Ramblings – Looking at Potential Breakout Players for Next Year (Jun 28)

Dobber

2021-06-28

Coming July 10 – the 15th annual DobberHockey Fantasy Prospects Report. Over 400 players with the lowdown on their upside, their likelihood of making it, how long we have to wait for them to help our fantasy squads and so much more. Plus 100 draftee profiles with Mock Draft. It's 'the' bible for anyone in a dynasty league. You'll refer to it all season long. And if you buy it as part of the Keeper League Pack, it's just an extra five bucks on top of the Fantasy Guide.

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We are now at that point where there is no on-ice content to discuss, and for the most of the next 80-odd days I am left with whatever pops into my head. "Rambles", if you will.

This topic may be done to death over the next couple of months, but since this is the first time I'm personally delving into this – it's allowed. Breakout players. Generally to dig these out we should be honing our focus on those players approaching (or recently hitting) the 200-game mark for their careers. They also cannot have already broken out. For smaller players or big power guys, the threshold shifts to 400 games.

Who are the candidates in 2021-22 to become the next Alex DeBrincat, Martin Necas and Samuel Girard? I take a look at a few hovering around the 200-game mark (will save the 400 gamers for another time, as that one requires more analysis).

Conor Garland, Arizona – One could argue that Garland already had his breakout just this past year, as he finished with an 82-game pace of 65 points. But I think there's another gear yet. He's 36 games away from the 200-point threshold. Last year he had 22 points in his first 23 games, and he finished with seven in his last four.

Andrew Mangiapane, Calgary – His 82-game pace over his three NHL seasons run as follows: 24, 39 and 47. Now 22 games shy of 200, all he needs is another shot with Matt Tkachuk on his line. He had Tkachuk there a few times in the first half but didn't really get a look with him in the second half when Mangiapane really hit his stride.

Andrei Svechnikov, Carolina – He's already had a 74-point pace, although since he was slowing that year (2019-20) I suspect he would have finished with around 69 or 70. But this guy obviously has the next gear. And 205 games into his NHL career, what better time to hit it?

Warren Foegele, Carolina – Foegele has had a steady increase in ice time and although his production didn't jump this past season, he's champing at the bit for more responsibility. With his contract up, there are rumors that the team may move him. Perhaps they use him in a deal with Seattle, for a mix and match of favors and assets. On an expansion team, hell this could be your next William Karlsson. Foegele has played exactly 200 care