Geek of the Week: The Cat’s Outta The Bag

Michael Halbany

2020-03-15

After scoring 41 goals last season for the Chicago Blackhawks, Alex DeBrincat has struggled to regain his scoring touch from a season ago. Last year saw him put up 41 goals, 35 assists, 0 plus/minus, 24 power-play points, and 35 hits, which lead to him being tied for 58th in Fantasy Hockey Geek value among skaters in 2018-2019.

As a quick aside I created a "Standard Yahoo! League" in Fantasy Hockey Geek (FHG) and used the same settings as a Yahoo! Standard league. I highly recommend doing this for any league you play in because you can easily generate rankings from previous seasons.

This campaign has been a struggle for him as he has 18 goals, 24 assists, minus-11, 14 power-play points, and 58 hits in 68 games. Assuming he holds this pace for the rest of the season, he'll finish tied for 143rd in FHG value, behind his teammate Dominik Kubalik. A closer look at his underlying statistics reveals poor puck luck for the 22-year-old Michigan native.

(Data courtesy of Natural Stat Trick, Statistics are 5v5)

DeBrincat's 16.47 shot attempts per 60 minutes are up from last season and tied with his rookie campaign in 2017-2018. Even more intriguing is that his expected goals of 0.73 per 60 minutes are at the highest rate per season in his career, yet he's on track to finish with his fewest amount of goals in a