Ramblings: Updates on Norris, Hagelin, and Toews; Reviewing Preseason Predictions – March 3

Michael Clifford

2022-03-03

There wasn't a lot of significant NHL news yesterday so it may be a good time to take a look back on things. This time, let's look at some preseason predictions, how they've gone so far, and whether the ones that haven't panned out have any hope of doing so over the next couple of months.

For the predictions, I will stick with my own because there's no sense kicking down someone else's predictions; I have plenty of stupid ones to make fun of just by myself. These predictions were spread out across several Ramblings, and I've listed a few of them here: one about my own projections and how they differ from Yahoo's pre-draft rankings here; a discussion on best balls and guys outside the top-50 picks here; some thoughts on forwards drafted outside the top-50 here like Max Comtois, Drake Batherson, Oliver Bjorkstrand, and more.

With all that out of the way, let's start easy and review some predictions that did work themselves out.

Shayne Gostisbehere

Among those articles listed above, I talked about how Gostisbehere was likely much better towards the end of his run in Philadelphia than he was given credit for. Also mentioned was how he could take some PP time in a 3F/2D setup (that didn't really happen, but nevertheless) and get to the 40-point mark. Yes, even skating for that awful Arizona team. That made him a lottery ticket worth taking regardless of fantasy format.

On the season, Gostisbehere had 31 points in 53 games, and that works out to 48 points over a full season. His team is honestly bad enough that those final nine points over the rest of the season are not a sure thing by any stretch. Even if he doesn't get there, Ghost has shown why the Flyers made a mistake in dumping his contract and how he can be valuable for teams and for fantasy players.

Kevin Fiala

The movie 'Moneyball' features a famous scene where Brad Pitt's character asks Jonah Hill's character if he really believes in this thing (meaning baseball analytics). That is where Fiala fantasy owners found themselves after the first 25 games of the season. He had three goals (three!) in the first 25 games of the campaign, totalling just 15 points. It was horrific. And then it wasn't.

Over his last 26 games, Fiala has 14 goals and 29 points. That gives him 44 points in 51 games on the season, with his 82-game paces working out like this: 27 goals, 71 points, 259 shots, 13 PPPs. My upside for him this season was 30 goals, 60 points, 250 shots, and 15 PPPs. The final 31 games of the season will give us his final