Fantasy Take: Vegas Dumps Pacioretty, Carolina Offers Him A Rose

Michael Clifford

2022-07-13

The biggest shocker of Free Agent Frenzy had nothing to do with free agents, or at least not directly. It was the trade of Max Pacioretty and Dylan Coghlan to Carolina in exchange for future considerations. Those aren't typos, it was a straight cap dump:

Let's break this down.

What Carolina Gets

While Pacioretty has just one year left on his deal, with a $7M AAV, he is still a top-line scorer. He was injured for most of 2021-22 but still had 19 goals and 37 points in 39 games. In fact, he still finished fourth on the team in goals despite missing over half the campaign. Going back three seasons, he has 75 goals in 158 games, or nearly a 40-goal pace. That is… pretty good.

Aside from his superlative offensive play, he's still a good defensive winger. Not great by any means, but his impacts at both ends, from Evolving Hockey, look good-to-elite from 2019-22:

When he's healthy – and he did miss nearly 25% of his games during his Vegas tenure – Pacioretty is a top-line left winger, full stop. He does only have one year left, but that's probably what enticed Carolina. This also solidifies their top-4 winger mix of Pacioretty, Andrei Svechnikov, Teuvo Teravainen, and Seth Jarvis. They still have to figure out their centre situation – it does seem they're going with a duo of Kotkaniemi/Staal in the middle-6 – but the winger situation is elite and abundant. This was a top-10 scoring team in 2021-22 and they should be again.

They may not even have to change much on the power play. Maybe move a guy or two around, but just moving Pacioretty into Vincent Trocheck's spot – though not necessarily his role – seems the easiest solution. He could threaten for double-digit power play goals in a full season and he, along with Brent Burns, add some genuine shooters to the profile.

This is bad news for Jarvis, though. He may have had an outside shot at top PP minutes but with the Pacioretty trade, that doesn't seem likely now. They could just go with Teravainen/Aho/Svechnikov/Pacioretty as their top forward quartet and roll. It would, ostensibly, give Jarvis a very good winger to play with if they end up on the same even strength line, but the lack of top PP time will be a hindrance to his fantasy upside. Such is the life of a young NHLer. Should Martin Necas return – he's still carrying an RFA tag – it would be the same for him. This also keeps the newly-signed Kase on the third/fourth lines.

Coghlan being included doesn't really help him. There was a logjam of defencemen in Vegas but he goes to a team with Burns, Jaccob Slavin, Brett Pesce, and Brady Skjei. He won't be playing top-4 minutes without an injury.

This does make the left-wing situation in Vegas a lot more interesting. Jonathan Marchessault should probably get as much ice time as he can handle but it's wide open after that. They could move Chandler Stephenson to the wing, or give William Carrier top-6 minutes, or move Nicolas Roy to the off-wing. No matter what, they won't replace Pacioretty, so they'll need more from their depth.

Again, though, this should mean lots of top minutes, and PPTOI, for Marchessault. He seems like a big beneficiary here, even if the team is worse overall.

📢 advertisement:

Who this helps

Jesperi Kotkaniemi

Jonathan Marchessault

Who this hurts

Jack Eichel

Seth Jarvis

Mark Stone

Martin Necas

Leave A Comment

UPCOMING GAMES

Jan 22 - 19:01 N.J vs BOS
Jan 22 - 19:01 TOR vs CBJ
Jan 22 - 21:01 COL vs WPG
Jan 22 - 22:01 L.A vs FLA

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
DARREN RADDYSH T.B
LANE HUTSON MTL
MIKE LUNDIN
KAAPO KAKKO SEA
PAVEL DOROFEYEV VGK

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
JAKE OETTINGER DAL
LOGAN THOMPSON WSH
LEEVI MERILAINEN OTT
IGOR SHESTERKIN NYR
SAM MONTEMBEAULT MTL

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency STL Players
23.0 BRAYDEN SCHENN JORDAN KYROU DYLAN HOLLOWAY
19.1 ALEXEY TOROPCHENKO OSKAR SUNDQVIST PAVEL BUCHNEVICH
17.8 ROBERT THOMAS BRANDON SAAD JAKE NEIGHBOURS

DobberHockey Podcasts

Fantasy Hockey Life: Western Conference Buys and Sells

Victor and Jesse make the rounds of the Western Conference with an argument on opne buy and one sell for each team. We talk Jackson LaCombe, Mason McTavish, Martin Pospisil, Nazem Kadri, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Matthew Savoie, Drew Doughty, Kevin Fiala, William Eklund, Thomas Bordeleau, Shane Wright, Chandler Stephenson, Tom Willander, Jake DeBrusk, Victor Olofsson, Noah […]

Keeping Karlsson Short Shifts – The Wilkes-Jarry Penguins

Elizabeth and Lewis are back to take listeners through a host of power play changes that are giving managers the opportunity to get exposure to great players off the waiver wire, including Philly, Jersey, and Tampa talk. They also cover Jarry’s AHL demotion, Cooley’s ascension to the top-line and powerplay, and injuries to Tavares and Hintz. The duo wrap up with some hot and cold streak deep dives, including discussion of the Red Wings crazy powerplay success in the last ten games, whether Erik Gustafsson is rosterable or an overperforming illusion, Fantilli’s continued success, Merilainen as Hamburglar 2.0, and whether Schenn’s success and Neighbours’ lack thereof are likely to continue.

FIND US ON FACEBOOK

📢 advertisement: