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Ramblings: Laidlaw Returns to Guest Lecture – Regression and Progression Forecasts (Sept. 25)

  Steve Laidlaw checking in here for a pinch-hit appearance for Cam Robinson. I am happy to see the site is still running smoothly, though I am not surprised. It’s in great hands! For those of you unaware, I put the “ambling” in Ramblings so strap yourself in for a long one today.   * [...]

By |2019-09-23T21:49:19-04:00September 24th, 2019|Hockey Rambling|0 Comments

Ramblings: Demko, Tolvanen and Mittelstadt Debut (Apr 1)

  Earlier this week I discussed the importance of goals-for percentage as it relates to future playoff success, specifically citing a 52.5% GF% as the cut-off for true contender status. This led to a good discussion about strength of schedule and how it might relate to a team’s ability to clear that cut-off, specifically looking [...]

By |2018-03-31T22:37:27-04:00March 31st, 2018|Hockey Rambling|3 Comments

Ramblings: Season-Ending Q+A (Mar 30)

  Today’s ramblings will be a blowout Q+A. Enjoy!   {source} <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Will Mat Barzal be a PPG player again next year and/or what is his value if John Tavares leaves New York?</p>&mdash; Will Weiler (@wweiler) <a href="">March 27, 2018</a></blockquote> <script async src="" charset="utf-8"></script>{/source}   I have mild concerns about all [...]

By |2018-03-29T12:48:31-04:00March 29th, 2018|Hockey Rambling|21 Comments

Ramblings: Playoffs? (Mar 27)

  A few years ago I took a deep dive on the statistical qualities that best portended to playoff success concluding that the best predictor of any playoff series was goal differential. Since then, Adam Gretz has come out with his own model for Stanley Cup winners focusing on teams who finish top-10 in goal [...]

By |2018-03-26T23:31:15-04:00March 27th, 2018|Hockey Rambling|10 Comments

Ramblings: Rasmus Dahlin and the Challenge Jumping From the Draft to the NHL (Mar 23)

  I continue to obsess over the conundrum that fantasy owners will face this summer when considering who to draft first overall in prospect drafts. Rasmus Dahlin is a lock to go #1 overall in the NHL draft, and looks like he might be the best defenseman prospect we’ve seen in a long time. I [...]

By |2018-03-23T11:13:18-04:00March 22nd, 2018|Hockey Rambling|1 Comment

Ramblings: 2018-19 Breakout Candidates (Mar 22)

  Around this time last year, I looked at some breakout candidates for the 2017-18 season. Specifically, I looked for players who failed to reach 55 points who stood a good chance of clearing 65 the following year. This is something we’ll do again, but first let’s look at how last year’s breakout candidates have [...]

By |2018-03-21T22:29:09-04:00March 21st, 2018|Hockey Rambling|5 Comments

Ramblings: 2018-19 Bounce-Back Candidates (Mar 20)

  I went out looking to see if I could find some statistical indicators that a player is cooked and wound up finding a bunch of examples of players who had fallen off a cliff, only to rebound. Look at what Claude Giroux is doing. The season that Giroux is having is proof that players [...]

By |2018-03-19T22:28:27-04:00March 19th, 2018|Hockey Rambling|6 Comments

Ramblings: Tentpole Defensemen (Mar 16)

  Earlier this season I examined which players had recorded primary points on the highest percentage of their team’s goals. It was a meaningful exercise highlighting the players who could generally be relied upon to score regardless of the fate of their team because for the most part, these were the guys driving the bus. [...]

By |2018-03-15T22:11:50-04:00March 15th, 2018|Hockey Rambling|11 Comments

Ramblings: Striving for Consistency (Mar 15)

After Tuesday’s discussion of goalie fatigue, I got to thinking about the most important traits a goaltender can have. Undoubtedly, you want a goalie playing on a good team. We’ll never completely parse the impact of goalie talent, player talent, coaching and systems, but for fantasy owners you’ll do well in goalie stats by playing [...]

By |2018-03-14T23:56:56-04:00March 14th, 2018|Hockey Rambling|6 Comments

Ramblings: Goalie Fatigue? (Mar 13)

  Goaltender fatigue has become one of the big discussion points late in this season. Braden Holtby has had a miserable run, leading to Philipp Grubauer taking over the crease. Frederik Andersen’s heavy starting load has been a hot button issue in Toronto. Andrei Vasilevskiy has discussed how fatigue has affected his second half play: [...]

By |2018-03-12T23:49:08-04:00March 12th, 2018|Hockey Rambling|8 Comments