Dobber’s Offseason Fantasy Grades: Winnipeg Jets
Grant Campbell
2022-09-07
For the last 19 years (12 with The Hockey News) Dobber has reviewed each team from a fantasy-hockey standpoint and graded them.
The 20th annual review will appear here on DobberHockey throughout the summer/fall. This is not a review of the likely performance on the ice or in the standings, but in the realm of fantasy hockey both for the season ahead as well as the foreseeable future. Offensively, will the team perform? Are there plenty of depth options worthy of owning in keeper leagues? What about over the next two or three years? These questions are what we take into consideration when looking at the depth chart and the player potential on that depth chart.
Here’s the last of ’em. Enjoy!
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Gone – Luke Johnson, Zach Sanford, Eric Comrie, Austin Poganski, Adam Brooks, Evgeny Svechnikov
The only player that the Jets might miss is Eric Comrie as they have replaced him with David Rittich as the backup. Rittich will need to bounce back to give the Jets average goaltending.
Incoming – Kyle Capobianco, Kevin Stenlund, David Rittich
Capobianco is an intriguing addition by the Jets because of the offense he has put up in the AHL, which is 112 points in 155 games. He has struggled at the NHL level with and without the puck as he has 10 points in 59 games. He was signed for depth and will more than likely be used as an extra unless the Jets run into injuries or an infusion of offense.
Stenlund could win a role on the fourth line this year. In his four years with Columbus, he played 71 games with 11 goals and nine assists. For a player with his size at 6-4 and 210 lb, he doesn't play a physical game.
Impact of Changes – From a fantasy standpoint, there has been pretty much no impact on the roster so far this off-season. If anything, the team has gone a little backwards, albeit slightly.
Ready for Full Time – Winnipeg will more than likely give some opportunities to some younger players this year as they haven't added externally to this point.
Players that could see increased roles are Morgan Barron, David Gustafsson, Cole Perfetti, Kristian Reichel, Ville Heinola and Dylan Samberg. Two out of the three of Arvid Holm, Oskari Salminen, and Mikhail Berdin should be the goalies in the AHL to start the season and could have a shot of getting some games if needed with the Jets this season.
Salminen is making his way to North America this season and both Holm and Berdin played in the AHL last year.
Perfetti has the best chance to make an immediate impact as he could see time in the top-six and some power play time. He battled injuries last season and was only able to play 18 games in the NHL and 17 games in the AHL.
It feels like we have been waiting on Heinola to make the NHL for a while, but he is still only 21 years old and has 25 NHL games under his belt over the past three seasons with one goal and nine assists. He has 63 AHL games with nine goals and 29 assists. He will be a regular eventually, but he will need to be patient and play well when given the opportunity as the Jets aren't going to rush him.
Fantasy Outlook – It's not a stretch to compare Mark Scheifele and Kyle Connor to Matthew Tkachuk and Johnny Gaudreau when they were with Calgary. Losing both would be about the same-sized hole that Calgary saw themselves facing this off-season. Connor is signed to the end of the 2025-26 season and Scheifele to the end of the 2023-24 season, but there has been growing concern with Scheifele over the past year about his intentions moving forward.
If Perfetti is ready this season, the Jets have an excellent top two lines and Nikolaj Ehlers, Connor and Scheifele should be able to duplicate their outputs from last season. We can expect Blake Wheeler to start slowing down a little at 35 years of age, while Pierre-Luc Dubois only signed a one-year extension for next season but remains an RFA at the end of it. He will be playing for a longer-term extension with Winnipeg or to be moved to another team.
Perfetti could be a candidate for the Calder next year and could put up 15-20 goals and 40-45 points.
Outside of Adam Lowry, the Jets are below average in their bottom-six forward group unless some of the younger players mentioned above contribute higher than expected. From a fantasy outlook, Lowry tops out at 10-15 goals and 10-15 assists.
Defensively, the Jets don't have a dynamic power play quarterback and have relied on Josh Morrissey and Neal Pionk over the past three seasons. It looked like Morrissey took a small step ahead of Pionk last season where he had 12 goals and 37 points to the three goals and 34 points Pionk did. This might be an opportunity for Ville Heinola this season or next to make a difference on a power play that ranked 17th in the league last season. Could Capobianco get some time there this year?
After the top two, Nate Schmidt, Brendan Dillon, Dylan DeMelo and perhaps Heinola, Logan Stanley, Copabianco and Dylan Samberg for the other spots on the backend. Schmidt, Heinola and Copabianco are the only fantasy-relevant players outside of pools that use hits and blocked shots.
In goal, once again the Jets will be forced to play Connor Hellebuyck 60-70 games next season unless Rittich steps up his game.
Fantasy Grade – B (Last year was a B+)