Ramblings – Fantasy Value of Seider vs. Hronek; Nic Roy’s Big Chance, Dobber’s Top 10 Disappointments and more (Nov 08)

Dobber

2021-11-08

What to say about Tyler Bertuzzi? He has points in just six of his 10 games and yet he has 15 points. Four of them were multi-point games. He's starting to get a reputation for those. The multi-point games are about as common as the single-point games. But that means that there are a lot of pointless games in there too. In his last 163 games he tallied three or four points in 10 of them, and two points in 14 of them making up 63 of his 117 points. That's more than half of his points in 24 of his 163 games. Now entering his prime, he is in that place where the consistency will get ironed out. If he can stay healthy (big if for this guy) then I think he'll surprise us all with his production.

Since being a healthy scratch, twice, Filip Hronek has five points in seven games. Stud rookie Moritz Seider also has five points in that same span. I'm not sure if the scratch will be a good thing long-term for Hronek, but it seems to have gotten him going early-on. Both youngsters are seeing north of 22 minutes in ice time per game, with Seider seeing PP1 time (two PPPts) and Hronek PP2 time (one PPPt), a difference of maybe 45 seconds per game. We all knew that Seider was hopefully the “second coming of Nicklas Lidstrom” as some called him, but I don't think anyone saw it coming immediately like this. Especially with Hronek, an elite defenseman in his own right, already with NHL experience. Hronek led the team in ice time the last two seasons running, but the rookie is seemingly inspiring him to push harder.

One negative going for Hronek is that he is saddled with Nick Leddy as his partner, so he has to cover off the inevitable mistakes. Seider gets Danny DeKeyser.

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So Seider is the real deal. We knew he'd be in the NHL this year, but I figured the numbers would take two to three seasons to reach star-caliber. But nope, the numbers are there right now. An immediate impact similar to Cale Makar and Quinn Hughes. I don't think it hurts Hronek and likely helps a bit. But Hronek's ceiling is capped with Seider's presence. I'm thinking one will be a 50-point guy while the other pushes 65 or even 70.

Speaking of real deals, the Red Wings obviously hit another homerun with Lucas Raymond. In the summer I figured the Wings would be looking to tank one more year, but that Raymond would be too good to keep in the minors for long. In training camp it was clear that Raymond was so good that he would make the team look pretty dumb if they cut him. By the end of camp he was my No.2 Calder pick behind