Saturday’s Picks – with Notch

Dobber Sports

2010-01-22

Marian Hossa

 

My winning percentage stayed at the 70% mark last week. I correctly predicted a blowout victory and a shootout win.  I got 7 out of 10 winning teams right.  Not only am I getting the winners right, my analysis on what I think is going to happen and why I see it happening has been so spot-on it has been sort of freaking me out.  I am in a hockey tournament this weekend in Niagara Falls so I am doing these picks late on Thursday night.  I will look at some different angles for these games as I can't read and research the same articles I usually do.  EDIT: After writing this I just have to say, these are some very tough games this week, tread with caution.

Ottawa at Boston 1:00 PM EST

After losing 11 straight games to Tim Thomas and the Bruins, Ottawa finally figured him out with a 5-1 win just 5 days ago.  That win was right in the middle of the Sens current 5 game win streak.  Ottawa has the most home wins in the entire NHL.  On the road is a different story.  Even though Ottawa has three straight road wins their record away from home is still a paltry 9-13-1.  In the first game on the road after a home game, Ottawa is 3-8-1. Tim Thomas has given the Sens nightmares for a long time, I am not sure one win against him is enough for the Sens to have sweet dreams.  The Bruins are struggling of late losing their last 3 games and 6 of their last 7.  Boston is still banged up, but recently got some key bodies in Krejci and Bergeron back. Bergeron is not yet 100% as he is playing with a splint on his wrist/hand/finger and only took 2 faceoffs last game winning both draws.  Not a lot of NHL teams can win 6 in a row, can Ottawa? This is a very tough game to call and it really is a flip of a coin in my mind.  Stay away from this game or take the underdog for the best odds. Ottawa is 2-1-1 in afternoon games this season, Boston is 2-4.

Ottawa – Visitor Win – V (ProLine)

Carolina at Philadelphia 1:00 PM EST

Carolina is 1-11-2 in the game before they travel home.  In saying that, they have won their last 3 afternoon games though.  The Canes have lost all three previous meetings this season against Philly and were blown out 6-1 when they were in the City of Brotherly Love last time.  This will be the Flyers 3rd game of their season long 6 game home stand; they have won the first 2 games.  Interesting stat: In the 3rd game of home stands, the Flyers are 0-4 this season.  I can't think of a better opponent to break that little trend.

Philadelphia by 2 or more – Home plus Win – H+ (ProLine)

NY Rangers at