Wild West: Graduated Draft Picks by Teams in the West

Grant Campbell

2021-08-02

With today’s column, I'm bridging a few topics to drafting, graduating draft picks and current prospect pools. The ideal scenario for a successful team should be having a high success rate for draft picks in general, graduating those draft picks to the NHL and continue to keep the pipeline going for future drafts by having a good prospect pool at any time.

For this purpose, I went back to 2010 and looked at each team's drafts to see how many players graduated per draft year using 100 NHL games as the benchmark from 2010 to the 2015 draft. From 2016 through 2020 I used 25 NHL games as the benchmark.

We are going to look team by team and see where each team in the West is currently ranked with their prospect pool, how they rank graduating players since 2016 and how they did from 2010-2015.

The reason I was interested in looking deeper is that I was curious if the teams that had better current prospect pools were a combination of good drafting and/or good prospects that just haven't graduated yet? And to ask what teams that had graduated well in the past five years, were still able to maintain a good stable of current players? From a fantasy standpoint, I'm very interested in what teams are developing players properly and what teams might be on the upswing in the three to five years that the prospects might see a productive window in the NHL. If a team hasn't developed well for the past 11 years, then they are unlikely to start now, unless they have cleaned the house.

Dobber Prospects is running their annual 32 in 32 columns in August and more in-depth prospect details will be available there.

NHL graduating average from 2010 to 2015: 12.8 grads on 41 picks (30.48%)

NHL graduating average from 2016 to 2020: 4.67 grads on 34.7 picks (13.48%)

NHL graduating average from 2010 to 2020: 17.1 grads on 75.45 picks (22.66%)

Anaheim Ducks (Organization Rank #2)

The Ducks have drafted well since 2010 and I was a little surprised to see that they graduated 18 of 39 picks (46.15% success) from 2010 to 2015, which is the best in the NHL in terms of both numbers of grads and percentage. The problem with this high number is that the Ducks didn't draft a real game-changing player in that time amongst some very good hits with Cam Fowler, Rickard Rakell, William Karlsson, Josh Manson, Hampus Lindholm, Frederik Andersen, John Gibson, Shea Theodore, Ondrej Kase and Brandon Montour. There is an argument to be made for Theodore but the Ducks essentially gave him away.

From 2016 to 2020 are the years I consider the period that most influences the current prospect