I love NHL player point total props. As a fantasy hockey prognosticator and someone who annually produces his own point projections (available for free), there is no other future bet that I have greater confidence in than player point totals. It’s an excellent test of my projections and is added bit of fun to track [...]
Steve Laidlaw checking in here for a pinch-hit appearance for Cam Robinson. I am happy to see the site is still running smoothly, though I am not surprised. It’s in great hands! For those of you unaware, I put the “ambling” in Ramblings so strap yourself in for a long one today. * [...]
Earlier this week I discussed the importance of goals-for percentage as it relates to future playoff success, specifically citing a 52.5% GF% as the cut-off for true contender status. This led to a good discussion about strength of schedule and how it might relate to a team’s ability to clear that cut-off, specifically looking [...]
Today’s ramblings will be a blowout Q+A. Enjoy! {source} <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Will Mat Barzal be a PPG player again next year and/or what is his value if John Tavares leaves New York?</p>— Will Weiler (@wweiler) <a href="https://twitter.com/wweiler/status/978597798177333249?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 27, 2018</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>{/source} I have mild concerns about all [...]
A few years ago I took a deep dive on the statistical qualities that best portended to playoff success concluding that the best predictor of any playoff series was goal differential. Since then, Adam Gretz has come out with his own model for Stanley Cup winners focusing on teams who finish top-10 in goal [...]
I continue to obsess over the conundrum that fantasy owners will face this summer when considering who to draft first overall in prospect drafts. Rasmus Dahlin is a lock to go #1 overall in the NHL draft, and looks like he might be the best defenseman prospect we’ve seen in a long time. I [...]
Around this time last year, I looked at some breakout candidates for the 2017-18 season. Specifically, I looked for players who failed to reach 55 points who stood a good chance of clearing 65 the following year. This is something we’ll do again, but first let’s look at how last year’s breakout candidates have [...]
I went out looking to see if I could find some statistical indicators that a player is cooked and wound up finding a bunch of examples of players who had fallen off a cliff, only to rebound. Look at what Claude Giroux is doing. The season that Giroux is having is proof that players [...]
Earlier this season I examined which players had recorded primary points on the highest percentage of their team’s goals. It was a meaningful exercise highlighting the players who could generally be relied upon to score regardless of the fate of their team because for the most part, these were the guys driving the bus. [...]
After Tuesday’s discussion of goalie fatigue, I got to thinking about the most important traits a goaltender can have. Undoubtedly, you want a goalie playing on a good team. We’ll never completely parse the impact of goalie talent, player talent, coaching and systems, but for fantasy owners you’ll do well in goalie stats by playing [...]
