Geek of the Week – Jason Garrison

Terry Campkin

2013-10-20

USATSI 7484405 154511096 lowres

Jason Garrison, defenseman and fantasy sleeper, is paying huge early season dividends.

 

We are almost at the 10% mark of the NHL season, which is a time that I always love as a Fantasy Hockey GM. It's is a great time for shrewd, opportunistic GMs to take advantage of small sample sizes to either buy-low or sell-high on the early season numbers. The key to being successful in this regard though, is figuring out which trends will continue and which players will fizzle out.

Last season when Teddy Purcell had 9 points in 7 games, you would have been smart to sell high on him (or avoid overpaying for him). Luckily I advised you to do just that and Purcell went on to amass only 25 in his next 41 games. Being too quick to sell high can be dangerous though because if the trend is sustainable, as it was for Alex Semin last season then you want to be sure to hold on to/acquire that player (which I also suggested at the time). Now that the shameless self-promotion portion of the article is out of the way, I will get to this week's piece on a player whose hot start I think will translate into a big season: Jason Garrison.

 

Garrison has had fantasy relevance for a couple of years now, depending on your league format. He has a booming shot and he takes a fair amount of them, which nets him a solid goal total as a result. In the past two seasons he was 3rd & 8th in the entire NHL terms of goals by a defenseman, while he shot the 17th and 19th most times from the back end. Garrison is also strong defensively though and because of this, he managed to amass these numbers despite only seeing the 7th most PP time on his team each season. Running last season through FHG you can see the value Garrison was already providing:

 

(Dobber Experts' League: 16 team roto league: G, A, +/-, SOG, PPP, Hits)

 

FHG Rank Name G A +/- Shots PPP Hits
100 Jason Garrison 8 8 18 94 6 36

 

In the Dobber Experts' League last season, Garrison was the 100th most valuable player. In drafts this season, Garrison was going around 140 on average, so in a lot of cases there was already value in picking Garrison. In the actual Dobber Expert's League, he was drafted late in the 15th round (239 overall) by none other than the guy who runs the FHG site (Team name: Quebec No