Looking Ahead: Week 10
Bob Fisher
2013-11-29
Here are some teams to target and avoid for the next week or two, several players to target that may be available in your league as well as teams that play a light schedule.
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Chicago Blackhawks = Target
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Games: 8 (4H/4A)
Favorable Matchups:
- @ Dallas – Ninth worst defensive team in the league. 12 goals against in the last three games. Kari Lehtonen has only had two games out of his last seven games played where he finished with a save percentage above .900.
- @ Phoenix – Seventh worst defensive team in the league. Fourth worst penalty kill. 20 goals against in the past six games. Normally a stingy defensive team that can't score. They're scoring some goals this year, and giving up more at the other end.
- vs. Dallas – See above.
- vs. Florida – Fifth worst defensive team in the league. Third worst penalty kill. 13 goals against in the last four games. Florida is just awful.
- @ Dallas – See above.
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The Blackhawks play eight games in 13 days, which I think is the maximum number of games that can be played in a 13 day span. So they have that going for them. Oh, and they're the top offensive team in the league too. As if you need to be told this anymore, but play your Hawks.
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New York Rangers = Consider
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Games: 7 (5H/2A)
Favorable Matchups:
- vs. Winnipeg – 15 goals allowed in the last five games.
- @ Buffalo – Sixth worst defensive team in the league. Allow the second most shots against per game.
- vs. Washington – Slipped back into the bottom ten of the NHL, defensively. 14 goals against in the past four games.
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The Rangers are one of the lowest scoring teams in the league at this point in the season. They were missing Rick Nash since early October. His last game was his first plus game since his return and only his second goal. He's starting to round back into form and this stretch of games will help with that.  Also, Brad Richards and Ryan Callahan will look to rebound from their past three weeks of poor performance.
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Boston Bruins = Beware
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Games: 6 (3H/3A)
Unfavorable Matchups:
- vs. NY Rangers – Tenth best defensive team in the league. Fourth best penalty kill. 12 goals allowed in the past seven games. Henrik Lundqvist has been much better lately with only three games of sub-.900 save percentage since returning from injury in late October.
- @ Montreal – Tied with Boston as the top defensive team in the league. Haven't allowed more than two goals in a game since November 7th. Since that game, Carey Price has not had a save percentage lower than .923 in a game.
- vs. Pittsburgh – Ninth best defensive team in the league. Eighth best penalty kill. Allow the third fewest shots against per game.
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The Bruins haven't exactly struggled to score goals this year, but this next stretch of games is tougher than it looks. It starts with the Rangers coming to town for the NHL Thanksgiving Showdown where you know the game will be tough and hard-fought, being a nationally televised main league event. Follow that up with a couple games against Montreal and the surprisingly defensive Penguins, and the Bruins could struggle to post high fantasy point totals.
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Buffalo Sabres = Avoid
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Games: 5 (3H/2A)
Unfavorable Matchups:
- @ New Jersey – Eighth best defensive team in the league. Second best penalty kill. Fewest shots allowed per game in the league. Cory Schneider has been unreal this year; I don't know why he doesn't get more starts. 1.87 GAA and .925 SV% on the season.
- vs. NY Rangers – See above.
- @ Montreal – See above.
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The Sabres are the worst offensive team in the league, by a pretty large margin, so this should come as no surprise. They have just five games in 13 days including trips to New Jersey and Montreal and the Rangers coming to town. I wouldn't expect the Sabres' 1.62 goals per game to improve during this span.
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Possible Pickups
Here's a list of some players, owned in less than 30% of Yahoo leagues, to target for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule.
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NY Rangers: Mats Zuccarello (9%) – Four points in his last three games including seven shots. The Chris Kreider, Derek Stepan and Zuccarello line has been New York's best line.
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Chicago: Andrew Shaw (18%) – Four points in his last three games along with +4, 2 PIMs and eight shots. Shaw often gets the coveted job of standing in front of the net on the deadly Chicago power play. His even strength minutes and linemates may not be the greatest, but being on the ice with Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, Patrick Sharp and company with the man advantage can easily make up for it.
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Florida: Scottie Upshall (3%) – Eight points in his last eight games, including +3, 9 PIMs and 21 shots. It seems like whoever lines up with Aleksander Barkov and Brad Boyes puts up the points for Florida.
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Minnesota: Nino Niederreiter (13%) – Four points in his last seven games, +1 and 18 shots. Outside of the Zach Parise, Mikko Koivu and Charlie Coyle line, Niederreiter's line with Jason Pominville and Mikael Granlund has been the most productive for Minnesota.
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Montreal: David Desharnais (7%) – Five points in his last four games to go with +4 and seven shots. Desharnais has turned it on lately while lining up with Brendan Gallagher and Max Pacioretty.
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Light Day Targets
Want to know what teams to target based on their schedule landing on light days for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule?
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Week: Monday, December 2 through Sunday, December 8
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Wednesday: 6 teams
Monday: 8 teams
Sunday: 10 teams
Friday: 12 teams
Tuesday: 18 teams
Thursday: 20 teams
Saturday: 22 teams
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We're back to the usual Tuesday/Thursday/Saturday schedule that we've all become accustomed to so the teams that play on Monday/Wednesday/Friday/Sunday (or a combination of the three) would fit your roster pretty well and maximize starts for you.
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So what teams have a good schedule for the light days?
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Mon |
Tues |
Wed |
Thur |
Fri |
Sat |
Sun |
New Jersey Devils |
X |
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X |
 |
X |
X |
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Minnesota Wild |
X |
 |
 |
X |
X |
 |
X |
Montreal Canadiens |
X |
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X |
X |
 |
X |
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San Jose Sharks |
 |
X |
 |
X |
X |
 |
X |
New York Rangers |
X |
 |
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📢 advertisement:
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X |
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X |
X |
Chicago Blackhawks |
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X |
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X |
X |
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X |
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Friday, November 29 to Thursday, December 5 |
Best Bets |
Montreal (4.79) – 5 Games: @WSH, TOR, NJ, @NJ, BOS |
Dallas (4.16) – 4 Games: CHI, EDM, @CHI, @TOR |
Pittsburgh (4.08) – 4 Games: @TB, @FLA, @NYI, SJ |
Edmonton (4.04) – 4 Games: @CBJ, @DAL, PHX, COL |
NY Rangers (4.01) – 4 Games: @BOS, VAN, WPG, @BUF |
Steer Clear |
Vancouver (2.85) – 3 Games: @NYR, @CAR, @NSH |
Calgary (2.86) – 3 Games: @ANH, @LA, PHX |
St. Louis (2.87) – 3 Games: @SJ, @LA, NYI |
Boston (2.91) – 3 Games: NYR, CBJ, @MTL |
Washington (2.98) – 3 Games: MTL, @NYI, CAR |
Saturday, November 30 to Friday, December 6 |
Best Bets |
Phoenix (4.23) – 4 Games: CHI, @EDM, @CGY, @VAN |
Chicago (4.05) – 4 Games: @PHX, DAL, @MIN, ANH |
Vancouver (3.95) – 4 Games: @NYR, @CAR, @NSH, PHX |
Minnesota (3.95) – 4 Games: @COL, PHI, CHI, @CBJ |
Carolina (3.94) – 4 Games: VAN, @WSH, @NSH, SJ |
Steer Clear |
Boston (1.86) – 2 Games: CBJ, @MTL |
Buffalo (1.95) – 2 Games: @NJ, NYR |
St. Louis (2.02) – 2 Games: @LA, NYI |
Winnipeg (2.04) – 2 Games: @NYR, @FLA |
Washington (2.14) – 2 Games: @NYI, CAR |
Sunday, December 1 to Saturday, December 7 |
Best Bets |
Edmonton (4.31) – 4 Games: @DAL, PHX, COL, CGY |
Detroit (4.21) – 4 Games: @OTW, PHI, @NJ, FLA |
Dallas (4.16) – 4 Games: EDM, @CHI, @TOR, PHI |
Ottawa (4.14) – 4 Games: DET, @FLA, @TB, TOR |
Montreal (3.95) – 4 Games: NJ, @NJ, BOS, BUF |
Steer Clear |
Boston (1.76) – 2 Games: @MTL, PIT |
Buffalo (1.81) – 2 Games: NYR, @MTL |
Columbus (2.05) – 2 Games: TB, MIN |
Washington (2.10) – 2 Games: CAR, NSH |
Colorado (2.23) – 2 Games: @EDM, @CGY |
Monday, December 2 to Sunday, December 8 |
Best Bets |
NY Rangers (4.30) – 4 Games: WPG, @BUF, NJ, WSH |
Chicago (4.26) – 4 Games: DAL, @MIN, ANH, FLA |
Florida (4.16) – 4 Games: OTW, WPG, @DET, @CHI |
Minnesota (4.04) – 4 Games: PHI, CHI, @CBJ, SJ |
Montreal (3.95) – 4 Games: NJ, @NJ, BOS, BUF |
Steer Clear |
Buffalo (1.81) – 2 Games: NYR, @MTL |
Columbus (2.05) – 2 Games: TB, MIN |
NY Islanders (2.66) – 3 Games: PIT, @STL, @LA |
Anaheim (2.70) – 3 Games: LA, @CHI, @STL |
Boston (2.71) – 3 Games: @MTL, PIT, @TOR |
Tuesday, December 3 to Monday, December 9 |
Best Bets |
Chicago (4.26) – 4 Games: DAL, @MIN, ANH, FLA |
Florida (4.16) – 4 Games: OTW, WPG, @DET, @CHI |
Ottawa (4.14) – 4 Games: @FLA, @TB, TOR, PHI |
Vancouver (4.05) – 4 Games: @NSH, PHX, COL, CAR |
Toronto (3.93) – 4 Games: SJ, DAL, @OTW, BOS |
Steer Clear |
Buffalo (1.81) – 2 Games: NYR, @MTL |
Winnipeg (2.04) – 2 Games: @FLA, @TB |
Los Angeles (2.16) – 2 Games: @ANH, NYI |
St. Louis (2.26) – 2 Games: NYI, ANH |
Boston (2.71) – 3 Games: @MTL, PIT, @TOR |
Wednesday, December 4 to Tuesday, December 10 |
Best Bets |
Colorado (4.29) – 4 Games: @EDM, @CGY, @VAN, PHX |
Detroit (4.25) – 4 Games: PHI, @NJ, FLA, @FLA |
NY Rangers (4.24) – 4 Games: @BUF, NJ, WSH, NSH |
Chicago (4.16) – 4 Games: @MIN, ANH, FLA, @DAL |
Ottawa (4.14) – 4 Games: @TB, TOR, PHI, @BUF |
Steer Clear |
Los Angeles (1.97) – 2 Games: NYI, @MTL |
Pittsburgh (2.81) – 3 Games: SJ, @BOS, CBJ |
Columbus (2.90) – 3 Games: MIN, @PIT, NJ |
Phoenix (2.95) – 3 Games: @CGY, @VAN, @COL |
Buffalo (2.97) – 3 Games: NYR, @MTL, OTW |
Thursday, December 5 to Wednesday, December 11 |
Best Bets |
Chicago (5.21) – 5 Games: @MIN, ANH, FLA, @DAL, PHI |
Colorado (4.29) – 4 Games: @EDM, @CGY, @VAN, PHX |
NY Rangers (4.24) – 4 Games: @BUF, NJ, WSH, NSH |
Ottawa (4.14) – 4 Games: @TB, TOR, PHI, @BUF |
Florida (4.05) – 4 Games: WPG, @DET, @CHI, DET |
Steer Clear |
Phoenix (1.81) – 2 Games: @VAN, @COL |
Pittsburgh (2.81) – 3 Games: SJ, @BOS, CBJ |
Calgary (2.88) – 3 Games: COL, @EDM, BOS |
Columbus (2.90) – 3 Games: MIN, @PIT, NJ |
Los Angeles (2.92) – 3 Games: NYI, @MTL, @TOR |
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