Ramblings: Notes from training camp; using arbitrage to your advantage – September 16

Michael Clifford

2019-09-16

 

Following the signing of Zach Werenski, it seemed pretty obvious that Charlie McAvoy would soon follow. Less than a week later, McAvoy signed a three-year deal with Boston coming in with an AAV just under $5-million. As with a few of the bridge deals we’ve seen lately, the final year has a significantly higher actual salary than the earlier seasons.

In my mind, McAvoy is already a top-15 defenceman in the NHL. The problem for fantasy hockey is that as long as Torey Krug is around, McAvoy won’t be on the top PP unit. Beyond that, he hasn’t shown a penchant for shooting, which means we’re relying on even-strength points and hits/blocked shots for value. That’s a pretty narrow range of value in roto leagues when we’re talking about a player being drafted around other guys who at least have an opportunity for PP1 minutes like Jacob Trouba, Shea Theodore, and Dougie Hamilton.

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I’ve been stressing it all off-season, but Andreas Johnsson is going to be one of the best values in fantasy this year. He’s lining up with Auston Matthews and William Nylander right now and I believe he’s going to be in the top-6 all season (even when Zach Hyman returns). Finally, as mentioned before, I think he’s going to be the fourth forward on the top PP unit. We know Mike Bab