Looking Ahead – Week 5

Dave Poleck

2010-11-05

Sedin

 

I almost feel like this is the beginning of the part two of the regular season for this article; the info that determines the score indicator that you see has went through the first update and is no longer based on some of our preseason projections. For the rest of the season, I will be updating this on a monthly basis, unless a major injury causes a drastic change in a certain team. Anyways, let's get down to business.

 

Upon taking my normal approach of analyzing each team's upcoming schedule and, as I've done recently, integrating Jason Arbuthnot's absolutely fantastic fantasy tool, the Frozen Pool Game Planner, I came across something that I thought was important enough to make it the main focus of my article this week. The difference between some team's goals against at home vs. the road is pretty staggering.

 

I know that this is a somewhat subjective or arbitrary exercise because, for instance, teams like Carolina and Long Island have played twice as many games on the road that they have at home. But it is still something all poolies should take into account when making their weekly choices.

 

So I put together a little chart that displays the goals against allowed by every team while at home and on the road. The last two columns represent the difference; so Pittsburgh has 0.54 more goals allowed per game at home. This has been updated as of Thursday night's games.

 

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I have already pointed out on numerous occasions the struggles that the Ducks are having away from home (1.15 more goals per game on the road), but they are not alone – check out the Canadiens. Through six games both at home and on the road, they have allowed an average of 1.33 more goals per game in Montreal. The Leafs have shown opposite trends, allowing only 13 goals in seven games at the ACC, but 17 in only five away from there.

 

And while no one should honestly be complaining if they have Tim Thomas or Jaroslav Halak, check out the difference that the Bruins and Blues have at home vs on the road. Halak's 2-0 at Scottrade didn't hurt things last night. And how about those Canucks? They've allowed  19 goals in six games on the road but only 7 in six games in Vancouver.

 


HOME
ROAD



Games GA
Games GA


Phi 9 22 2.44 4 8 2.00 0.44 Home
Pit 6 17 2.83 7 16 2.29 0.54 Home
NJ 5 20 4.00 9 25 2.78 1.22 Home
NYR 6 20 3.33 6 16 2.67 0.66 Home
NYI 4 13 3.25 9 34 3.78 0.53 Road









Bos 4 9 2.25 5 4 0.80 1.45 Home
Buf 6 22 3.67 7 21 3.00 0.67 Home
Mon 6 18 3.00 6 10 1.67 1.33 Home
Ott 7 20 2.86 6 21 3.50 0.64 Road
Tor 7 13 1.86 5 17 3.40 1.54 Road









Atl 5 17 3.40 8 28 3.50 0.1 Road
Car 4 9 2.25 8 26 3.25 1 Road
Fla 4 11 2.75 6 14 2.33 0.42 Home
TB 5 17 3.40 7 17 2.43 0.97 Home
Wash 6 15 2.50 6 14 2.33 0.17 Home









Chi 9 28 3.11 6 17 2.83 0.28 Home
CBJ 7 18 2.57 5 11 2.20 0.37 Home
Det 6 16 2.67 4 8 2.00 0.67 Home
Nas 6 15 2.50 5 14 2.80 0.3 Road
StL 6 7 1.17 4 9 2.25 1.08 Road









Cal 8 26 3.25 4 10 2.50 0.75 Home
Col 5 17 3.40 7 25 3.57 0.17 Road
Edm 5 16 3.20 5 19 3.80 0.6 Road
Min 8 17 2.13 3 8 2.67 0.54 Road
Van 6 7 1.17 6 19 3.17 2 Road









Ana 5 13 2.60 8 30 3.75 1.15 Road
Dal 7 16 2.29 4 13 3.25 0.96 Road
LAK 5 7 1.40 7 19 2.71 1.31 Road
Pho 6 17 2.83 5 15 3.00 0.17 Road
SJ 5 16 3.20 6 12 2.00 1.2 Home

 

Friday November 5 to Thursday November 11, 2010
Best Bets
Detroit 4.26 – four games @EDM, @VAN, PHO, EDM
Carolina 4.17 – four games @FLA, FLA, EDM, PHI
Phoenix 4.03 – four games @DAL, PIT, @DET, @CHI
St. Louis 3.97 – four games @BOS, @NYR, @CBJ, NAS
Buffalo 3.96 – four games MON, @TOR, @NJ, @NYR
Steer Clear
New Jersey 1.73 – two games NYR, BUF
Colorado 1.89 – two games DAL, CAL
Columbus 1.91 – two games MIN, STL
LA 1.95 – two games NAS, DAL
Calgary 2.16 – two games @MIN, @COL
Saturday November 6 to Friday November 12, 2010
Best Bets
Tampa Bay 4.18 – four games @SJ, TOR, @WAS, @PIT
Anaheim 4.00 – four games NAS, @SJ, NYI, DAL
St. Louis 3.97 – four games @BOS, @NYR, @CBJ, NAS
Edmonton 3.93 – four games @CHI, @CAR, @DET, @NJ
Phoenix 3.74 – four games PIT, @DET, @CHI, CAL
Steer Clear
LA 1.95 – two games NAS, DAL
Calgary 1.96 – two games @COL, PHO
New Jersey 2.00 – two games BUF, EDM
NY Rangers 2.70 – three games STL, WAS, BUF
Montreal 2.78 – three games OTT, VAN, @BOS
Sunday November 7 to Saturday November 13, 2010
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.00 – four games NAS, @SJ, NYI, DAL
St. Louis 3.97 – four games @BOS, @NYR, @CBJ, NAS
Edmonton 3.93 – four games @CHI, @CAR, @DET, @NJ
Washington 3.89 – four games PHI, @NYR, TB, @BUF
Phoenix 3.68 – four games @DET, @CHI, CAL, STL
Steer Clear
Columbus 1.86 – two games STL, COL
New Jersey 2.00 – two games BUF, EDM
LA 2.11 – two games DAL, NYI
Dallas 2.12 – two games @LA, @ANA
Minnesota 2.25 – two games @ATL, @FLA
Monday November 8 to Sunday November 14, 2010
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.21 – four games @SJ, NYI, DAL, @CHI
Tampa Bay 4.06 – four games TOR, @WAS, @PIT, MIN
Washington 4.02 – four games @NYR, TB, @BUF, ATL
Edmonton 3.95 – four games @CAR, @DET, @NJ, @NYR
Atlanta 3.95 – four games @OTT, MIN, PIT, @WAS
Steer Clear
Nashville 1.90 – two games @STL, CHI
Columbus 1.90 – two games STL, COL
New Jersey 2.00 – two games BUF, EDM
Philadelphia 2.05 – two games @CAR, FLA
LA 2.11 – two games DAL, NYI
Tuesday November 9 to Monday November 15, 2010
Best Bets
Vancouver 4.22 – four games @MON, @OTT, @TOR, @BUF
Anaheim 4.21 – four games @SJ, NYI, DAL, @CHI
Tampa Bay 4.06 – four games TOR, @WAS, @PIT, MIN
Washington 4.02 – four games @NYR, TB, @BUF, ATL
NY Rangers 4.02 – four games WAS, BUF, EDM, @PIT
Steer Clear
Nashville 1.90 – two games @STL, CHI
Columbus 1.90 – two games STL, COL
Dallas 2.12 – two games @LA, @ANA
Detroit 2.20 – two games EDM, COL
Montreal 2.71 – three games VAN, @BOS, CAR
Wednesday November 10 to Tuesday November 16, 2010
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.31 – four games NYI, DAL, @CHI, @DAL
Philadelphia 4.02 – four games @CAR, FLA, OTT, @MON
St. Louis 3.97 – four games @CBJ, NAS, @PHO, @COL
Pittsburgh 3.92 – four games BOS, TB, @ATL, NYR
Boston 3.80 – four games @PIT, OTT, MON, NJ
Steer Clear
Columbus 1.90 – two games STL, COL
Carolina 1.92 – two games PHI, @MON
Calgary 1.96 – two games @PHO, @SJ
Detroit 2.20 – two games EDM, COL
Montreal 2.77 – three games @BOS, CAR, PHI
Thursday November 11 to Wednesday November 17, 2010
Best Bets
Minnesota 4.45 – four games @ATL, @FLA, @TB, ANA
Vancouver 4.28 – four games @OTT, @TOR, @BUF, @PIT
Anaheim 4.18 – four games DAL, @CHI, @DAL, @MIN
Tampa Bay 4.16 – four games @WAS, @PIT, MIN, @NYI
LA 4.11 – four games DAL, NYI, @SJ, CBJ
Steer Clear
Toronto 1.71 – two games VAN, NAS
Columbus 2.03 – two games COL, @LA
New Jersey 2.06 – two games EDM, @BOS
Montreal 2.77 – three games @BOS, CAR, PHI
Calgary 2.78 – three games @PHO, @SJ, PHO
Friday November 12 to Thursday November 18, 2010
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.18 – four games DAL, @CHI, @DAL, @MIN
San Jose 4.14 – four games CAL, LA, @COL, @Dal
Tampa Bay 4.13 – four games @PIT, MIN, @NYI, @PHI
Philadelphia 4.03 – four games FLA, OTT, @MON, TB
Pittsburgh 3.96 – four games TB, @ATL, NYR, VAN
Steer Clear
Detroit 1.90 – two games COL, STL
Carolina 1.98 – two games @MON, OTT
Columbus 2.03 – two games COL, @LA
NYI 2.05 – two games @LA, TB
Toronto 2.57 – two games VAN, NAS, NJ
Saturday November 13 to Friday November 19, 2010
Best Bets
Chicago 4.30 – four games @NAS, ANA, @EDM, @CAL
NY Rangers 4.20 – four games EDM, @PIT, BOS, @COL
San Jose 4.14 – four games CAL, LA, @COL, @Dal
Anaheim 4.09 – four games @CHI, @DAL, @MIN, CBJ
Philadelphia 4.03 – four games FLA, OTT, @MON, TB
Steer Clear
Dallas 1.97 – two games ANA, SJ
NYI 2.05 – two games @LA, TB
New Jersey 2.11 – two games @BOS, @TOR
Columbus 2.12 – two games @LA, @ANA
Toronto 2.57 – two games VAN, NAS, NJ
Sunday November 14 to Saturday November 20, 2010
Best Bets
NY Rangers 5.14 – five games EDM, @PIT, BOS, @COL, @MIN
Chicago 4.30 – four games @NAS, ANA, @EDM, @CAL
San Jose 4.14 – four games CAL, LA, @COL, @Dal
Anaheim 4.09 – four games @CHI, @DAL, @MIN, CBJ
Philadelphia 4.09 – four games OTT, @MON, TB, @WAS
Steer Clear
Detroit 1.71 – two games STL, MIN
Calgary 1.77 – two games PHO, CHI
NYI 2.06 – two games TB, FLA
Phoenix 2.33 – two games @CAL, @EDM
Pittsburgh 2.69 – three games NYR, VAN, CAR

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

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