Looking Ahead: Week 25
Bob Fisher
2014-03-28
Five players to target in Week 25…
Here are some teams to target and avoid for the next week or two, several players to target that may be available in your league as well as teams that play a light schedule in the upcoming week.
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Anaheim Ducks = Target
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Games: 8 (4H/4A)
Favorable Matchups:
   – @ Edmonton x 2
       > 3rd worst defensive team
       > 6th most shots allowed per game
       > 16 goals allowed in past three games (5.33 GAA)
   – vs. Edmonton
       > See above
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That's really all you need to see. The Ducks face the Oilers three times over the next ten days. Over the next two weeks, Anaheim is one of only three teams to play eight games. In addition, they face the Canucks twice and the Jets and Predators once apiece. So their next seven games are against non-playoff teams, some of which are vulnerable to letting in goals in bunches. Expect much of the same from Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry. While Mathieu Perreault , Nick Bonino and Teemu Selanne should provide damn good secondary scoring numbers.
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Ottawa Senators = Consider
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Games: 7 (5H/2A)
Favorable Matchups:
   – vs. NY Islanders
       > Worst defensive team
       > 2nd worst penalty kill
       > 45 goals allowed in 13 games since John Tavares' injury (3.46 GAA)
   – @ NY Islanders
       > See above
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Much like the Ducks, the Senators are here because they will attempt to feast on the same team multiple times over the coming weeks. The Islanders are the worst defensive team in the league right now and have nothing to play for, really. Coupled with that, Ottawa has games against Calgary and Carolina to help boost their offensive totals. It's not like Ottawa is playing for much either, so we could see some wide open games.
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Nashville Predators = Beware
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Games: 5 (1H/4A)
Unfavorable Matchups:
   – @ Anaheim
       > 6th best defensive team
       > 8th fewest shots allowed per game
       > 11 goals allowed in past five games (2.20 GAA)
   – @ San Jose
       > 4th best defensive team
       > 7th best penalty kill
       > 5th fewest shots allowed per game
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Last week the Predators were a "Consider" team and they put up six on Calgary, two on Chicago, four on Colorado and six on Buffalo (18 goals in four games = 4.5 goals per game). That's a pretty solid hit for me. Now I'm leaning the other way. Just one game at home between now and April 10th, including stops in Anaheim and San Jose.  I don't see that 4.5 goals/game continuing.
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Vancouver Canucks = Avoid
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Games: 4 (4H/0A)
Unfavorable Matchups:
   – vs. Anaheim x 2
       > See above
   – vs. NY Rangers
       > 5th best defensive team
       > 6th best penalty kill
       > 19 goals allowed in past 11 games (1.73 GAA)
   – vs. Los Angeles
       > 2nd best defensive team
       > 3rd fewest shots allowed per game
       > Nine goals allowed on current five-game winning streak (1.80 GAA)
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The Canucks have the fewest games of any NHL team between now and April 9th. All four of their games over that period are against top defensive clubs that are in the playoffs. Vancouver has gone on a nice little run; winning three of their past four and keeping their playoff hopes alive. This upcoming schedule will see to it they don't make the postseason, especially because they've played more games than any of the teams they are chasing or tied with (Dallas).
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Possible Pickups
Here's a list of some players, owned in less than 30% of Yahoo leagues, to target for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule.
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Anaheim: Mathieu Perreault (7%) – Currently on six-game point streak, four of which are goals. Six penalty minutes, +3, 17 hits and 13 shots on goal over the same span.
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NY Islanders: Andres Lee (5%) – Nine points in his past ten while being a +5 on a crappy Islander team. Another impressive stat: 35 shots.
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New Jersey: Adam Henrique (26%) – Patrik Elias seems to be the only Devil still producing and he's dragging Henrique to four points in his past four with a +3, 2 PIMs and 6 hits.
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Columbus: Boone Jenner (2%) – Centering two of Columbus' most gifted offensive players in Ryan Johansen and Nathan Horton. He's recently held onto that spot on the powerplay (which is a good sign).
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Florida: Scottie Upshall (4%) – Not much to cheer about in Florida, but Upshall does lead the team in points, plus/minus and game-winners.Â
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Light Day Targets
Want to know what teams to target based on their schedule landing on light days for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule?
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Week: Monday, March 31st through Sunday, April 6th
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Monday: 8 teams
Tuesday: 22 teams
Wednesday: 8 teams
Thursday: 18 teams
Friday: 14 teams
Saturday: 22 teams
Sunday: 12 teams
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Different week, same schedule.
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So what teams have a good schedule for the light days?
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 |
Mon |
Tues |
Wed |
Thur |
Fri |
Sat |
Sun |
Anaheim Ducks |
X |
 |
X |
 |
X |
 |
X |
Ottawa Senators |
X |
 |
X |
 |
X |
X |
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📢 advertisement:
|
Los Angeles Kings |
X |
 |
X |
X |
 |
X |
 |
Florida Panthers |
X |
X |
 |
 |
X |
 |
X |
Edmonton Oilers |
 |
X |
X |
 |
X |
 |
X |
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Friday, March 28 to Thursday, April 3 |
Best Bets |
Ottawa (4.46) – 4 Games: CHI, CGY, CAR, NYI |
Anaheim (4.35) – 4 Games: @EDM, @VAN, WPG, EDM |
Tampa Bay (4.15) – 4 Games: @BUF, @DET, MTL, CGY |
Carolina (4.10) – 4 Games: CBJ, @OTW, @PIT, DAL |
NY Rangers (4.04) – 4 Games: @CGY, @EDM, @VAN, @COL |
Steer Clear |
Vancouver (1.89) – 2 Games: ANH, NYR |
Montreal (2.04) – 2 Games: @FLA, @TB |
Nashville (2.05) – 2 Games: @DAL, WSH |
Minnesota (2.66) – 3 Games: @PHX, @LA, @CHI |
Colorado (2.79) – 3 Games: SJ, @CBJ, NYR |
Saturday, March 29 to Friday, April 4 |
Best Bets |
New Jersey (4.50) – 4 Games: @NYI, FLA, @BUF, WSH |
Ottawa (4.46) – 4 Games: CGY, CAR, NYI, MTL |
Anaheim (4.36) – 4 Games: @VAN, WPG, EDM, NSH |
Florida (4.20) – 4 Games: MTL, @NJ, @NYI, CGY |
Calgary (4.18) – 4 Games: @OTW, @TOR, @TB, @FLA |
Steer Clear |
Vancouver (1.89) – 2 Games: ANH, NYR |
Nashville (1.96) – 2 Games: WSH, @ANH |
Minnesota (2.66) – 3 Games: @PHX, @LA, @CHI |
Philadelphia (2.70) – 3 Games: BOS, @STL, CBJ |
Dallas (2.76) – 3 Games: @STL, @WSH, @CAR |
Sunday, March 30 to Saturday, April 5 |
Best Bets |
Ottawa (5.32) – 5 Games: CGY, CAR, NYI, MTL, @NYR |
New Jersey (4.31) – 4 Games: FLA, @BUF, WSH, @CAR |
NY Rangers (4.20) – 4 Games: @EDM, @VAN, @COL, OTW |
Calgary (4.18) – 4 Games: @OTW, @TOR, @TB, @FLA |
Tampa Bay (4.15) – 4 Games: @DET, MTL, CGY, DAL |
Steer Clear |
Vancouver (1.84) – 2 Games: NYR, LA |
Colorado (2.70) – 3 Games: @CBJ, NYR, @STL |
Minnesota (2.71) – 3 Games: @LA, @CHI, PIT |
Buffalo (2.76) – 3 Games: NJ, @STL, @DET |
Nashville (2.77) – 3 Games: WSH, @ANH, @SJ |
Monday, March 31 to Sunday, April 6 |
Best Bets |
Anaheim (4.51) – 4 Games: WPG, EDM, NSH, @EDM |
NY Islanders (4.35) – 4 Games: FLA, @OTW, WSH, @CBJ |
New Jersey (4.31) – 4 Games: FLA, @BUF, WSH, @CAR |
Columbus (4.26) – 4 Games: COL, @PHI, CHI, NYI |
Florida (4.25) – 4 Games: @NJ, @NYI, CGY, DAL |
Steer Clear |
Nashville (1.66) – 2 Games: @ANH, @SJ |
Vancouver (1.84) – 2 Games: NYR, LA |
Minnesota (2.71) – 3 Games: @LA, @CHI, PIT |
Chicago (2.79) – 3 Games: MIN, @CBJ, STL |
Detroit (2.90) – 3 Games: BOS, BUF, @MTL |
Tuesday, April 1 to Monday, April 7 |
Best Bets |
NY Islanders (4.35) – 4 Games: FLA, @OTW, WSH, @CBJ |
Anaheim (4.35) – 4 Games: EDM, NSH, @EDM, @VAN |
Columbus (4.26) – 4 Games: COL, @PHI, CHI, NYI |
New Jersey (4.25) – 4 Games: @BUF, WSH, @CAR, CGY |
St. Louis (4.16) – 4 Games: PHI, BUF, COL, @CHI |
Steer Clear |
Nashville (1.66) – 2 Games: @ANH, @SJ |
Vancouver (2.78) – 3 Games: NYR, LA, ANH |
Chicago (2.79) – 3 Games: MIN, @CBJ, STL |
Los Angeles (2.81) – 3 Games: PHX, @SJ, @VAN |
Detroit (2.90) – 3 Games: BOS, BUF, @MTL |
Wednesday, April 2 to Tuesday, April 8 |
Best Bets |
NY Islanders (4.35) – 4 Games: @OTW, WSH, @CBJ, OTW |
Anaheim (4.35) – 4 Games: EDM, NSH, @EDM, @VAN |
Columbus (4.26) – 4 Games: @PHI, CHI, NYI, PHX |
Ottawa (4.25) – 4 Games: NYI, MTL, @NYR, @NYI |
St. Louis (4.21) – 4 Games: BUF, COL, @CHI, WSH |
Steer Clear |
Vancouver (1.84) – 2 Games: LA, ANH |
San Jose (2.00) – 2 Games: LA, NSH |
Montreal (2.14) – 2 Games: @OTW, DET |
Nashville (2.61) – 3 Games: @ANH, @SJ, @DAL |
Chicago (2.79) – 3 Games: MIN, @CBJ, STL |
Thursday, April 3 to Wednesday, April 9 |
Best Bets |
Columbus (5.21) – 5 Games: @PHI, CHI, NYI, PHX, @DAL |
Dallas (5.15) – 5 Games: @CAR, @TB, @FLA, NSH, CBJ |
St. Louis (4.21) – 4 Games: BUF, COL, @CHI, WSH |
Philadelphia (4.06) – 4 Games: CBJ, @BOS, BUF, @FLA |
Anaheim (4.04) – 4 Games: NSH, @EDM, @VAN, SJ |
Steer Clear |
Vancouver (1.84) – 2 Games: LA, ANH |
Phoenix (2.16) – 2 Games: EDM, @CBJ |
Nashville (2.61) – 3 Games: @ANH, @SJ, @DAL |
Los Angeles (2.80) – 3 Games: @SJ, @VAN, @CGY |
San Jose (2.85) – 3 Games: LA, NSH, @ANH |