Ramblings: Kuzmenko Hat Trick; Hot Horvat, EK65, Lindholm; Cold Binnington, O’Reilly, Teravainen (Oct 4)
Ian Gooding
2022-11-04
Cam Talbot made his season and Senators debut on Thursday, although it wasn't planned that way. Anton Forsberg was given the hook after allowing five goals on 19 shots. Forsberg has allowed at least four goals in each of his last three games, so should we call him Foursberg? Kidding aside, Forsberg has hit a rough patch after starting the season with quality starts in six of his first seven games. Talbot will no doubt cut into his workload and could even take on the majority of starts going forward.
Tim Stutzle broke a four-game point drought with two goals on Thursday, which were just his second and third goals of the season. He had also gone six games without a goal. He had been held without a shot in his previous two games, but he took five shots on Thursday. He'd had a bit of bad luck with an 8.3 SH% entering this game, but after this effort the buy-low window might be closing on this popular preseason sleeper.
Claude Giroux also scored twice on Thursday. One of those goals was a softie, but hey, they all count.
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Alex Ovechkin has set another record in his pursuit of the all-time goal record. At age 37 he's still not showing any signs of slowing down with goals in four of his last six games.
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Did you have the Boston Bruins falling out of the playoffs this season? Well, they've now won seven consecutive games and are now 10-1-0. There's still a lot of season left, but with Brad Marchand back and Charlie McAvoy soon to follow, I like their chances.
With a goal on Thursday, David Pastrnak has scored a goal in eight of 11 games this season. He also has 12 points in his last seven games.
Hampus Lindholm also continues to be scorching hot with a goal and an assist with a plus-3. He's a must start over the next few games, but he may be transitioning to a more defensive role once McAvoy returns, which might be as early as next week. Use the time to sell high on Lindholm if you can, as he has never reached a 0.5 PTS/GP pace over a full season since debuting in 2013-14. His advanced stats confirm this (15.8 SH%, 11.1 5-on-5 SH%, 2.7 PTS/60). He could reach a 0.5 PTS/GP pace anyway this season, as he is surrounded with more talent on the Bruins than on the Ducks. I wrote more about Lindholm on Wednesday.
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Andrei Vasilevskiy couldn't pick up a win on Thursday, but it wasn't due to lack of effort. The Big Cat made 53 saves in a 4-3 shootout loss to Carolina. Surprisingly, it was Vasilevskiy's first quality start in four games, as he has allowed at least three goals in each of his last four games. It's possible that three seasons of Stanley Cup runs is catching up to the high-volume goalie, but it may still be premature to count him out.
Teuvo Teravainen has been an empty start in pure scoring leagues lately. He has yet to score a goal in 10 games and is without an assist over his last four games. He's been moved off the top power play, so not surprisingly he's also without a power-play point this season. The Canes are currently giving journeyman Stefan Noesen a whirl on the top power play, so it could be a matter of time before Teravainen is back there. In addition, Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis aren't the type of linemates that those who roster Teravainen should complain about. I'll agree with Eastern Edge writer Brennan, who advised not to drop Turbo unless your league is shallower than… (you'll have to read the article for the comparison).
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Break up the Seattle Kraken! They've now won three games in a row. I don't have a lot of faith in Martin Jones and you probably don't either, but I should mention that he has wins and quality starts in three of his last four games. Over those three quality starts, he's allowed just two goals, including a 22-save shutout of the Wild in Minnesota. Jones's save percentage is still below .900 thanks to a rough start, even with this recent run of exceptional play. Philipp Grubauer is still considered week-to-week, so Jones should probably receive the nod on Saturday against a struggling Penguins squad that the Kraken defeated last weekend. He might not be the worst option if you need a goalie stream.
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St. Louis is singing the Blues with six consecutive losses. Not surprisingly, Jordan Binnington was not on his best behavior.
Binnington has been in the net for four of these losses, and he has allowed at least four goals in his last three games. The Blues are capable of playing better, and they should be able to right the ship considering that a team will go through peaks and valleys during a season. That being said, you'll probably want to park Binnington on your bench until he shows signs of a turnaround. I probably wouldn't argue with you if you felt the desire to drop him for a goalie that is doing less damage to your fantasy team, considering his overall body of work over the past two seasons.
The Cold Report on Frozen Tools shows another familiar name for the Blues. Ryan O'Reilly has been without a point in four consecutive games, and he has just one point (a goal) to show over nine games. No points at 5-on-5 either. He's normally a dependable player, and all of his advanced stats on the Frozen Tools are green, which indicate a strong buy-low opportunity. What's weird as well is that he's also in a contract year, so he should be extra motivated. I'd go with O'Reilly as a buy very low, as he is now 31 and playing at a deep center position where there are usually tons of replacement-level options available in standard-sized leagues.
By the way, O'Reilly's minus-12 is the second-worst ranking in the league. Only teammate Jordan Kyrou's minus-15 is worse. Neither O'Reilly or Kyrou has recorded an assist yet this season, and both have played nine games. Ouch.
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On Wednesday I covered defensemen who were filling in for PP1 incumbents who are injured. An omission to that list was the brother combination of Seth Jones and Caleb Jones in Chicago. Seth is expected to miss the next 3-4 weeks with a thumb injury, so Caleb has taken his spot there. The younger Jones brother recorded an assist on Thursday, giving him six points (all assists) over his last six games. Jones is rostered in just 3% of Yahoo leagues and 19% of Fantrax leagues, so he's very likely available if you could use an injury replacement on defense.
With an overtime game-winner on Thursday, Jonathan Toews now has goals in three consecutive games and points in seven consecutive games. Moreover, he has seven goals in 11 games this season. It's easy to brush off Captain Serious now that he is 34 and the Blackhawks aren't hiding the fact that they're rebuilding. Yet there he is, rostered in just 19 percent of Yahoo leagues and 37% of Fantrax leagues. Obviously he's not going to continue scoring goals at that pace, but it appears that he still has something left to provide for fantasy teams.
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It's now 11 games and counting for Jesper Bratt in his season-opening scoring streak. Bratt scored the game-winner for New Jersey in a come-from-behind 4-3 win in Edmonton. Bratt's goal was the second in seven seconds for the Devils. I can't say much more about Bratt than what I've already said before, as he's showing more and more every day that he's for real.
It wasn't all good for the Devils in this game, as Mackenzie Blackwood left the game with an injury. Blackwood was held to just 25 games last season because of a heel injury, so he's approaching Band-Aid Boy territory should this injury force him to miss time. The Devils are playing well enough for Vitek Vanecek to be added in the roughly one-half of Yahoo leagues in which he's available.
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Troy Terry scored the Ducks' first power-play goal in ten games on Thursday. The Canucks have such a dreadful penalty kill that eventually one of these two black holes had to give (and after it did, the Ducks scored another power-play goal). John Klingberg assisted on that goal, recording his first power-play point since the first game of the season.
When it comes to John Gibson, you can allow 5+ goals while making some outstanding saves in the same game. Gibson has allowed at least five goals four times this season. Stick him on a team that's not so deep into a rebuild and watch his numbers improve substantially.
Andrei Kuzmenko has multiple-point results in three of his last four games, including a hat trick and an assist on Thursday. Kuzmenko also has five goals and eight points over his last four games. He's rostered in just 18% of Yahoo leagues, if you're thinking of making the move. KHL stars who make the move to the NHL don't always work out, but Kuzmenko has the hands and the ability to get to the net that should land him another NHL contract after the season. Kuzmenko is also receiving first-unit power-play minutes, which at the very least should continue as long as Brock Boeser is sidelined.
Elias Pettersson filled the statsheet in an eight-goal effort for the Canucks: 1 G, 4 A, 2 PPP, +4, 8 SOG. The vibe in Vancouver is that Petey is primed for a career year, and it's a market that can be as cynical as any.
Something else to think about with Pettersson:
Bo Horvat continues to have a nose for the net, as he has three consecutive games with two goals. He's also fired at least five shots in each of those games and averaging 3.5 shots per game overall. Maybe he could pass along some contract year tips for the aforementioned O'Reilly. Obviously Horvat will cool down (26.5 SH%, 3.5 PTS/60) but he's just the third player to reach 10 goals this season.
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The second player to score 10 goals is Erik Karlsson, who is making an early but powerful bid for comeback player of the year. That's four consecutive games with at least a goal and multiple points, as Karlsson added another goal and two assists with six shots on Thursday. I'm facing Karlsson in one of my head-to-head leagues this week and getting absolutely destroyed (defensemen receive bonus points for scoring, I should add). If I'd only known, I would have bumped up my bids on EK65 in that league. But I don't think any of us knew. As I keep saying, it's all about staying healthy for an entire season. If injuries don't derail his season, we all know what he's capable of.
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