Goldipucks and the Three Skaters: Brock Boeser, Brad Marchand, Tom Wilson

Rick Roos

2022-10-19

Welcome back to Goldipucks and the Three Skaters, a play on words of the Goldilocks and the Three Bears story. Instead of there being three bowls of porridge though, I cover three skaters and declare one too hot (i.e., doing unsustainably better than he should), another too cold (i.e., doing unsustainably worse), and a third “just right” (i.e., producing where he should be). In addition, I also assign each a rating of 1-10, indicating how hot (rated 7-10, where 10 is the most unsustainably hot), cold (rated 1-4, where 1 is the most unsustainably cold), or “just right” (rated 4-7, where 5.5 is the most “just right”) he is.

It's that awkward time of year for Goldipucks, as there isn't enough current data for me to dissect; but for most skaters it would be strange to look at solely last season's numbers. As a compromise, I'm covering two (Brad Marchand, Tom Wilson), who, despite being injured, remain of interest to poolies, and another (Brock Boeser) who missed all of preseason. Your task is to decide which of the three, for 2021-22, was too hot, who was too cold, and whose output was just right, and see if you remembered enough to make correct picks for all three. Note that for each player, his 2021-22 stats are denoted.

Brock Boeser (71 games, 23G, 23A, 195 SOG, 17 PPPts, 18:36 TOI, 3:05 PP, 64.0% PP%)

Drafted with pick 23 in the first round in 2015, Boeser earned a nine game NHL cameo at the end of 2016-17, during which he potted four goals and convinced the Canucks he should be with them for 2017-18. They most certainly didn't regret their decision, with Boeser posting 55 points in 62 games as a rookie, and a 65-73 point scoring rate in each of his next three seasons. But Boeser's production dipped to 46 points in 71 games for 2021-22. Was that just a blip in the radar, or could Boeser heave peaked early? Data and metrics suggest it's likely the former.

Boeser