This week's Capped analyzes the last week in hockey, discussing what changed for cap league managers.
After having to write up covering the “big” deal between Detroit and Pittsburgh two weeks ago that saw fourth line players and draft picks swapped, Sunday’s blockbuster three-way deal was quite refreshing. The hockey world is still trying to process all of the fallout from it. There is quite a lot to cover, but it is not the only move from the last week that warrants attention. This past week has been quite active in terms of transactions that affect player values now and moving forward. We’ll start with the meat from Sunday’s trade topics, and get into the potatoes and peas of the week after.
The Colorado Youngsters
Not only did Colorado manage to acquire three draft picks, but they stocked their prospect cupboards with three players all drafted in the top 50 of their respective draft years.
Vladislav Kamenev (Cap Hit – $833,333) is shaping up to be a solid two-way player, and is not far off from making an NHL impact (having debuted with two games last season).
Shane Bowers (Unsigned) is a little farther away, likely spending the next few seasons in the NCAA circuit, but he plays a similar responsible style to that of Kamenev.
The upside in the deal, comes in what will likely be the crown jewel of the return, Samuel Girard (Cap Hit – $728,333). The young rearguard notched three points in five games with Nashville, and looked as comfortable as an 18-year-old can in making his big-league debut. Colorado will keep him until game nine at least, but without much depth on their blueline, it would not be surprising to see Girard still with the team at the end of the season. Get in on him while you can, because the impact will be sooner rather than later.
Not coming in from the trade, but more of an addition by subtraction, is the ice time freed up for other Avalanche prospects who will be given the opportunity to fill the void.
First up is Alex Kerfoot (Cap Hit – $925,000), who made a very good first impression, playing over 20 minutes, and scoring a pair of goals. Look for him to continue with some success, though maybe not two goals every game. Lost among this however, is that it should be J.T. Compher’s spot to lose when he returns from his broken thumb. Compher is progressing well, and could be back as early as Colorado’s next game. Also in the mix for time on the second line is Tyson Jost. Jost is only projected to be out another week going off of his initial three-week prognosis on October 22nd.
Jost (Cap Hit – $885,833) was the 10th overall pick in 2016, and has impressed at every level he has played since. Jost seemed to be eased into the lineup, and was up to 16 minutes in his last game before his injury. After playing six games last season, Jost’s contract can no longer slide another year, so he is not a risk to be sent down after game number nine – he should be here to stay. Meanwhile Compher (Cap Hit – $925,000) had already started off the season well with four points in eight games this season. According to the Colorado brass, the spot is his for the time being, but the leash on him won’t be long due to the other options.
Kyle Turris’ New Contract
We won’t go too far into the fantasy implications of the change of scenery for Kyle Turris, as it was already covered here by Ian Gooding, and has been beaten to death everywhere else. What we will discuss, is his new contract, that really hasn’t gotten enough attention in the midst of all of the movement. The new centre for the Nashville Predators signed a six-year extension, with a yearly cap hit of $6,000,000 that will come into effect July first, 2018.
As a very responsible player at both ends of the rink, who has also put up over 60 points in a season, Turris will provide good value to the Predators on his new deal. As for fantasy owners, depending on the league, the value in Turris can really fluctuate. There are some main points to be aware of no matter the league.
First off, the new centre for the Predators will not suddenly become a 70-point player, but on the flip side, his poor 2015-16 season came while playing through a badly sprained ankle. He is a very consistent 55-60-point scorer when healthy. Secondly, he isn’t one to rack up the peripherals (save for faceoff wins). Third, the $6,000,000 price tag is almost dead on what Turris should be making based off of modeling the rest of the contracts from this summer. It won’t be a bargain, but it shouldn’t be an anchor either in the end.
The Rest of the Rookies
After covering some of the rookie NHLers in last week’s article, 2017 draftees Kailer Yamamoto, Owen Tippett were returned to their respective junior teams before they burned a year off of their entry level deals. They will be up and producing soon, but it won’t be this year. The 2017 second overall draft pick, Nolan Patrick, has also played nine games, but is on the injured reserve at this time. He appears to be up for good, although he has only been averaging 14 minutes per game (excluding his last game in which he only played 30 seconds due to injury).
Sophomores Michael McCarron and Kevin Labanc were sent down as well, and it is possible that they are not heard from again this season. Bright futures for both, however there isn’t a lot of upside even if they do get called back up.
Speaking of low upside, goaltender Louis Domingue got sent down, meaning trade acquisition Scott Wedgewood will be backing up in Arizona. Domingue just couldn’t keep enough pucks out of the net to take advantage of the early season injury to starter Antti Raanta. With Raanta being in his first year shouldering a starter’s workload, Wedgewood should get a fair share of starts, and makes for a good option for spot starts in deeper leagues.
Thanks for reading! Feel free to comment with your thoughts on the trade below. As always, you can find me on twitter @alexdmaclean where I post some of my other smaller musings that don’t make it into the articles.
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