Saturday Picks – November 9, 2013

Dobber Sports

2013-11-09

StevenStamkos


Find out why Kwiaton likes the Lightning to keep rolling and knock off the Red Wings

 

Back at it for another week of picks, life at home has been crazy busy, so not much of an intro this time around. The season has been shaping up to be a great one so far, unless your favourite team is so far out of the playoff picture without much hope, only six weeks into the season (sorry Sabres and Flyers fans). Onto the games!

 

Panthers @ Senators

 

By the numbers – Frozen Pool


The Panthers have only won a single game on the road this season, and are currently winless in seven straight. During that span they've been outscored 25-12, and their futile power play (worst in the league with five goals) is led by rookie Aleksander Barkov accounting for 40% of their goals with the man advantage. Tim Thomas hasn't looked great since his return to the NHL, but the drop off from the defence he played behind in Boston to Florida is enormous. Despite only posting two wins in six starts, he has still managed to keep his save percentage at .905, which is looking much better than goalie prodigy Jacob Markstrom who's 3.36 goals against average and .878 save percentage are just downright atrocious.

 

Bobby Ryan continues to lead his new team with nine goals and 18 points through the first 16 games, and you always had a feeling that Jason Spezza would turn Ryan into a 40+ goal scorer like he did with Dany Heatley back in the day. The Senators are struggling with only two home wins this season, but a visit from the Panthers is just what the doctor ordered. The way Robin Lehner has performed compared to Craig Anderson, he may steal the reigns of the number one job sooner than later if the Senators want to keep their playoff hopes alive. His goals against average and save percentage are 0.98 and .035 points better than Anderson respectively.

 

My Pick: H+ (Senators by 2 or more)

 

Maple Leafs @ Bruins

 

By the numbers – Frozen Pool


The Leafs have been outshot by 11, 8, 17, 21, 26 and 7 shots in their last six games, and they've managed to pull out four wins during that span.  They've been able to offset staggering possession numbers with great special teams, but their power play has slowed down with only two goals in their last six games and generating only 18 opportunities. It's kind of hard to generate power play chances when the puck isn't on your stick. For the season the Leafs have been outshot by 10.67 shots which is the worst in the NHL.

 

The Bruins have the 2nd best defense in the league, which ranks sixth best at home (2.00 goals against average). Boston has struggled to find consi