Geek of The Week: One Last List of Undervalued Buy-Low Candidates

Ryan Brudner

2024-02-25

Hello and welcome back to Geek of the Week! With fantasy hockey trade deadlines upon us, I am going to bring up some undervalued players one last time. If your trade deadline is soon, this is quite literally your last chance to buy somewhat low. I expect each of these players to improve to finish the season. I'll be highlighting multiple categories and bringing up many metrics to determine this (SH%, Shot attempts, TOI, SOG, Hits, PIM, BLK).

The season stats provided do not include Sunday's games.

Matt Boldy – 51 GP, 23 G, 24 A, 47 P, 16 PPP, 155 SOG, 21 Hit, 18 BLK, 40 PIM

Boldy has been on fire lately, likely hurting his "buy-low" label. He's collected 14 points in his last 8 games. What is more impressive is that he's had 72 shot attempts in that span, good for 9 per game. With about half of these attempts hitting the net (pretty much what is expected), he's averaged 4.6 SOG per game. This is far higher than his season average of 3 SOG per game (and 6.7 shot attempts per game). He is just firing the puck lately and it looks like he can continue to do so to finish the season.

With Boldy's season-long stats, he is likely somewhere between rank 50 and 100 in your fantasy leagues. If a current fantasy owner is happy to trade him as that player, I would be buying. I am expecting around 4 SOG per game and over a point-per game pace to finish the season from Boldy. Even in multicat leagues, he takes enough minor penalties to provide a bit of help in the peripheral categories, but don't expect hits or blocks.

Some notable players I would prefer Boldy over include Brock Boeser, Nick Suzuki, Travis Konecny, and Brad Marchand.

Owen Tippett – 54 GP, 21 G, 14 A, 35 P, 6 PPP, 211 SOG, 97 Hit, 27 BLK, 6 PIM

Here is another player whose recent play may have hurt his "buy-low" label. Although Tippett hasn't necessarily picked up many points, his shooting has impressed. On the season, Tippett is only second to David Pastrnak in SOG per 60 minutes. But lately, Tippett has received increased ice time with PP1 usage. This has resulted in insane amounts of shot attempts and SOG.

In his last 5 games alone, he's had 56 shot attempts and 33 SOG, good for 6.6 SOG per game. Tippett has finally earned his top line role back, playing between 18 and 23 minutes per night lately. Tippett has averaged 3.9 SOG per game this season. I'm expecting this number to hover around 5 per game for the remainder of the season as long as Tortarella doesn't put him in the doghouse.

With around 2 hits per game, and 0.7-1 point per game the rest of the way, Tippett is a top 75 multicategory asset. With only 35 points so far, maybe the current fantasy owner doesn't know what they have in Tippett. I would try and trade for him before the fantasy trade deadline.

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Martin Pospisil – 42 GP, 6 G, 9 A, 15P, 0 PPP, 73 SOG, 143 Hits, 18 BLK, 53 PIM

This may be a waiver pick-up for some or a target in deeper multicategory leagues. Pospisil may not be such an offensive threat, but he can pick up points here and there being rolled out on an even strength line with Nazem Kadri and Connor Zary. Pospisil has been trusted in a larger role on the Flames as of late. He is averaging over 14 minutes of TOI per game. With this, his hit numbers have climbed greatly. He is averaging a whopping 6.67 hits per game in this span. He's also picked up 14 PIM, 2 goals and 1 assist in this 6-game span as well, making him a must-roster player for multicategory banger leagues.

With questions surrounding what the Flames will do this trade deadline, there could be further opportunities for Pospisil. In his current role, he can be trusted for a bit of offense to go along with elite hit and PIM numbers. If key players were to be shipped out, maybe he could even grab some PPPs.

Hope you enjoyed! See you next week.

Follow me on X @fantasycheddar, where I will answer any questions you may have.

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