Ramblings: Lightning Trends, Domi Scores, a Potential Eichel Replacement? (Feb 13)

steve laidlaw

2018-02-13

 

We’ve seen some regression from Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Lightning over the past month or so, with a 0.917 save percentage since the start of January. That’s roughly league average, but not the world-beating level we got used to. It’s worth pointing out that the Lightning have had a road-heavy schedule here in the second half, playing 13 of the last 18 on the road.

Strangely, Vasilevskiy’s home/road splits tilt heavily towards better play on the road, but that hasn’t really been the case over the last month.

The good news, Tampa Bay has an eight-game home stand in early March, just in time for head-to-head playoffs.

Alex Killorn officially has it going. He had that big five-point game a couple of weeks back but has since strung together a four-game scoring streak. He is taking advantage of time with Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point at even strength. Killorn also sees time as the bumper on their top power play unit, but that unit has cooled off to 18.4% in the second half. There could be some more meat on the bone if that unit goes back to microwave efficiency.

Also hot: Yanni Gourde with goals in seven of the last nine games. Take advantage while he sees top-six usage.

Not hot: Vladislav Namestnikov, who has been dropped to the third line and has just one point in the last seven games.

I was concerned about Mikhail Sergachev’s limited usage all year, and it really seems to have caught up. He hasn’t scored a goal since December 16. He has just six assists in his last 22 games, and even suffered from some healthy scratchings. Seems like you could gain some benefit from looking elsewhere.

Low-owned defensemen who could offer more value (ownership based on Yahoo leagues):

Cam Fowler 54%

Colin Miller 54%

Jared Spurgeon 51%

Jeff Petry 32%

Alex Edler 25%

Ryan Pulock 6%

Vince Dunn 1%

Of that group, I like Spurgeon and Fowler the most, but all these guys except Pulock offer top PP unit use on their respective teams.

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Jake Gardiner has rung it up to 15 points in the last 12 games, a crazy hot streak for a defenseman. My hypothesi