The Journey: May Sink-Or-Swim (Dugan, Turcotte, Beckman)

Benjamin Gehrels

2022-05-28

It’s the end of the month again, which means it’s time for another edition of sink-or-swim. We'll examine three former blue-chip prospects whose values have taken a hit and whose futures now seem uncertain. Should you trade them while they still have name recognition or hold until/buy low before they turn things around and get back to their dynamic ways?

Post ideas for future players in the comments or hit me up on Twitter @beegare. Past editions have looked at Martin Necas, Filip Chytil, Max Comtois, Kaapo Kakko, Erik Brannstrom, Eeli Tolvanen, Juuso Valimaki, Kailer Yamamoto, Nick Robertson, Cody Glass, Owen Tippett, Jack Roslovic, Filip Zadina, Kirby Dach, and David Farrance. This month, the spotlight is on Jack Dugan, Alex Turcotte, and Adam Beckman.

Jack Dugan (VGK) is a fifth-round pick (2017) who has been consistently dominant throughout his junior career: he lit up the high school circuit, USHL, NCAA, and AHL between 2016 – 2021 before faltering this past campaign in his second year with the Henderson Silver Knights (AHL).

Most poolies have always taken Dugan's dominance with a grain of salt because it mostly came as an overager. He scored an impressive 52 points in 34 games in his second college season but was 22 years old when he did it. For reference, Alex Newhook (COL) scored 42 points that same year but was only 19. By 22, most players on a star trajectory tend to be putting up points already in the NHL—like Newhook is now at 21. Hence Dugan's surprisingly bleak Hockey Prospecting profile.