Ramblings: Thoughts on Schwartz, Fleury, Gibson, and more… (Aug 29)

Ian Gooding

2018-08-29


Thoughts on Schwartz, Fleury, Gibson, and more…

It’s hard to believe we’re almost into September, with training camp just a few weeks away. And we’re already discussing fantasy drafts.
 


Thanks, I appreciate the compliment. I identified Stone as an effective later-round pickup in earlier Ramblings here and here. Schwartz also seemed like a great grab as a 13th-round pick (151st overall, according to my calculations). So this would be a great time to examine why he should be ranked higher and also shed some light on maybe why he wasn’t.

Jaden Schwartz

Something that stands out to me about Schwartz is his points-per-game numbers. Although he was held to 62 games in 2017-18, Schwartz still recorded 59 points (24g-35a), mainly on the Blues’ top line with Vladimir Tarasenko and Brayden Schenn. That calculated out to 0.95 points per game, which was the same number as the likes of Tyler Seguin and William Karlsson.

In case you’re wondering why Schwartz is not ranked higher in your multicategory fantasy league, only 11 of his 59 points came on the power play. In fact, his highest PPP total in his career is 15 from back in 2014-15. The Blues were as a whole ineffective on the power-play, with only the Oilers sporting a worse power-play effectiveness than the Blues’ 15.4% success rate. Schwartz also averaged the second-highest PPTOI among Blues’ skaters. The fact that the power-play game plan is to get the puck to Tarasenko might not bode well for Schwartz’s numbers.

Schwartz might have a reputation of being injury-prone, but he has played at least 75 games in three of his past five seasons. Don’t let that deter you from drafting him at least slightly higher than where he’s ranked by Yahoo, although it might be wise to knock off a few games from a full season in your projections.

Dobber also mentioned the above comment in his Monday Rambli