Lining Up: Tuch, Pacioretty, and Eakin – December 4

Brennan Des

2018-12-04

 

In this week’s instalment, we focus on one particularly hot line. Using Dobber’s Line Production Tool, we compared even-strength point production around the league over the past 10 games. I compiled a list of the highest scoring line for each team at even strength. Here’s the list…

 

#

Team

Line

Points

1

Colorado

Gabriel LandeskogNathan MacKinnonMikko Rantanen

27

2

Winnipeg

Kyle ConnorBryan LittlePatrik Laine

26

3

Philadelphia

Claude GirouxSean CouturierTravis Konecny

24

4

Columbus

Artemi PanarinPierre-Luc DuboisCam Atkinson

24

5

Vegas

Max PaciorettyCody EakinAlex Tuch

22

6

Toronto

Zach HymanJohn TavaresMitchell Marner

21

7

Tampa Bay

Tyler JohnsonBrayden PointNikita Kucherov

20

8

Washington

Alex OvechkinNicklas Backstrom – Tom WIlson

19

9

Montreal

Jonathan DrouinMax DomiAndrew Shaw

18

10

Dallas

Jamie BennTyler SeguinAlexander Radulov

18

11

Minnesota

Jason ZuckerEric StaalMikael Granlund

16

12

Calgary

Johnny GaudreauSean MonahanElias Lindholm

16

13

Pittsburgh

Jake GuentzelSidney CrosbyDominik Simon

13

14

Los Angeles

Alex IafalloAnze KopitarDustin Brown

13

15

Carolina

Jordan MartinookLucas WallmarkAndrei Svechnikov

11

16

Edmonton

Drake CaggiulaConnor McDavidLeon Draisaitl

11

17

Islanders

Anthony BeauvillierValtteri FilppulaLeo Komarov

10

18

Nashville

Colton Sissons – Nick BoninoAustin Watson

10

19

Ottawa

Brady Tkachuk – Colin WhiteMark Stone

10

20

Rangers

Chris KreiderKevin HayesFilip Chytil

10

21

New Jersery

Marcus JohanssonPavel ZachaJesper Bratt

9

22

Buffalo

Jeff SkinnerJack EichelJason Pominville

8

23

Detroit

Tyler Bertuzzi – Luke Glendening – Michael Rasmussen

8

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24

Florida

Mike HoffmanAleksander BarkovEvgenii Dadonov

7

25

Chicago

Brandon SaadJonathan ToewsPatrick Kane

7

26

San Jose

Timo MeierLogan CoutureJoe Pavelski

5

27

St. Louis

Robby FabbriBrayden SchennRobert Thomas

5

28

Vancouver

Tyler MotteBo HorvatAntoine Roussel

5

39

Anaheim

Pontus AbergAdam HenriqueNick Ritchie

5

30

Arizona

Alex GalchenyukNick SchmaltzClayton Keller

5

31

Boston

Sean Kuraly  – David Backes – Chris Wagner

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Max PaciorettyCody EakinAlex Tuch

It’s always nice when a trio of hockey players is able to outshoot and out-chance their opponents. It allows me to believe in their ability to play together as a unit, and remain together because of their strong possession play, even when they’re not scoring. Well folks, this isn’t one of those situations, because the advanced stats for the Pacioretty-Eakin-Tuch line are pretty underwhelming. They’ve controlled 47% of shot attempts, 47% of scoring chances, and just 45% of high-danger opportunities. Despite this, they’ve outscored their opponents 10-6. Don’t be too discouraged by this, I remember earlier in the season when Mikko Rantanen, Nathan Mackinnon and Gabriel Landeskog had poor underlying numbers, and they’re still the best line in the NHL (their advanced numbers have improved since then).

This offseason, when I heard Max Pacioretty would be playing with Paul Stastny, I began to imagine what Pacioretty could do beside an actual top-six center – a luxury he never had in Montreal. When word got out that Stastny would need months to recover from a knee injury, I began to worry for Pacioretty’s numbers. A worry that only grew when he registered just two points in his first 14 games. Some started to wonder whether his 37 points during the 2017-2018 season were to be considered the new normal. But then, Max Pacioretty showed us what Patrik Laine recently showed us – that goal scorers are streaky. In his last 10 games, Pacioretty has 13 points – eight of which were goals.  With that being said, even after this recent hot stretch, he’s only on pace for 50 points this season, a far drop from the near-70-point seasons we’ve seen in the past. It’s also worth mentioning that he’s currently on pace for 225 shots, a number that was closer to 300 when he was tearing it up in Montreal. I think we see him finish in the high 50s/low 60s this season, but there’s definitely potential for more.

As of right now, Alex Tuch is owned in just 48% of Yahoo! Leagues. In a couple of years, as he continues to develop, I expect his ownership will range from 95-100%. The 22-year-old was selected 18th overall in the 2014 draft, and already has 20 points in 20 games this season. I’ll admit, I don’t get to watch the Golden Knights too often, but poker Legend Daniel Negreanu does, and he thinks Tuch has been the team’s best player recently. Tuch is a really exciting player who is probably flying under the radar in your fantasy league, so why not pick him up and ride his hot streak (eight points in his last six games)? Sure, he probably won’t finish the season as point-per-game player, but there’s no harm in acquiring a 55-60-point player for free – especially when he’s playing on the top power-play unit.

Compared to his line mates, Cody Eakin has the least long-term value. No disrespect to him as a player, but he’s 27-years-old and his career-high in points is 40. I know we’ve seen careers take off in Vegas, but in most cases, that’s been a result of an increased role. Eakin’s role now is actually smaller than the one he filled in Dallas, alongside Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin, with 17 minutes of ice-time a night. He’s currently scoring on 26% of the shots he’s taking, which is not going to last as the season progresses, so don’t expect him to achieve the 56-point pace he’s on. 45 points? Much more realistic.

If you couldn’t stand to read the word vomit I spewed above, please take a second to watch the beautiful goal below…

 

 

Follow me on Twitter @BrennanDeSouza for the latest injury updates and line combinations!

 

Interesting Line Combos

 

Alex GalchenyukNick SchmaltzClayton Keller

 

Brad MarchandColby CaveDavid Pastrnak

 

Sebastian AhoJordan StaalTeuvo Teravainen

 

Brandon SaadJonathan ToewsBrendan Perlini

 

Dominik KahunDavid KampfPatrick Kane

 

Alex DeBrincatDylan StromeAlexandre Fortin

 

Ryan HartmanRyan JohansenKevin Fiala

 

Tomas HertlLogan CoutureJoe Pavelski

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Nov 17 - 17:11 CAR vs STL
Nov 17 - 20:11 VGK vs WSH
Nov 17 - 21:11 SEA vs NYR
Nov 17 - 22:11 VAN vs NSH

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16.5 KIRILL KAPRIZOV MARCUS JOHANSSON MATT BOLDY
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