January 06, 2014

Dobber Sports

2014-01-06

Pumped? Six days away from the release (and return) of my Midseason Guide! The seventh edition was missed last year thanks to the battle between the millionaires and billionaires, but it’s back stronger than ever with deep analysis and the usual strong second-half projections and advice!

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As expected, Martin Jones has been sent back to Manchester. Although he lost his last three games after winning his first eight, he showed the Kings that they don’t need to re-sign Ben Scrivens. So I wouldn’t be shocked if he goes to free agency. If I were his agent, I would not let it get to that point and offer my services at a discounted rate to get it done before April. I don’t think there is a likelihood of anything positive coming from him hitting the open market. As for Jones – just one game out of 11 in which he gave up more than two goals.

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Evgeni Malkin returned to the lineup with a flourish, posting three points on a line with his buddy James Neal, who also had three. The lucky lottery winner? Jussi Jokinen, who had two points as the other guy on that line. Jokinen has seven points in his last five games. Jokinen added eight shots. He’s on pace for 56 points, which is second to his career high of 65.

Brian Gibbons, an undrafted free agent signee from out of Boston College where he played with (and flourished with) Cam Atkinson. Now in his third pro seasons, we’re finally seeing some of that offensive flair with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, as he leads the team with 27 points in 23 games. With all the injuries to the Penguins, he has been with the team for 10 games now and has four points. Now that Evgeni Malkin is back – and Pascal Dupuis is out – Gibbons gets to play with Sidney Crosby. He was held off the scoresheet yesterday, but the situation is worth watching as I think he will hold that spot until Beau Bennett returns. If he does well with it, maybe Bennett won’t be able to take the spot from him (though that scenario is highly unlikely). You can read up on Gibbons right here.

Bennett, by the way, is still out for another four to five weeks.

Here were the line combos for the Penguins Sunday, courtesy of Frozen Pool:

 

25.1%

EV

36 JOKINEN,JUSSI – 71 MALKIN,EVGENI – 18 NEAL,JAMES

16.33%

EV

87 CROSBY,SIDNEY – 49 GIBBONS,BRIAN – 14 KUNITZ,CHRIS

7.57%

EV

17 PYATT,TAYLOR – 16 SUTTER,BRANDON – 46 VITALE,JOE

4.78%

EV

27 ADAMS,CRAIG – 15 GLASS,TANNER – 38 SILL,ZACH

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Mark Scheifele has 17 points in his last 21 games, which puts him on a 66-point pace. It’s looking more and more as though the line of Scheifele – Evander KaneMichael Frolik will stick as long as they’re healthy. They have their off games, but for the most part they’re clicking. And with Kane due for a strong second half and Scheifele coming into his own – Frolik’s numbers will dragged up along with them. Frolik is on pace for 45 points, but I’m thinking in that 52 to 57 range. And if you remember – that was the optimistic end of the expected points range after his trade to Winnipeg. Great to see.

Frolik’s next point will give him 25 on the season, which is how many he got over the last two seasons combined with Chicago.

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 Now for some controversy. Why not? I feel like starting 10 or 20 fights in the comments section below ha. The Canadian Olympic Hockey Team will be named Tuesday at 11am. Here are who Bob McKenzie believes who will be picked. And my picks for the team will be beside that one. I believe the roster will be closer to what he says, but I have my own thoughts on how it should go. Discuss!

Bob:

C – Crosby, Toews, Tavares, Getzlaf, Bergeron

LW – Couture, Benn, Duchene, Sharp

RW – Stamkos, Giroux, Nash, Perry, St. Louis

LD – Keith, Bouwmeester, Vlasic, Hamhuis

RD – Doughty, Weber, Pietrangelo, Subban

G – Price, Luongo, Smith

My team:

C – Crosby, Toews, Tavares, Bergeron, Stamkos

LW – Neal, Sharp, Benn, Hall

RW – Giroux, Getzlaf, Perry, St. Louis

LD – Keith, Bouwmeester, Giordano

RD – Seabrook, Subban, Weber, Doughty, Pietrangelo

G – Price, Luongo, Bernier

*edit – replaced Kunitz with Neal, whom I had overlooked in my final draft.

Key points:

 – Since the No.3 goalie won’t see the light of day, he needs to be a young guy with upside and serious potential to be a goalie in the 2018 Olympics. But also capable right here and now, in the crazy chance that one of the first two gets injured, while the other does terrible. Bernier is perfect. Having Smith in the press box does nothing for nobody.

– I understand the logic and the idea that RD and LD will be an equal number – but it will be an equal number in my scenario too. Since an RD will be in the press box. I doubt Team Canada will (or should) exclude the experienced Seabrook who is having a career year.

– Also not buying Hamhuis and Vlasic. I like Giordano.

– I agree with Bob that they will name Stamkos “just in case”. But I don’t like the idea of putting him in if he’s not fully healed. If he’s not, and the team is allowed to name another forward, than I would like to see Getzlaf moved to center and adding Tyler Seguin.

– Hall is a better fit for what they need than Couture.

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Roberto Luongo is injured and it’s looking like this could be long-term. We’ll find out more today, but the injury was sudden – and it forced the Canucks to sign 43-year-old retired ECHL player Rob Laurie. Claim Eddie Lack if he’s available and feel free to start him as needed.

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And more injured goalie news, as if we needed another great waiver wire goalie option this year – but Ben Bishop left Sunday’s game and is “day to day” with an “upper body injury”. But word from Erik Erlendsson is that he went to the “X-Ray room”. So maybe he is day to day…but leave the door open to the possibility that this could be long-term. So if you missed the boat on Jones, Scrivens, Montoya, Lack, Andersen, Gustavsson, Talbot, Bryzgalov, Clemmensen, Mazanec, Peters, Khudobin or Lehner…maybe you can get the jump on Anders Lindback or Cedrick Desjardins, one of whom will replace Bishop if he’s out long term.

Here is the play:

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Anton Khudobin has won three in a row now and has been getting better with every game. Now healthy, he could seize this job. He’s better than Peters, for my money. And frankly, politics aside, he could be better than Ward. Unfortunately, politics are never aside. Contracts and draft pedigree will reign supreme, so Ward will be the guy when he returns.

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Dustin Penner was back on the big line but he had little to do with the OT winner that his linemates got. One second left in OT and it was Bonino to Getzlaf to Perry – check it out:

 

 

Penner has one point and two healthy scratches in the last 13 games. He’ll need to do something soon, because he’s not going to be blindly given chances on that line over and over and over – the gravy train is going to end, and probably soon, unless he can heat up again.

Jakob Silfverberg has points in his last three. He was back on the second line last night with Cogliano and Koivu.

Bonino has 30 points already, on pace for 56 and he has five in his last three (and plus-6). He averages 16:17 of ice time, but since late October that number is closer to 17:30.

Eddie Lack was the story though – 45 saves on 49 shots and nearly stole the win.

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Nikita Kucherov scored for the third consecutive game. With six goals in 19 games, he pro-rates to being a 20-goal scorer despite minimal ice time.

Six-game points streak for Ondrej Palat. Seven points and plus-7 in that run. And the run will continue because:

 

28.98%

EV

9 JOHNSON,TYLER – 18 PALAT,ONDREJ – 26 ST. LOUIS,MARTIN

22.04%

EV

51 FILPPULA,VALTTERI – 17 KILLORN,ALEX – 16 PURCELL,EDWARD

16.33%

EV

23 BROWN,J.T. – 86 KUCHEROV,NIKITA – 44 THOMPSON,NATE

4.08%

EV

12 MALONE,RYAN – 71 PANIK,RICHARD – 26 ST. LOUIS,MARTIN

 

Tyler Johnson has five points and is plus-6 in his last six games.

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CHI, EDM, WPG – the only teams to play 45 games

CGY, PHO, DAL, COL, STL – only teams to play 41

…just in case you points-only league (points carry over) owners were looking at potential trades

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Alex Stalock stopped 33 of 35 shots for his fifth win. Niemi was pulled Saturday. Potentially, this could turn into a Grubauer/Holtby situation in which the backup gets hot and the starter struggles…and the team just works through that over the course of several weeks.

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With Eric Staal out of the lineup (he’ll miss two to five games, apparently), the ‘Canes went with these lines:

 

21.6%

EV

39 DWYER,PATRICK – 14 GERBE,NATHAN – 11 STAAL,JORDAN

21.6%

EV

15 RUUTU,TUOMO – 28 SEMIN,ALEXANDER – 53 SKINNER,JEFF

19.6%

EV

21 BOWMAN,DRAYSON – 18 DVORAK,RADEK – 22 MALHOTRA,MANNY

12%

EV

32 BOYCHUK,ZACHARY – 37 PALUSHAJ,AARON – 42 SUTTER,BRETT

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John-Michael Liles is still getting top power-play time for Carolina. A little at the expense of Faulk and Sekera, though they’re still seeing decent PP time. For now, Liles is the QB on the top unit, but he’s pointless in three games for his new team.

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The 43-year-old former ECHLer Rob Laurie…juuust about had to get out on the ice and actually play for the Canucks. Did you have him on your active roster??????

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 27 - 19:12 DET vs TOR
Dec 27 - 19:12 BUF vs CHI
Dec 27 - 19:12 CBJ vs BOS
Dec 27 - 19:12 N.J vs CAR
Dec 27 - 20:12 DAL vs MIN
Dec 27 - 20:12 STL vs NSH
Dec 27 - 21:12 UTA vs COL
Dec 27 - 22:12 S.J vs VGK

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
KIRILL MARCHENKO CBJ
DYLAN HOLLOWAY STL
DMITRI VORONKOV CBJ
LUKE HUGHES N.J
MATT CORONATO CGY

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
LOGAN THOMPSON WSH
JOHN GIBSON ANA
JET GREAVES CBJ
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency OTT Players
20.6 BRADY TKACHUK TIM STUTZLE CLAUDE GIROUX
15.1 SHANE PINTO RIDLY GREIG NICK COUSINS
8.3 ZACK OSTAPCHUK NOAH GREGOR ADAM GAUDETTE

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