Saturday’s Picks/Props: Pick the Over for Oilers/Leafs
Andrew Santillo
2026-11-14
Hello and good morning, everyone! Not a bad week last week for the inaugural Saturday picks, let's jump right back in as I'm seeing this board clear as day today.
Not a bad start to the inaugural Saturday picks last week. Let’s jump right back in because I’m seeing today’s board about as clearly as possible.
One caveat this week: I live in the U.S. (suckin’ on a chili dog outside the Tastee Freeeeze), and we were under a nationwide ground stop for flights last night. To me, that mean that there’s a chance some games could be affected, but from everything I’ve gathered, most clubs are already where they need to be. As things stand, San Jose appears to be the only real question mark, but they were cleared to fly very late on Friday to Utah and should be in action. If any game we’ve wagered on gets postponed or canceled, we’ll grade it as a push for now.
With that out of the way, let’s have ourselves a Saturday and make some bettor bets!
Current Saturday record:
Gold: 1-0
Silver: 0-1
Bronze: 1-0
Side Bets: 1-2
GOLD SELECTION — EDM/TOR o6.5 (-145)
The public money is all over this over, and for once, I’m happy to side with the public and their wallets.
I love this spot in what I’m almost certain will be the Hockey Night in Canada (Canadian editor's note: now Saturday Night Hockey) marquee matchup. These teams combined for a 7-2 final the last time they met, and I can absolutely see another high-event game here. If you wanted to same-game parlay this with Edmonton, I wouldn’t talk you out of it. The Oilers enter this matchup without a road loss, are 4-0 as road favorites this season, and are also 4-0 when playing with two or more days of rest.
This game will 100% be on my screen today, as it should be a fun one. From the gambling side of my brain, if we get goals early, I think we’re getting goals all night. That logic usually only comes out for the opening Thursday of March Madness, but we’re applying it to an Oilers-Leafs showdown on a random Saturday in November.
SILVER PICK — Mikael Granlund o.5 Assists (+100)
The Ducks’ second line has been both a DFS and betting favorite since they debuted those outstanding Hometown Remix sweaters last week (full marks), and I think this is a solid spot to target a prop from their top six.
Granlund’s assist prop is available at plus money across most books, generally in the +100 to +110 range. A big reason I like it has to do with New York’s goaltending situation. The Islanders have started Ilya Sorokin in each of their last two games, which leads me to believe backup Semyon Varlamov gets the nod here. If it’s the Varlamov show, I’m interested. That said, I wouldn’t lock this bet in until starting goalies are confirmed. If the Islanders stick to their usual rotation, which can be anything but what we expect, patience could be rewarded.
If someone is finding the scoresheet for Anaheim today, there’s a good chance it comes from the line featuring Cutter Gauthier at even strength, putting Granlund in a strong position to pick up an assist.
BRONZE PICK — Neal Pionk o1.5 Shots (-130)
Even with Josh Morrissey back in the lineup, I still like this angle. Winnipeg has posted strong possession numbers at even strength over its last 10 games, and while Corsi isn’t the be-all and end-all, it does help identify teams can likely to control play. And who are they facing this afternoon? Chicago. Hello.
Pionk has recorded at least two shots in 11 of his past 12 games, and this shapes up as another favorable matchup. The Blackhawks are allowing roughly 30 shots per game, with nearly eight of those coming from defensemen. Add in the fact that Pionk should log around 24 minutes tonight, and I think we’ve got something cooking.
Side Bets
Jack Hughes o1.5 points (+145)
Flames ML (+140)
David Pastrnak o.5 points (-250)
That's it for now — best of luck tonight!
For continued fantasy news and notes, follow me on Twitter @ndySanz.