Daily Fantasy Saturday: Winging It

Stephen Dotzel

2022-03-19

In last week's article we were once again on the right path committing to 4-3-1 lineup construction builds with an emphasis on the top power play, as evident by the first place $10,000 winning lineup in the DraftKings $15 Kick Save Tournament (see below).

This lineup entered by user joeflanagan9 featured a four-player Edmonton stack, three of which were the Connor McDavid, Evander Kane, Kailer Yamamoto trio who were fully correlated on the first line and power play. Tyson Barrie who was the defenseman for the second power play at the time rounded out the stack, which had a total price tag of $23,200, under the $25,000 mark we look to stay below. The three-man stack in this lineup was the Rangers second line and Thomas Chabot of the Senators top power play rounded out the lineup. All total this lineup had six skaters on the top power play and was a near perfect example of what I've been touching on the past few weeks as far as construction.

Unfortunately for me, the Edmonton-New York combo was not one that found its way into my lineups on Saturday. However, every day brings a new slate and every slate brings another chance for us to land on a winning lineup like you see above. Today's schedule is bit of a mixed bag. Sure, there are 11 games but with start times scattered throughout the day, we are left with just a five-game main slate starting at 7pm EST. Despite having six games prior to that, DraftKings decided to split those into two three-game mini slates so the five-game main slate is actually the biggest we have for the day. Not idea but we'll make the most of it.

Also, don't forget about the DraftKings DFS Player Evaluator over in the Frozen Tools and the three formulas it provides as another resource for your DFS lineups. As for where I'm looking, see below. All prices are from DraftKings but plays can be applied to any site.

Four Player Stacks under $25,000

Detroit – Probably not the team you expected to show up first in the article today, but the Red Wings have a sneaky good combination of matchup and price tonight. On the matchup front, the Kraken come in having lost 12 of their last 14 games and in those 12 losses they've allowed at least four goals eight times. Despite this, the Red Wings are priced as if they were in Calgary or Colorado. The four-man stack of Dylan Larkin ($5,800), Tyler Bertuzzi ($5,400), Lucas Raymond ($4,700), and Moritz Seider ($5,700) comes in at a value price of $21,600, which allows you plenty of room to build out rest of your lineup. Bertuzzi has missed the last few games with not being allowed to travel to Canada, but should be back in here.

New York – The matchup here with a road bout in Tampa Bay certainly isn't ideal, but frankly with just five games, our options are limited. The matchup should help keep the ownership down which is always a plus and the Rangers regardless of opponent have enough talent to score a few goals against anyone. Mika Zibanejad ($6,800), Chris Kreider ($7,100), Ryan Strome ($4,500), and Adam Fox ($6,600) just sneak in under the $25,000 mark and have nine goals between them over the last five games.

NashvilleErik Kallgren has been great for Toronto between the pipes the last few games but this will be his first ever road start tonight in Nashville. If the Predators can get to him which I think is certainly possible you can expect the top power play led by Roman Josi ($8,400) to play a factor. Using Filip Forsberg ($7,300), Ryan Johansen ($4,200), and Mikael Granlund (3,700) gives you that access at a fair price.

Three Player Stacks to Mix In

Montreal – Ottawa will be on a road back-to-back here which is always a good spot to pick on and Montreal's top line has been red hot. Nick Suzuki ($5,600) and Cole Caufield ($4,900) I will fire up with confidence mixing in the likes of Jeff Petry ($4,100) and Brendan Gallagher ($3,200) as the third player.

Vancouver – The Canucks should be another team that very few are going to play on this slate but against another team on a back-to-back may be worth a shot. Dan Vladar should be in net, and he has allowed three goals or more in six of nine starts. Coming off an overtime game on Friday and having lost to this Canucks team 7-1 just two weeks ago, I'll mix in a few Bo Horvat ($5,300), Brock Boeser ($5,200), and Quinn Hughes ($5,500) stacks which gives me three top power-play skaters for $16,000 in salary.

The above stacks can be mixed and matched together to create 4-3-1 lineups that have plenty of top power play exposure and have a high upside if things go your way. That lineup construction was the most prevalent among the winning lineups I recently reviewed.

Cheap Power Play 1 Plugs

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C – Mathieu Perreault ($2,500), Alex Wennberg ($2,600), Granlund ($3,700)

W – Gallagher ($3,200), Jordan Eberle ($3,600), Alex Killorn ($3,700)

D – Erik Brannstrom ($2,500), Carson Soucy ($2,900), Rasmus Andersson ($4,500)

Goalie Picks

Igor Shesterkin ($7,200)

Juuse Saros ($7,500)

Thatcher Demko ($7,400)

Alex Nedeljkovic ($7,600)

Be sure to double check your lineups before lock for any last-minute scratches or goalie changes. If you follow me on Twitter @SteveDotzel you can subscribe to my "DFS-NHL" list which is comprised of several team beat writers tweeting the most recent news in real-time. You can also reach out to me personally and I'll do my best to answer any questions I can. Hope to see you on top of the leaderboards!

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 23 - 13:12 N.J vs NYR
Dec 23 - 14:12 TOR vs WPG
Dec 23 - 19:12 DET vs STL
Dec 23 - 19:12 CBJ vs MTL
Dec 23 - 19:12 BOS vs WSH
Dec 23 - 19:12 FLA vs T.B
Dec 23 - 19:12 PIT vs PHI
Dec 23 - 19:12 NYI vs BUF
Dec 23 - 20:12 NSH vs CAR
Dec 23 - 20:12 MIN vs CHI
Dec 23 - 21:12 UTA vs DAL
Dec 23 - 21:12 VAN vs S.J
Dec 23 - 22:12 VGK vs ANA

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JACKSON LACOMBE ANA
LANE HUTSON MTL
PATRIK LAINE MTL
SHANE PINTO OTT
JONATHAN HUBERDEAU CGY

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL
SPENCER KNIGHT FLA
DAVID RITTICH L.A
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
JACOB MARKSTROM N.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency DAL Players
20.6 SAM STEEL COLIN BLACKWELL OSKAR BACK
19.8 JASON ROBERTSON ROOPE HINTZ MAVRIK BOURQUE
13.8 LOGAN STANKOVEN WYATT JOHNSTON JAMIE BENN

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