Lining Up – Top Lines for the Sharks, Oilers, Sabres, and More – October 30

by Brennan Des on October 30, 2018
  • Lining Up
  • Lining Up – Top Lines for the Sharks, Oilers, Sabres, and More – October 30

 

In this week’s installment, I’ll be predicting which lines will score the most from Tuesday October 30th to the end of the fantasy week on Sunday November 4th. We’re taking a break from the usual format that thoroughly analyzes a couple of line combinations, and will instead conduct a brief overview of a few lines. Using Dobber’s Line Production Tool, I compiled a list of the highest scoring line for each team at even strength over their past three games. Here’s the list…

 

Team

Line

Points

Anaheim

Pontus AbergRyan GetzlafRickard Rakell

3

Arizona

Brendan PerliniDerek StepanChristian Fischer

9

Boston

Brad Marchand – Patrice BergeronDavid Pastrnak

3

Buffalo

Jeff SkinnerJack EichelJason Pominville

9

Carolina

Micheal FerlandSebastian AhoTeuvo Teravainen

6

Columbus

Artemi PanarinPierre-Luc DuboisCam Atkinson

9

Calgary

Garnet Hathaway – Sean Monahan – Dillon Dube

2

Chicago

Brandon SaadArtem AnisimovPatrick Kane

7

Colorado

Gabriel Landeskog – Nathan MacKinnon – Mikko Rantanen

6

Dallas

Jason Dickinson – Jason SpezzaBlake Comeau

3

Detroit

Andreas AthanasiouFrans NielsenThomas Vanek

3

Edmonton

Alex ChiassonLeon Draisaitl – Tobias Rieder 

4

Florida

Jonathan HuberdeauVincent TrocheckMike Hoffman

3

Los Angeles

Trevor LewisAdrian KempeIlya Kovalchuk

3

Minnesota

Mikael GranlundNino NiederreiterEric StaalJason Zucker

3

Montreal

Jonathan DrouinMax DomiArtturi Lehkonen

7

New Jersery

Taylor HallNico HischierKyle Palmieri

9

Nashville

Filip ForsbergRyan Johansen – Viktor Arvidsson

9

Islanders

Anders LeeBrock NelsonJosh Bailey

9

Rangers

Pavel BuchnevichBrett HowdenVladislav Namestnikov

4

Ottawa

Mikkel BoedkerMatt DucheneColin White

4

Philadelphia

Travis KonecnyNolan PatrickJakub Voracek

2

Pittsburgh

Carl HagelinEvgeni MalkinPhil Kessel

9

San Jose

Tomas HertlLogan CoutureTimo Meier

7

St. Louis

David PerronRyan O’Reilly – Zach Sanford

6

Tampa Bay

Steven StamkosBrayden PointNikita Kucherov

3

Toronto

Par Lindholm – John TavaresMitchell Marner

3

Vancouver

Markus GranlundBo Horvat – Tim Schaller

2

Vegas

William Carrier – Pierre-Edouard Bellemare – Ryan Reaves

3

Winnipeg

Nikolaj EhlersMark ScheifeleBlake Wheeler

3

Washington

Alex OvechkinNicklas BackstromT.J. Oshie

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jeff SkinnerJack EichelJason Pominville

Buffalo faces Calgary on the second half of a back-to-back, followed by a home-and-home with the Senators, and finally a showdown with the Rangers. The Flames allow the most high-danger chances in the league per 60 minutes (15.1), with the Rangers (5th most at 13.23) and Senators (11th at 11.67) are not too far behind.

Through just 49:18 of ice-time as a trio, Skinner, Eichel, and Pominville have seven goals for and just one against. They have an impressive Corsi For % of 59.60 and are generating twice as many high-danger scoring chances as they are allowing (15 to 7). They’ve been extremely hot this past week, and I expect them to continue that trend this week against a few favorable opponents.

 

 

Artemi PanarinPierre-Luc DuboisCam Atkinson

If Columbus wasn’t taking on a weak Detroit team on Tuesday, I probably wouldn’t have included this one. It also helps that they’re one of only five teams to play four games this week (the rest play three or fewer). The Blue Jackets close out the week with the dreaded California road trip – a trip that has become much less intimidating now that the Kings and Ducks are struggling.

While this line hasn’t been outscoring their opponents by a large margin (seven goals for and six against), they have been generating more scoring chances (58 for to 31 against). Artemi Panarin has 15 points in 10 games to start the season, Cam Atkinson has 11 and Pierre-Luc Dubois has 7.

 

 

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsConnor McDavidKailer Yamamoto

Look, I know that predicting Connor McDavid will score a lot isn’t exactly a bold prediction. In fact, it seems sort of safe. However, I promise that my logic for picking this line goes beyond the presence of McDavid. Edmonton plays three games this week, and two of those games are against teams on the second half of a back-to-back. I know it’s early in the season, so some might argue that fatigue isn’t a very important factor at the tail end of a back-to-back. But even if that were the case (which I don’t think it is), the real gem here is that Edmonton will probably be facing back-up goalies on two occasions this week. Who would those back-up goalies be? Alex Stalock and, wait for it, Cam Ward. To cap it off, the Oilers close out the week against a poor Detroit team. That’s three favorable matchups for a very talented line, so I’m thinking they put some points.

The numbers don’t reveal anything too impressive about this trio. Their Corsi is below average at 47.54 %, and they’ve scored as many goals as they’ve allowed (1). While they’ve also created as many scoring chances as they’ve allowed (28), they have been creating better scoring chances than their opponents. 14 of their chances have been of the high-danger variety, compared to just five from the opposition. Their on-ice shooting percentage of 2.33, should see improvement this week.

 

 

Evander KaneJoe PavelskiKevin Labanc

The San Jose Sharks play three games this week, and all three of those games are against teams that struggle to keep the puck out of their own net. They kick off the week on Tuesday with a matchup against the Rangers, who average 3.45 goals against per game (10th most in the league). On Thursday, they take on the Blue Jackets, a team averaging 3.80 GA/game (5th most). I’m actually surprised Columbus is so high on this list. They have a solid defensive core and a really good goalie in Sergei Bobrovsky – who should rebound from his early-season struggles. Finally, the Sharks close out the week on Saturday against a team that allows the most goals per game – the Philadelphia Flyers (4.18 GA/game).

I know the hot line in San Jose has been the Tomas HertlLogan CoutureTimo Meier line. Heck, Meier is riding an eight-game point streak and each member of the trio is currently above a point per game pace. However, this week I’m betting on Joe Pavelski to improve on the five points he has tallied in 11 games to start the season. The Kane-Pavelski-Labanc trio sports an impressive 63.16 Corsi For %, and they’ve had better scoring chances than their opponents (22 high-danger chances for, 13 against). I expect their on-ice shooting percentage of 5.77 to improve this week.  

 

 

Quick Notes

A few line notable line changes around the league…

J.T. Miller – Steven StamkosNikita Kucherov

Alexander RadulovTyler SeguinTyler Pitlick

Alex IafalloAnze KopitarDustin Brown

Nikolaj EhlersMark ScheifeleBlake Wheeler

Alex OvechkinEvgeny KuznetsovJakub Vrana

Patrick Marleau – Nazem Kadri – Mitchell Marner

 

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