Top 10 “That-Can’t-Be-Right” Stats

Tom Collins

2022-04-04

Every year, the NHL season is full of surprises.

I’m not talking about the “this-player-outperformed-expectations-by-15-points” kind of surprise, but “William-Karlsson-had-more-goals-than-all-but-two-players-in-2017-18” type of jaw-dropping surprise. Some of these stats may be evident, whereas others you may not realize are happening unless you look more closely at the numbers. It could be one player is having a shocking season, one player is disappointing or a combination of the two.

With 11 to 15 games left in the season for all teams, this is an excellent time to have a look at some of these statistics to see if these trends will continue the rest of the way.

10. Tanner Jeannot may lead the league in PIM

The rookie forward is having an excellent season with Nashville, posting 23 goals and 40 points in 67 games. The 23 goals are tops among rookies, although not much attention is being given to that fact. However, it’s his PIM totals you should be paying attention to from here on out. The 24-year-old rookie already has 110 PIM. That’s second-highest in the league and only four off the leader, teammate Mark Borowiecki. Borowiecki hasn’t played since March 22 and is on the IR with a lower-body injury. A rookie rarely leads the league in penalty minutes, a feat that hasn’t been accomplished since Daniel Carcillo in 2007-08.

9. Mackenzie Blackwood has more shutouts than Mikko Koskinen, John Gibson, Robin Lehner and Thatcher Demko

This one isn’t so much about Blackwood’s awesomeness. After all, he hasn’t played in more than two months and his overall numbers are awful. But this point is about how all these other number one goaltenders have been extremely disappointing for shutouts. Each of Koskinen, Gibson, Lehner and Demko have one shutout apiece, whereas Blackwood has two. That’s four shutouts among 183 total games between those four goalers. Maybe it shouldn’t be that much of a surprise, considering the four haven’t been that great for shutouts the last few years, but it has to be disappointing for anyone that drafted Lehner (the second goalie selected on average in Yahoo leagues). In head-to-head leagues, you’re pretty much punting the shutout categories if you have any combination of those guys.

8. Adam Fox has more blocked shots than Derek Forbort

Fox is starting to remind me of Erik Karlsson in his prime. When Karlsson was with the Sens, many chose to focus just on his crazy point totals, but not as much attention was paid to his blocked shots. When Karlsson had an 82-point season, he had 175 blocked shots. The next season, he had 201. With 66 points and 121 blocked shots, Fox is on pace for 81 points and 148 blocked shots. The latter put him in the top 20 in the league going into Sunday’s action. A year ago, Forbort was fifth in the league in blocked shots, so many fantasy GMs in deep leagues were hoping Forbort would be able to continue that this season. However, he has only 80 blocked shots in 63 games.

7. Andrei Svechnikov has more Hits than Adam Larsson

Larsson has always had value in leagues that count peripherals, as he is a beast for hits and blocked shots while also contributing in PIM. Larsson is 10th in the league for hits since the start of the 2014-15 season, and the fourth-highest defenseman in that timeframe. While Larsson is still great for hits (he had 156 going into Sunday’s game, good for 2.29 hits per game), Svechnikov has surpassed him. Svechnikov is averaging 2.42 hits per game this year and has 160 on the season.

6. Craig Anderson has just as many wins as Carter Hart

Truthfully, I didn’t think Anderson had played enough games to have that many wins. He spent a good chunk of the season on the IR with an upper-body injury that cost him 32 contests. He has started 24 games and has a record of 13-9-2. Meanwhile, many fantasy general managers were hopeful that Hart would have a bounce-back season. However, he’s once again been awful, with a 13-22-7 record. Who would have imagined at the start of the season that the 40-year-old Anderson would have been a better fantasy option?

5. Damon Severson has more power-play points than Dougie Hamilton

Severson has been a quiet surprise in New Jersey and should be getting more recognition for the campaign he is putting up. He has 39 points to go along with 51 PIM, 142 shots and 73 hits. His career-high 15 power-play points (tied for 21st among defensemen) have been a complete shock considering the team also has Hamilton, P.K. Subban and Ty Smith all fighting for man-advantage minutes. Hamilton has missed a chunk of games, but has only seven power-play points in 49 games. That puts his power-play points per game at a paltry 0.14, more than 50 percent less than last season’s 0.33.

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4. Mark Stone has more points than Josh Anderson

Stone is a great player, but can’t stay healthy, which is a major source of frustration for fantasy general managers. He has played in only 28 games this season, but has 28 points. He has missed games on six separate occasions for a total of 42 contests. Anderson is also a certified Band-Aid boy, but has managed to play in 56 games. While Anderson is a fan favourite in Montreal, he is a disappointment in fantasy leagues as he has a lowly 27 points this season. At the rate he’s going, he’s going to need another four or five games just to pass Stone.

3. Valeri Nichushkin has as many goals as Artemi Panarin

For the record, Panarin is one of my favourite players in the league. He’s both awesome and somehow underrated, but his goal-scoring total has taken a major hit this season. Two years ago, he had 32 goals in 69 games. Last year, he had 17 in 42. This season, he has 19 in 65. His 0.29 goals per game are easily the worst of his career. It probably hurts that he’s shooting less than usual while his shooting percentage is the worst of his career. Meanwhile, Nichushkin has 19 goals in 51 games. Those 19 goals crush his previous high of 13. He also has a career-high 40 points already, and would be on pace for 64 points over 82 games.

2. Cody Ceci has more points than Ivan Provorov

Depending on your league settings, Ceci may have been the better fantasy asset than Provorov this season. Just compare the two through 66 games:

Ceci: 25 points, 0 power-play points, two short-handed points, 91 shots, plus-11, 14 PIM, 99 hits, 100 blocked shots

Provorov: 23 points, four power-play points, two short-handed points, 131 shots, minus-14, 26 PIM, 56 hits, 135 blocked shots.

However, Provorov was drafted in 100 percent of Yahoo leagues, while Ceci was drafted in close to zero percent. Ceci’s 25 points are only one off a career high, while Provorov needs three points to match a career low. There’s been a lot of disappointing defensemen this year, but while Provorov isn’t mentioned as often as some of the others (i.e.- Jeff Petry or Jakob Chychrun), he is definitely in the conversation.

1. Chris Kreider has as many power-play goals as Arizona

Kreider is one of the biggest surprises of the season, especially when it comes to the power play. His 24 goals lead the league and crush his previous high of 11. It helps that going into Sunday’s game, he had taken 60 power-play shots, already 19 higher than his previous peak. Arizona, on the other hand, has a putrid power play, ranked third-worst in the league at 13.6 percent. Philly and Montreal are worse percentage-wise but get many more opportunities. Arizona's entire squad has scored 24 power-play goals this season, the same amount as Kreider. Clayton Keller leads the Coyotes with five power-play goals, while Nick Schmaltz and Lawson Crouse have three apiece.

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