Frozen Tools Forensics: Comparing skaters and goalies

by Grant Campbell on November 8, 2019

 

Two of the coolest features within Dobber’s Frozen Tools are the Compare Players and Compare Goalies tools. If you have a trade offer you want to extend or have received in your pool, it’s a pretty slick and easy way to evaluate the players. Or, if you are having an argument on who is the better player, it is easy to look at the data side by side to make your case.

 

Here are a few examples:

Quinn Hughes versus Cale Makar

Each comparison is broken down into three components: player summary, basic stats, and extended stats. It also shows two graphs (not pictured here) that plot TOI per game and points per game.

 

 

Makar is ahead or tied in 30 of the categories compared to Hughes with 21. Makar has managed seven points at even strength compared to three points for Hughes, and that is the only point difference between them as they both have eight power-play points. A noticeable separation between the two is that Makar is using his body more on defence, with 14 hits compared to Hughes at three, and 17 blocks compared to Hughes with two. This will be a tight Calder race between these two, barring any injury.

Next we will look at a goalie comparison.

Sergei Bobrovsky versus Andrei Vasilevskiy versus Frederik Andersen

With the goalie comparison, we have a summary, basic stats, extended stats, and an additional comparison just for goalies, looking at the last three years. The one graph for goalies (not pictured) is a quality starts percentage progression.

 

 

 

 

 

These three goalies have been very consistent over the past three seasons. It is safe to say that all three have had their struggles early on this season at times, but they are still putting up the wins, with Andersen leading the three with nine. In a keeper pool, it’s a no-brainer to choose Vasilevskiy over the other two because of his age. In a one-year pool, there are arguments for all three, as Andersen and Bobrovsky play more games and over the past three years Andersen has the highest quality start percentage of 63.0. For me, it’s a toss-up between Andersen and Vasilevskiy, but I’d choose Andersen for this year as I don’t think Tampa Bay will be as dominant this season as they were last season.

Lastly, we will look at a recent NHL trade and compare the two players involved.

 

Jacob De La Rose versus Robby Fabbri

 

Many pundits have been stating that acquiring Fabbri was a steal for Detroit, and I’m not one to disagree. Fabbri has been decimated by injuries over the past two or three seasons and missed the entire 2017-2018 season. He might never be 100 percent of what he was after an impressive first two seasons, and St. Louis trading him suggests that is true. Is he the player who had 56 points in his first 123 games (and 15 points in 20 playoff games) or is he the player who has four goals and four assists in the 51 games he has managed to play over this year and last (including playoffs)? Fabbri will be given every opportunity in Detroit to play in the top six and could find himself a home. I think we will find he is somewhere between the two extremes he has been so far.

De La Rose is in his sixth partial NHL season, with a career high of 60 games, four goals and 12 points. His game couldn’t be more different from Fabbri’s, as he is a big physical player who can play center or wing. With injures to Alexander Steen and Vladimir Tarasenko, St. Louis needed a bigger body to fill out their bottom six and are hoping that De La Rose can fill that role this season. He is not likely a long-term solution but giving up Fabbri was a reasonable price for the Blues.

This is just the tip of the iceberg with the Compare Players tool, as we can compare back to 2007-2008 and any year in between (including playoffs and exhibition games). The tool can also compare multiple players, in case you have a four-for-one offer, three-for-two, or any other combination.

It would be nice to be able to have the same multi-year comparison for players as we do for goalies, and I hope that will be added at some point.

If you have any comments or suggestions, please let me know below and/or follow me on Twitter @gampbler15.