Frozen Tools Forensics: Most valuable defencemen

Chris Kane

2021-06-11

Welcome to part four of our four part skater series. We have already reviewed centermen, left wings, and right wings. Our goal is to figure out which players gave the most value to their fantasy teams. To do this we are essentially comparing player draft data to their end of year stats to get an idea of how well they have lived up to their average draft ranking (ADP). To be a valuable player in this context then a player needs to outperform their ADP. 

Frozen Tool Forensics: Most Valuable Defenseman. Previous iterations of this series can be found here.

The ADPs are based off draft rankings across several sites and averaged. Please find our top five defensemen below.

 ADP Rank
John Carlson16
Cale Makar22
Roman Josi25
Victor Hedman29
Dougie Hamilton42

As we noticed with right wings, defensemen were clearly targeted later in the draft. The reason is rather obvious, given that defensemen tend to put up fewer points. If we remember though Mitch Marner was drafted 12th and John Carlson is here at 16th. I think I know who I would have preferred. The fall off is pretty sharp though here with Dougie Hamilton ranked 42nd.

Next we have the same process as last week: we compare that draft rank to the player's year-long performance. We are taking Yahoo's standard calculation for points (six for a goal, four for an assist, etc) and apply that to Frozen Tool's Big Board Report. In order to do this we export the report, then add a little equation adding all of the values for each scoring category. That gives us a total-points produced for all players, which we can then rank. We will use both rank and actuals in this column – but we will get to actuals in a minute.

 ADP RankPTS RankΔ
Jakob Chychrun25810248
Shayne Gostisbehere284166118
Rasmus Andersson26116794
Mattias Ekholm25316192
Vince Dunn27518689

This metric highlights those deeper players who are dramatic