Saturday, June 20

Neil Parker

2015-06-20

 

 

I was extremely disappointed when everyone jumped all over Dobber earlier this week. I felt sort of special believing I was the only one being smeared in the comments.

 

Alas, so I’ll beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past …

 

 

***

 

 

It is a standoff point in the NHL, as teams hold their cards close to the vest, and only the obvious leaks. So, before jumping into some hockey talk, I thought a quick NFL addition to the ramblings wouldn’t be too far offside. After all, it did lead me to begin thinking about fantasy hockey.

 

While I zipped around to grab my father a couple golf shirts and a couple dozen golf balls for Father’s Day, I tuned into the Football Guys podcast “The Audible.” It was absolutely fantastic. I guess they have like eight per week, but this was the first one I’ve ever caught.

 

They did a brief take on Mike Evans, and I’m convinced he is going to be my third-round selection frequently this draft season. He finished last season as the 11th-ranked wide receiver in standard leagues with 12 touchdowns and 1,051 yards as a rookie.

 

Many will worry about Jameis Winston, but ultimately, Evans is a red-zone nightmare for defenses. I hope everyone worries, actually.

 

I’m buying late in the second round, if it is called for, too. Evans was a killer contributor for me last season in a number of leagues. And as I’ve mentioned, I’ve got a tendency to be a homer.

 

 

***

 

 

The most difficult part of player evaluation and projections is predicting how rapidly there will be ascension and decline.

 

Sticking with the Mike Evans example, there is a base line of high-end performance, and counting on a slight step forward isn’t out of the question. In fact, just repeating last season’s numbers will do and anything more could be considered a bonus.

 

Cliffy discussed a pair of defensemen in yesterday’s ramblings, and he has an excellent grasp of how opportunity can impact fantasy success. Be it ice time, usage, linemates or additional factors.

 

For me, it is ultimately an inner battle between what I’ve seen and what I foresee. And unlike Mike, I often overlook the setting needed to present an avenue for what I’ve seen to become what I foresee. This was particularly true last season with Nathan MacKinnon.

 

What I saw in the 2014 playoffs was a superstar, and what I didn’t foresee, was Jarome Iginla and Alex Tanguay eating into top-six minutes and outing MacKinnon at times to balance the lines.

 

To be fair to myself, no one should have seen that, including Patrick Roy.

 

But it happened, and MacKinnon was a huge disappointment, and he likely cost me a points-only pool. Obviously, the injury didn’t help, but the damage was done before that with who I passed up to select him.

 

****

 

 

I miss goals.

 

In 1990, Brett Hull scored 86 goals (57 at even strength), and Marty McSorley tied Theoren Fleury with a plus-48 rating to lead the league. I couldn’t pass that one up, it is like Arnold Schwarzenegger and Danny DeVito from Twins.

 

What are the simplest ways to increase scoring, aside from the obvious goalie equipment shrinkage?

 

Here are my top three:

 

1) Increase the net size by half an inch in each direction. It isn’t noticeable enough to the eye, but if 33 percent of shots that once hit the post now go in, it could be an extra goal a game over the entire season.

 

2) Expand the neutral zone. There is currently too much space between the top of the circles and the blue lines. D-to-d passes across the blue line in the offensive zone are frequent and easy. While occasionally they result in a goal, the inability to generate speed through the neutral zone diminishes scoring much more than the larger offensive zones creates offense.

 

3) Implementing an offensive zone faceoff advantage. Instead of the home team always receieving the advantage, provide the team in the offensive zone with that advantage. This will be especially influential when there are power plays.

 

These are all recycled ideas, but they would be the easiest to implement without significantly shaking up the landscape of play or the game.

 

Mike Cammalleri pointed out on Prime Time Sports that Cory Schneider said, “It doesn’t matter if you lead the league with a .900 save percentage or a .930 save percentage, you still led the league.”

 

There currently aren’t enough goals, and thankfully, one of the best goalies in the league understands it.

 

 

***

 

 

Here is a list of potential buyout candidates, and while there are no surprises, the whole process reminded me that there are still inequities in the league despite the salary cap.

 

For example, the Toronto Maple Leafs just inked Mike Babcock for $50 million, and there are teams that’ll struggle to generate the funds to pay their players that much a season.

 

What is also shocking is how crippling these deals can be, especially the long-term ones with medium money. The players on the buyout list aren’t complete plugs, and at one time, they were all impact players. All buyouts still count against the cap and further bring down the ceiling of spending room.

 

It reverts back to the idea I threw out a few ramblings ago that until general managers stop throwing star money at mediocre players, especially with huge terms, there will continue to be contracts hanging over teams and limiting their cap flexibility.

 

Poor Columbus took on David Clarkson because their actual budget couldn’t afford to pay Nathan Horton to sit and watch, regardless of whether he counted against the cap or not. Now, Toronto, can pay Horton another $26.1 million to add cap space and put the Clarkson blunder behind them.

 

How many loafs of bread can you buy with $26.1 million?

 

 

***

 

 

Here is my 2015 NHL Entry Draft Cheat Sheet from TheFakeHockey.com. I’ll be keeping it updated with news, resources and other interesting findings leading into next week’s draft.

 

Enjoy your weekend, and happy Father’s Day to all you pops out there.

 

 

***

 

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 23 - 13:12 N.J vs NYR
Dec 23 - 14:12 TOR vs WPG
Dec 23 - 19:12 DET vs STL
Dec 23 - 19:12 CBJ vs MTL
Dec 23 - 19:12 BOS vs WSH
Dec 23 - 19:12 FLA vs T.B
Dec 23 - 19:12 PIT vs PHI
Dec 23 - 19:12 NYI vs BUF
Dec 23 - 20:12 NSH vs CAR
Dec 23 - 20:12 MIN vs CHI
Dec 23 - 21:12 UTA vs DAL
Dec 23 - 21:12 VAN vs S.J
Dec 23 - 22:12 VGK vs ANA

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JACKSON LACOMBE ANA
LANE HUTSON MTL
PATRIK LAINE MTL
SHANE PINTO OTT
JONATHAN HUBERDEAU CGY

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL
SPENCER KNIGHT FLA
DAVID RITTICH L.A
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
JACOB MARKSTROM N.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency VAN Players
23.5 ELIAS PETTERSSON CONOR GARLAND JAKE DEBRUSK
18.3 KIEFER SHERWOOD DANTON HEINEN TEDDY BLUEGER
17.2 J.T. MILLER PHILLIP DI GIUSEPPE BROCK BOESER

DobberHockey Podcasts

Keeping Karlsson: Short Shifts – EBUP (Emergency Backup Podcaster)

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