Ramblings: Crosby-Niskanen collision, Jordan Eberle, Rangers Blue Line and More (May 2)
Neil Parker
2017-05-02
Let's get to the point …
These are my opinions. Please feel free to have your own.
Matt Niskanen deserved a minor penalty.
There was absolutely no intentional head shot or blatant cross-checking motion. If anything, Niskanen held up from steamrolling Sidney Crosby after the defenseman realized the forward was off balance. Niskanen then braced himself for contact, which resulted in Niskanen's hand making contact with Crosby's head as the forward was tumbling.
The contact wasn't at shoulder level, and Niskanen did not fully extend his arms in a cross-checking motion. If Niskanen doesn't brace for contact, Crosby steamrolls him, and then Niskanen might be the player who is injured. If Crosby would have lost control of his stick and his stick hit Niskanen in the face, Crosby would have received a penalty. A collision was going to take place, and Niskanen dug his heels in the sand.
There's also the Alex Ovechkin stick work before that, but it's really impossible to tell the significance of the impact. Judging Crosby's body language, it looks like very minor contact.
Watch Niskanen's hands and stick in the replay. His hands are nearly together and both his elbows are bent at the point of contact. His lower hand is off the stick immediately after contact, too. It's not a vicious play.
crosby injury pic.twitter.com/dXcWa8YlBd
— steph (@myregularface) May 1, 2017
Some folks have gone mad to grab page views, but I'm happy to call it a hockey play with an unfortunate result. Perhaps, it wasn't even that unfortunate.
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Something that stood out during Saturday's Game 2 between the Senators and Rangers, was the Blueshirts defensemen consistently giving up the offensive blue line and retreating on potential 50-50 puck battles. On a couple occasions, an Ottawa winger missed a wrap around or breakout pass, and the Sens still exited the zone because the New York defense was already in the neutral zone. Had the Ranger defenseman held the line, it would have extended the offensive pressure. Offensive pressures leads to chances, penalties and goals.
It's pretty clear that a number of New York defensemen are too slow and too scared to hold the line. That's a serious problem. It's also further proof of why the once decorated stay-at-home defenseman is quickly being replaced by mobile puck movers. Nashville turning to Yannick Weber and Matt Irwin is a prime example, and it's working.
This also stands out:
Here's a shift chart visualizing how much Alain Vigneault favored Staal+Holden over Skjei+Smith in final crunch. Amazing, in a certain way. pic.twitter.com/cZ67kB4mHC
— HockeyStatMiner (@HockeyStatMiner) April 30, 2017
Here's a followup snippet from Larry Brooks:
“I was looking for certain matchups and sometimes within a game’s flow, certain players get lost for a couple of minutes and that’s what happened,” Vigneault said when asked why No. 42 had gotten so little time in the third period. “It wasn’t performance-related. Brendan played a good game with bite. It just happened that way.”
Again. It should not have happened. Smith, who has played with an edge throughout the playoffs and had sparred repeatedly with Kyle Turris to the Rangers’ advantage throughout Game 2, somehow was on the ice for just two shifts and a combined 35 seconds over the final 12:48 of the third period as the match slipped away in shocking fashion.
Vigneault did not specify the matchups he was seeking — or seeking to avoid — but it’s difficult to figure that eight games into the tournament the coach still regards the Smith-Brady Skjei pair as his weakest tandem and thus the one to shelter. It is more difficult to figure that Smith seems ensconced as the third right defenseman regardless of his work or the comparative work of top-four righties Dan Girardi and Nick Holden.
I was predisposed to write that the Rangers have never once seemed in control through two games. But you know, they were up by two and had held the Senators to two shots on goal through the first 16:41 of the third period on Saturday. If Henrik Lundqvist had been himself, the series would be even, so how much piling on is appropriate here?
Speaking of the Blueshirt blue line, New York has signed Neal Pionk. It's a solid addition, and Pionk should have a shot to see NHL ice time next year.
***
This is pretty telling.
Asked what he’s getting from Jordan Eberle right now, Todd McLellan scowled: “Not enough.”
— Mark Spector (@SportsnetSpec) May 1, 2017
And remember, it wasn't long ago that Jordan Eberle was once considered a lock for Team Canada rosters for the next decade. Now, he can't even move the needle for the Oilers.
Living in the Atlantic time zone hasn't allowed many opportunities to watch Eberle, but my sense is a lot went right in his early days, and there are no more fortunate bounces in the tank. Real in-depth analysis, I know, but in all seriousness, Eberle's heroics elevated his perceived value significantly. He's crafty and skilled, but he prefers to play on the perimeter and doesn't have a heavy shot. It also isn't out of the question to suggest that he's lost a step since entering the league.
However, while Eberle has been held to just two assists through nine playoffs games, San Jose and Anaheim are daunting opponents that are physically imposing. Eberle isn't a star player, and his small stature isn't ideal for either matchup. Additionally, if you flash back to his draft year in 2008, few would look at his 2016-17 production and call it a disappointment. During his career-best showing — 34 goals and 76 points — in 2011-12, Eberle posted an 18.9 shooting percentage.
It's also hard to be too tough on Eberle when he's combined with Connor McDavid for 3.36 goals per 60 minutes at five-on-five over the past two years and a 2.14 mark with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins. That's a significant difference, and it's obviously not entirely on Eberle.
***
The latest on Ilya Kovalchuk is that he cannot re-sign a contract with the Devils until July 1, so there is nothing happening anytime soon. Remember, Kovalchuk has to sign with New Jersey, and then he can be traded. The expectation is that Ray Shero will reach out to Kovalchuk's agent this week.
Since I talked about Kovalchuk last week, I'm thinking the smart move with him is to make him a rich man's Sam Gagner. That would be best for Kovalchuk, too. Playing against weaker opponents at five-on-five while focusing on being a power-play specialist would be a perfect setup for him, and especially if it's on a strong team.
I suspect his contract demands will price him out of that kind of role, but at 34, it's probably the best fit. Perhaps, a Brett Hull skating with Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg would work, too. It's also been a nice fit for Jaromir Jagr, Jonathan Huberdeau and Aleksander Barkov.
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The Canadiens added defenseman Jakub Jerabek on Monday. The 25-year-old Czech inked a one-year, $925,000 deal, according to CapFriendly.com, and he'll be an unrestricted free agent following the 2017-18 campaign. Here's the announcement from Montreal's official website.
The move has prompted the suggestion that Nathan Beaulieu is on the way out of Montreal, too. With Jerabek likely to slot behind Shea Weber, Andrei Markov (if he re-signs), Jeff Petry and then battle for minutes with Alexei Emelin, Brandon Davidson, Nathan Beaulieu (if he's still with the club), Nikita Nesterov (same) and Jordie Benn, there probably isn't a lot of fantasy value here.
***
Here are a handful of promising AHL performances to start the playoffs.
After posting 24 goals and 46 points through 67 games in the AHL and receiving an eight-outing cup or coffee with Carolina, Lucas Wallmark posted three goals and three assists during Charlotte's five-game playoff series. Wallmark should have a shot to crack the Hurricanes this fall, and his intelligent game and playmaking ability should be a nice fit. Skating has been the knock on Wallmark, so it'll be interesting to see if he can improve his foot speed to succeed at the highest level. Read more on Wallmark here.
Mark Jankowski has collectd a goal and four assists through four playoff games, and Stockton will look to advance to Round 2 with a Game 5 win Tuesday night. Jankowski recorded 27 goals and 56 points through 64 games in his first full AHL campaign. With Matt Stajan and Mikael Backlund set to hit unrestricted free agency at the end of the 2017-18 season, next year will be big for Jankowski, and he could solidify himself as lineup lock and key piece entering the 2018-19 campaign. Read more on Jankowski here.
Jake DeBrusk scored three goals and added a helper through five games during Providence's Round 1 win. After registering 213 shots during the regular season, he had another 17 in the first round of the playoffs. His 19-goal and 49-point regular season certainly doesn't jump off the page, but a strong playoff performance would be telling. Boston isn't overloaded with talent on the wings, and DeBrusk would probably be able to handle a mid-line role for stretches next season. Read more on DeBrusk here.
Another Bruins farmhand, Danton Heinen recorded four goals and six points in Round 1, and currently holds the league lead in playoff scoring. Heinen went scoreless during an eight-game stretch with Boston and didn't light the league on fire during the AHL regular season (14 goals and 44 points through 64 games), but there's definitely upside. Because he doesn't have the same pedigree as other Boston prospects, it will probably be more difficult for Heinen to become a regular in the immediate future. Read more on Heinen here.
(After I wrote these up, I wanted to link to their DobberProspect pages and found Mark Allen's Prospect Ramblings about the AHL playoffs — Take a peek)
***
Thanks for checking in, Dobberheads.
The 2017-18 products are up in the shop for pre-sale now:https://t.co/M9eawcpcQu
Some notes on this… pic.twitter.com/Mz6kw8Gp3J
— Dobber (@DobberHockey) May 1, 2017
31 Comments
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I agree with you on the hit. Crosby more or less crosschecked himself by falling right into it.
That makes no sense. Why would someone get suspended because it’s Crosby? In Crosby’s entire playing career, only one player has been suspended for anything against Crosby, and it was for just one game.
I thought both Steckel and Hedman got a bunch of games. Or am I mis-remembering?
Nope. Here’s an article a few weeks after the incident about neither getting suspended: http://news.nationalpost.com/sports/nhl/nhl-should-be-terrified-of-crosby-concussion
I agree to some extent. The NHL’s discipline is a joke, it’s all over the map & there is zero consistency yet they wonder why we have problems & can’t eliminate this stuff from the game.
Niskanen shouldn’t have even gotten 5 & a game. Crosby fell into him, boy did he go down easy, essentially diving or an effort to avoid contact with Holtby. You could argue Niskanen shouldn’t have been penalized at all. Crosby fell into his path & space on the ice. I agree with you that Niskanen got 5 & a game because it was Crosby. If that’s a Kassian, Niskanen gets 2 tops.
Giordano knee’s Fowler, leads with his knee, targets his knee, that’s 5 & a game, + deliberate intent to injure. Giordano got zitlch. Fowler missed 3 weeks. That hit was far worse than Fiddler’s.
The answer we’ll never know but the question remains, why did the Caps make the decision to dress 7 defensemen? Did they “know” one would get ejected? Too bad no one ever knows intent. I hope Crosby’s fine and he exacts his revenge by knocking the Caps out of the playoffs?
Team dress seven defensemen all the time. Niskanen is easily Washington’s No. 1 defenseman, too. They didn’t want to lose him.
I know that some do but I find it funny that the first time the Caps did that during the playoffs was last night and well, we know what happened. Now I guess we’ll have to wait and see if they continue to dress 7 going forward. I’m guessing if Crosby’s out they’ll go back to 6 and if he returns they’ll stay at 7.
Alzner was a game-time decision, so the Caps likely wanted to have seven defenseman dressed in case he aggravated his injury during the game.
Alzner returned from injury. They didn’t want to remove Schultz. Alzner & Carlsson form Washington’s #1 D pairing. Niskanen & Orlov it’s 2nd.
Carlson is Washington’s #1 Dman.
I thought the OV two hander was worse…no penalty on that one though.
it’s funny that when Niskanen whacked Kadri last week, noone noticed that slash either and I thought Niskanen should have got suspended for that. That was a pretty vicious slash but NHL dropped the ball there
what i meant to say is the TV guys didn’t notice it and accused Kadri of diving before the saw the replay.
I would like to point out that Ovi knew very well where his right skate was and he had no issue leaving it out there to clip Sid on the play. The stick that hits Sid on top of the head likely had zero influence other than letting Sid know he is allowed to embellish going down (I think most guys naturally do something to show that they were hit in the head, whether that be go down or twitch in this case), what he didn’t realise was that Niskanen would be there for the unfortunate contact.
Should have been a 2 minute minor to Crosby for interference or diving. He nailed Niskanen with his head. Karma’s a wonderful thing. You get what you give.
Why was Kunitz not given a 2 minute minor for goalie interference on the goal waived off?
How was Kunitz’s hit on Oshie inside their blue line with the puck no where in sight at least not interference. He nailed him for no reason.
I don’t know about the Weber/Irwin scenario, both are barely playing. Nashville is essentially rolling 4 Dman & spot shifting Weber & Irwin. Their TOI/GP is 11:38 & 12:05 respectively. The other 4 are playing 24 to 26. StL is deploying their #5 & 6 in the same fashion but no other teams in the final 8 are. The only other team even semi close has their #6 Wideman in Ott playing 13:07.
The day of the slow plodding Dman in the NHL is almost over, their are still a few hanging around but they are going the way of the dinosaur. The NHL is essentially a copy cat league & speed is the flavor of the day thankfully & should have staying power. You can still have solid stay at home Dman but they have to be at least decent skaters. The role of the transitional Dman has been growing rapidly.
Vigneault loves to sit back, wait & protect a lead. Not the 1st time a Vigneault team has shit the bed doing just that. I have never liked this strategy. If what your doing is working peddle to the medal. Why drop back into a defensive shell & squander away a game you had full control of.
Now if we can just eliminate hitting to hurt in the NHL, the game will never have been better.
Sometimes those 12 minutes are a trainwreck, though. Maybe Nashville isn’t the best example, but Irwin and Weber have been solid and both skate well and can move the puck.
Agreed. Not a Weber fan. I do like Irwin a local boy who played minor hockey & BCJHL very close to where I live. I admire his dedication never giving up & fighting his way into the NHL & not giving up on his dream.
Is Mtl not going to lose a Dman in expansion? If Mtl trades Beaulieu they are going to seriously regret doing so by 2019-20 when he’s a solid #2 transitional offensive Dman just entering his prime. He has shown already if deployed in an offensive role on the PP he can put up points.
I find it really weird that everyone fails to mention the history between these two… I think history + dressing 7 really is incriminating if you ask me.
A ton of Crosby haters talking about karma and such.. pretty disgusting mentality if you ask me. I think a suspension is necessary here… bums like Niskanen getting away with this is a joke. People pay to watch Sid not cookie cutter players like Niskanen.
Niskanen won’t be suspended. There was no intent. There was no conspiracy theory. I feel terrible for Crosby. The Ovechkin slash a micro-second before the Niskanen hit was actually pretty wicked looking and deserves a look.
Talk of “Crosby” and “Karma” and “deserves it” is complete garbage and is beneath anyone to even mention out of emotion. Crosby plays the game the way we want the perfect player to – hard and skillfully. No, he doesn’t whine (contrary to reputation) any more than anyone else does, and he carries himself with class.
There’s no way of ever knowing/proving Intent or a conspiracy theory. Think Niskanen or Ovi would ever admit that? Ovechkin may deserve a game for the slash/slewfoot. Karma would be having Crosby come back and go through the handshake line after game 5.
Ovechkin’s stick bends/wraps around Crosby’s arm if you watch the slash in slo-mo. Crazy
First Niskanen deserved a suspension for whacking Kadri; Crosby deserved one for Methot. And here, Ovechkin should be the one suspended. If a player whose wayward stick results in cutting someone, why shouldn’t OV be responsible for his infraction and in this case, the stick wasn’t wayward.- there was intent. At first, i thought Crosby was tripped by Holtby and clearly not the case. And the NHL deserves a lot of the blame here for suspending on a hierarchical basis. OV has escaped suspensions many a time before. Niskanen became the whipping boy here.
Jesus. We’ve got the best and brightest out in the comments here today.
And that’s all you have?
Well, it’s tough to top that conspiracy theory of yours about the Caps incidiously dressing 7 defencemen. Maybe the Lizard People and their New World Government orchestrated the whole thing. *Ominous music*
Crosby out for game 4 with a concussion.
To me Crosby looks super dazed after the stick wack from Ovi…
eberle will almost certainly be gone next year. I would be shocked if he is not