Geek of the Week: Justin Faulk Still Productive Despite Struggles

Scott Maran

2018-01-07

For years it’s seemed like the Carolina Hurricanes were forever on the upswing, consistently picked as a darkhorse candidate to make their way into the playoffs. And this season, they’ve continued to make progress and are currently in the second wildcard spot, just one point from the first wildcard spot. But what’s been more impressive is that they’ve been able to do this without their best defenseman playing at a top level. Justin Faulk has had a horrendous season compared to his career and it’s far from what we expected from the 25-year-old blueliner. Yet despite his offensive struggles, Faulk is still providing value in fantasy hockey leagues and should be pursued in the hopes that he starts getting a bit more luckier on the scoreboard.

As a second-round pick in the 2007 NHL Draft, Faulk was always billed as a top notch offensive defenseman. Entering the league when he was only 19 years old, he instantly stepped into a 20+minute-a-night role with the Hurricanes and never looked back. And by the time he was 21 years old, Faulk broke out with 49 points in a single season in 2015.

However, since then it’s been a steady decline, as Faulk has never gotten back to that high. In the following season Faulk posted 37 points in 64 games (a 47-point pace) and then only 37 points in 75 games in the season after. Now this year we’ve seen Faulk get off to a ever worse start, tallying only 11 points in 40 games. On pace for just over 20 points by the end of the year, Faulk is easily on track for the worst season of his career.

But even with his ugly point totals, Faulk is still providing decent fantasy value. In an average 12-team H2H Yahoo league measuring G, A, PPP, SOG, and Hits, Faulk is still one of the more valuable defenseman.
 

 

Rank

FHG Value

GP

G

A

SOG

PPP

HITS

Ryan Suter

65

35

41

5

18

87

8

34

Justin Faulk

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66

35

40

3

8

110

5

77

Charlie McAvoy

67

35

38

5

16

45

6

89


Even though 66th overall value probably wasn’t what you were hoping for when you drafted Faulk, he’s still been one of the top 30 defensemen in fantasy this year. While his point totals have been abysmal, Faulk has still been able to provide value with his excellent peripherals. His 110 shots are good for the 13th most in the NHL by any defenseman while he has the 28th most hits in the league. Considering that he was only drafted on average 107th overall in Fantrax leagues, you can see that Faulk is still contributing some decent fantasy value.

There’s also the fact that Faulk has been very unlucky this year and is likely to start producing like his old self again. A player who consistently 15+ goals a season doesn’t magically forget how to score goals, so eventually Faulk should start getting more pucks in the back of the net soon. With only a 2.7% shooting percentage on the season (when he was consistently over 6 for the past three years), Faulk’s offensive numbers most likely won’t stay this horrible.  He’s still getting plenty of ice time and is averaging the most power-play time per game out of any Hurricanes player.

Even though poolies have been frustrated with Faulk this season, he’s still provided value while he’s struggled offensively. If you own him, there’s still reason to keep him and if you don’t, it might be worth exploring a potential trade for him, as there are plenty of signs showing a productive second half for Faulk.

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