Eastern Edge: Production splits from the last two seasons

Brennan Des

2019-08-13

 

We’ve all been there. Your league’s trade deadline is quickly approaching and you’re scrambling to find players with a reputation for turning it on in the second half. Now, don’t get me wrong, there may be a few players that consistently perform better at the end of the season than in the beginning. But at what point do we label someone a second-half performer? How many seasons do they have to string together for us to call it a trend? More importantly, what happens when they break free of the pattern? Are they no longer ‘second-half performers’? I feel like sometimes we create trends in our heads in order to fulfill our own narratives.

In this week’s article, I took a look at some players who performed significantly better in one half of the 2018-2019 campaign than the other. I included their performance during the 2017-2018 season as well so you can decide whether to waste your time analyzing ‘half-season performances’. If you really put some hard work and statistical analysis into this, you could probably come up with a few cool conclusions. However, I’m of the belief that player performances don’t consistently differ based on which half of the season it is. It doesn’t seem like something that can be accurately predicted, so why waste the time? With all this being said, the momentum of a strong second half can carry through to the following season. So, while it might be a waste of time to predict future second-half performers, it can be valuable to use strong second-half performances from the previous season as support for a strong showing in the upcoming season.

 

Teuvo Teravainen

 

2017-2018

 

Games Played

Goals

Assists

Points

1st Half

41

11

22

33

2nd Half

41

12

19

31

 

2018-2019

 

Games Played

Goals