Ramblings: Updates on Ekblad, Landeskog, and Vrana; McMichael Finally Lines Up; Kuzmenko, Meier, and Josi – October 20

Michael Clifford

2022-10-20

Early in the fantasy hockey season, there needs to be a balance struck. That balance is between what we thought in the offseason, what we've seen in the games so far, and what the numbers are telling us. It has been shown in prior statistical work that it can take about 20 games for expected goals numbers to stabilize. The problem with that in the fantasy realm is that 20 games take most teams to (roughly) the last week of November and if we're not adjusting our expectations before that, our league mates are probably going to lap us.

Today, let's take some time to dig into early-season numbers from across the league. Having just 3-4 games played isn't enough to make a final determination, but they can provide us with a guiding light; they can tell us where we should be paying closer attention and where we shouldn't. Let's take a gander at five early numbers, both good and bad, and players that we should be keying on over the next couple weeks to help our fantasy teams, or players to discard. Most of the data is from Natural Stat Trick, our Frozen Tools, or Evolving Hockey.

Timo Meier

The player with the most shots on goal without scoring (as of Wednesday afternoon) is San Jose's top winger Timo Meier. He has 21 shots on goal with registering a tally yet, a worrying start for his fantasy owners.

One problem with Meier's scoring over his career is an inability to convert at a high rate. He averaged 10.5% from 2017-22, a span of 360 games. Of the 14 forwards