons) and that 1040 PDO starts to get closer to 1000. That being said, it’s difficult to find guys capable of scoring 50 goals, especially on the left wing.


Despite a cold stretch this season that saw him go pointless for seven straight games, Nicklas Backstrom has tallied 25 points in 30 games. He is currently seeing 72% of the team’s total power play ice time (up from 62% in past two seasons), but is surprisingly on pace for less power play points (27 this year as opposed to 34 and 30 in past two). Another interesting note can be found in his IPP. In past seasons, Backstrom was getting a point on 70-80% of goals scored while he was on the ice, but that number currently sits at 61%, so perhaps there is still room for improvement.


Tom Wilson has seven points in his last three games. Before y