Saturday’s Props: Take the Over After Marathon Game

Brad Hayward

2023-05-20

I'm writing this introduction Friday morning, since my Thursday – Saturday schedule means it's the same series, and wow!  Yes, I was awake through 2 am (Eastern) this morning, so the first coffee had limited effect.  My first thoughts are that both goalkeepers should be credited with a playoff shutout for their resumes, that being the 60 minutes of the first three overtime periods!   And then, with tired defensemen, well….

Gold Selection:  Florida Panthers @ Carolina Hurricanes Pick – Take the Over 5.5 goals (-120)

No, this isn't a knock against either Sergei Bobrovsky nor Frederik Andersen.  And playoff games are tighter defensively, right? But peppering the net with shots will eventually work, and by the second period, the floodgates open. My looking back through recent history? Both the 2020 Tampa Bay win over Columbus (five overtimes), and the series-clinching 2008 Dallas victory over San Jose (four), were followed by games where the "under" bet would've won. So much for logic in hockey playoffs. A line of just 5.5 goals scored is irresistible.  

Silver Selection: Brent Burns scores a goal (+340)

Arguably the most dangerous shot from the point in this series – and he had a team-leading eight that made it onto the goal, along with five hits and ten blocks in Game 1. He's been uncanny throughout his career in getting those blasts through, and Carolina's forwards seem better at blocking the keeper's vision than tipping the puck in. Burns is one of several ageless wonders in the league (think Joe Pavelski also) who badly want the ultimate reward of a Stanley Cup championship on their trophy shelf. I feel that a +340 line is too tempting to pass up.

Bronze Selection: Anthony Duclair scores a point (+105)

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Here's a player who had only nine points during this regular season (in 20 games, following ankle surgery), who has become a focal point in the Panthers' offense. His speed on the flank opens up Aleksander Barkov and Carter Verhaeghe, both of whom scored – while it was still Thursday – with Duclair assisting. Finding him open in the off wing is a bonus, and Duclair had the least TOI of the Florida top-six, and far less than any of Carolina's top-four defensemen, who he'll be skating past. Personally, I'd add him to the Panthers' stale first power-play unit, but that's not likely. 

Nope, there's not a Kryptonite selection.  I'm very conflicted as to any pick for the winning squad tonight. Obviously this game should be total desperation for the Hurricanes, whose home playoff successes have been reviewed by others. But Florida doesn't quit, and Bobrovsky has been otherworldly of late. So wager carefully. 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Oct 22 - 18:10 PHI vs WSH
Oct 22 - 18:10 FLA vs MIN
Oct 22 - 18:10 N.J vs T.B
Oct 22 - 19:10 BUF vs DAL
Oct 22 - 19:10 MTL vs NYR
Oct 22 - 19:10 CBJ vs TOR
Oct 22 - 19:10 NYI vs DET
Oct 22 - 20:10 STL vs WPG
Oct 22 - 20:10 CHI vs VAN
Oct 22 - 20:10 SEA vs COL
Oct 22 - 20:10 NSH vs BOS
Oct 22 - 21:10 EDM vs CAR
Oct 22 - 21:10 UTA vs OTT
Oct 22 - 21:10 CGY vs PIT
Oct 22 - 22:10 ANA vs S.J
Oct 22 - 23:10 VGK vs L.A

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
ROSS COLTON COL
YEGOR CHINAKHOV CBJ
PHILIP BROBERG STL
MORGAN FROST PHI
OLIVER EKMAN-LARSSON TOR

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
JOEL HOFER STL
ANTHONY STOLARZ TOR
KAAPO KAHKONEN COL
KEVIN LANKINEN VAN

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency NYR Players
29.8 VINCENT TROCHECK ARTEMI PANARIN ALEXIS LAFRENIERE
20.4 MIKA ZIBANEJAD REILLY SMITH CHRIS KREIDER
18.7 KAAPO KAKKO WILL CUYLLE FILIP CHYTIL

DobberHockey Podcasts

Keeping Karlsson Short Shifts – Injured Goalies and Ice Cold Defense

Jeremy and Shams cover a long list of injury updates which is headlined by several goalies. After that they cover new lines and their fantasy impact. The show is closed out by a list of ice cold highly drafted defensemen and a group of surprising forwards from an unsuspecting team.

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