The Wild West: Remaining UFAs and Where They Might End Up

Grant Campbell

2022-08-08

With just under a month passed since free agency opened, there are still some notable players in the free agency market. I thought we would look at the remaining players and try to match them with any Western teams that have the salary cap space and/or the need. Edmonton and Vegas are already over the cap with players still to sign, so I'm going to put them out of the running for any of these players.

We just began running the Dobber's Offseason Fantasy Grades for each team yesterday, so I will stop my organizational reviews at Seattle. I have signed up to write the Fantasy Grades for St. Louis and Winnipeg, so will have got everyone except for Vancouver and Vegas in the West when all is said and done.

Paul Stastny (36 years old) (C) 

Teams that could use Stastny are Anaheim, Calgary, Colorado and Winnipeg. Stastny is probably in his last few seasons in the NHL so he will be looking for a good fit and one would think a shot at the Stanley Cup.

For those reasons, I would put Colorado near the top here. The Avalanche have $3.9 million in cap space for next season and I think they could get Stastny for between $1 and 1.5 million. Stastny spent eight seasons in Colorado so knows the city well. He would have a chance to play on the second line ahead of J.T. Compher.

Paul has a good chance to do something his father Peter didn't do in his NHL career which is to play 1,000 games. Paul is currently at 990 while Peter finished with 977 GP. Paul had 20 goals last season for the first time since 2013-2014 and has a career-high of 25. He is capable of 15-20 goals and 15-25 assists and is excellent in the faceoff circle.

P.K. Subban (33) (RD)

Subban took a step back around 2018-19 and has never been quite the same, which comes with age and injuries. He's still a somewhat effective defenseman who still can display some offensive skills. He's probably a 5th or 6th defender at this point and it will be interesting to see what salary he will be asking for. I'm going to guess somewhere around $2.5 to 3.5 million AAV. Teams that have a need and that can afford him are Arizona, perhaps Nashville, Seattle and Winnipeg. I think Vancouver could use him, but can't afford him.

Out of those cities, Nashville and Winnipeg would be the best fits for him at this point. The Predators have Dante Fabbro, Alexandre Carrier and Jeremy Lauzon on the right side depth chart currently and I think Subban slots in either first or second. Nashville only has $2.39 million in cap space so Subban would need to leave some money on the table to go back there.

Winnipeg has around $5 to 5.25 million in cap space so might be pursuing others on this list, but I think it would take over $3 million AVV to get Subban there. Their right side depth currently is Neal Pionk, Dylan Demelo and Nate Schmidt. I think that Subban could slot in under Pionk and Schmidt with a chance to slide up to the second unit.

Sonny Milano (26) (LW/RW)

Milano made $1.8 million last season and would have had to be qualified by Anaheim for that amount this year. They didn't qualify him and he is now an unrestricted free agent. He had a bit of a breakout season in the first half of 2021-2022 with nine goals and 16 assists in his first 35 games, which had him on pace for a 50-point season. Unfortunately, he only had five goals and four assists in his last 31 games.

I would think he will need to sign for between $1 and 1.5 million AAV. Teams that he could be a fit on are Anaheim, Arizona, Colorado, and Winnipeg.

A lot depends on if Mason McTavish will be ready in Anaheim, but if not Milano would be a good fallback option on the second line. Arizona can always use more offense, and Milano could slot in ahead of Lawson Crouse.

Colorado is more a dark horse destination as Alex Newhook and Valeri Nichushkin are pencilled in on the left side. Winnipeg is a little weak on the left side after Kyle Connor and Nikolaj Ehlers, so signing Milano might give them some offensive depth.

Tyler Motte (27) (LW/RW)

Motte finished last season with the Rangers and had a decent playoff after missing a few games with a shoulder injury. He made $1.45 million last year and should get that or more with a new contract. He is typically a fourth-line winger who can kill penalties, but he can slot up to the third line when needed.

Teams that have a fit for him are Calgary, Colorado, Dallas, Los Angeles, Minnesota, St. Louis, Vancouver and Winnipeg.

Dallas, Los Angeles, St. Louis and Vancouver would need to move out some salary to sign him. That leaves Calgary, Colorado, Minnesota and Winnipeg as more realistic landing spots.

Calgary would be a great fit for him but they did sign Kevin Rooney to a two-year $1.3 million AAV deal who plays a similar role. It would be a similar story in Colorado as right now the Avalanche have Andrew Cogliano, Logan O'Connor and Jason Megna pencilled in for the bottom-six roles. Motte would be an upgrade on all three.

Minnesota would only have a fourth-line role for Motte as the team already has Jordan Greenway and Marcus Foligno on the third line. He would be an upgrade on Connor Dewar or Brandon Duhaime in my opinion.

Winnipeg just re-signed Mason Appleton to a two-year deal at $2.17 million AAV (which seems expensive to me), but they are very thin in the bottom six with Morgan Barron, Jansen Harkins, Kevin Stenlund and perhaps Kristian Reichel as the current options on the wings.

Evan Rodrigues (29) (RW/C)

The easy thing to say about his 19 goals and 24 assists in 82 games last season was that he played with Sidney Crosby and Jake Guentzel for most of the season. He only played with them just over 20 percent of the time, so that argument is a little over-inflated. The surprising stat from last year is that he had 243 shots on goal which was 3.0/g. He only shot 7.8 percent, which is around his career average of 7.6.

He made $1 million last season, so is probably looking for a substantial raise to over $2 million AAV.

Teams that have a fit both on the roster and under the cap are Arizona, Chicago, Colorado, Nashville and Winnipeg.

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Arizona currently has Travis Boyd, Zack Kassian and Christian Fischer down the right side after Nick Schmaltz. There is a spot on the second line for Rodrigues here.

Chicago has a similar lineup situation to Arizona with Tyler Johnson, Taylor Raddysh and Colin Blackwell pencilled in currently. It doesn't look like Chicago is looking to get better this season, so this is a doubtful addition.

Colorado currently has Artturi Lehkonen, Logan O'Connor and Jason Megna. Rodrigues would be a good fit around Lehkonen.

Nashville has their top two right-wingers with Matt Duchene and Nino Niederreiter, so Rodrigues would need to fit in on the third line ahead of Michael McCarron and Zach Sanford.

Winnipeg will try to give Cole Perfetti a chance in the top-six this season, but Rodrigues could be a good fallback plan ahead of Appleton and Stenlund if Perfetti struggles.

Rodrigues could get his new team 15-20 goals and 15-25 assists next year.

Braden Holtby (32) (G) (1.64M)

The only fit that I saw for Holtby in the West was back in Dallas. But with goalies, you just never know. He could be the starter in Colorado and hoisting the Stanley Cup at the end of the year.

Phil Kessel (34) (RW) (2.5 million)

Kessel will need to take a big pay cut from the $8 million AAV he has collected over the past eight years. He's a one-dimensional forward who had eight goals and 44 assists last season. He should still be capable of 15-20 goals and 30-35 assists on a team which doesn't demand defensive or physical play from their forwards.

Teams that might fit the bill are Arizona, Chicago and Winnipeg.

If Arizona can sign Kessel for $2 million AAV or less, then they might be willing to bring back Kessel for one or two more seasons as they currently lack offense.

As I mentioned earlier, it doesn't appear that Chicago is looking to get better next season. Adding Kessel might fall into that category for them as I don't think his offensive contributions outweigh the other facets of his game.

I could only envision Winnipeg adding him to their roster if they didn't think Perfetti was ready to make the step this season. Kessel is still a useful player on the PP and if they could sign him for around $1 million for one season, they might take a flier on him.  

Nazem Kadri (31) (C) ($7.8M)

Kadri is coming off a career year at 31 years of age as he won the Stanley Cup in Colorado and had 87 points in 71 games. Usually, when players have the type of season Kadir had during a UFA year, they win the lottery. Unfortunately, the market might have passed Kadri over a little as there are not many teams who can afford him at this point in free agency.

The few teams in the West that are capable are Anaheim, Calgary (if they do something with Sean Monahan), Chicago and Arizona.

I don't think Kadri would have any interest other than money to play in Chicago or Arizona at this point in his career so that leaves Anaheim and Calgary in my opinion.

If the Ducks were to add Kadri, they would have Trevor Zegras, Kadri and Ryan Strome down the middle for the next 3-5 years. That would be a pretty impressive middle of the lineup.

Anaheim needs to re-sign Zegras, Troy Terry and Jamie Drysdale for the 2022-23 season, so needs to leave 15-25 million of their $43 million in cap space available. If Kadri was signed that would leave them a little thinner. It's not a move that Anaheim should do, but ownership groups have been known to be impatient during free agency, so one never knows.

The other interesting team to look out for is Calgary who would need to move Sean Monahan's salary from their cap to even entertain signing Kadri. If the Flames were somehow able to pull it off, they would have Elias Lindholm, Nazem Kadri and Mikael Backlund as their top three centers.

Thanks for reading, and let me know if you want me to focus on any players or topics by messaging me below or following me on Twitter @gampbler15.

One Comment

  1. goose191919 2022-08-08 at 12:33

    I’d love to see the Sharks sign Kessel for a year at a low AAV and then flip him to a contender assuming they aren’t in a playoff run by the trade deadline. They need RW scoring help and barely have any right-handed shots in their lineup.

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