Top 100 Rotisserie Players – December 2015

Mike McMillan

2015-12-16

The top 100 rotisserie rankings at mid-December. Who should pick it up and who will fall off?

2015 is coming to an end, and the Top 100 rotisserie league Fantasy Hockey Rankings are here to guide your team through the holidays and into the second half of the season.

Player values for the Top 100 Roto Rankings are generated by the guys at FantasyHockeyGeek.com and are weighted over multiple years to determine a player's production consistency.  We use their per-game averages to account for player who have missed time in the past due to injury. This is then weighted against the Dobber Hockey player projections to boil down the evaluations into one single number and rank the top 100 players in fantasy hockey (forwards and defensemen only).

As we navigate through the NHL season the values will be adjusted to include current season production, weighted at a progressively increasing percentage. To add a predictive element, we take a look at which players are likely to regress back to career averages and which players are due for hot streak over the course of the season using shooting percentages.  Based on the differential between player’s shooting percentage at even strength this season compared to their career average 5v5 SH%, we find some players that should climb up to the top 100 in coming weeks and some that will fall off…

 

Top 5 Players Likely to Increase in Value

Player

SH% Differential

Ryan Getzlaf

-11.86

Ondrej Palat

-10.44

Jakub Voracek

-9.73

Jonathan Toews

-8.38

Sidney Crosby

-8.29

 

These players are shooting significantly below where they should be, which should adjust in the New Year and result in a scoring bounce back in the second half of the season.

 

Top 5 Players Likely to Decrease in Value

Player

SH% Differential

Mats Zuccarello

+12.54

Nicklas Backstrom

+9.31

Martin Hanzal

+7.31

Derick Brassard

+7.06

Joe Pavelski

+6.69

 

These players are shooting significantly above where they should be, which should also adjust and reduce their per-game value for fantasy.

 

The categories included in the values are G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, SOG, and Hits. Remember: This is NOT a points-only ranking, but a ranking for rotisserie leagues. Here is the December Top 100 Roto…

 

Rank

Name

Overall Value

G

A

Plus/Minus

PIM

SOG

PPP

HITS

SH% 5v5

CH% 5v5

SH% Diff.

1

Alex Ovechkin

168

51

25

8

5

26

27

25

11.39

9.79

1.6

2

Dustin Byfuglien

151

21

25

9

36

19

14

26

8.2

6.29

1.91

3

Jamie Benn

123

36

38

7

11

10

9

12

11.86

12.19

-0.33

4

Evgeni Malkin

121

34

42

3

15

12

28

-15

11.9

11.93

-0.03

5

P.K. Subban

116

15

33

21

15

12

20

0

0

4.35

-4.35

6

John Tavares

113

36

37

12

1

8

19

-1

14

11.12

2.88

7

Erik Karlsson

112

21

39

9

3

18

24

0

9.3

7.21

2.09

8

Tyler Seguin

110

39

38

7

-8

18

17

-1

11.27

10.74

0.53

9

Taylor Hall

110

34

38

12

3

19

5

-1

10.11

8.55

1.56

10

David Backes

108

26

24

4

26

2

2

25

9.52

9.96

-0.44

11

Kevin Shattenkirk

107

13

35

17

6

12

25

0

8.33

4.33

4

12

Kris Letang

103

11

35

1

16

11

15

13

2.04

4.08

-2.04

13

Patrick Kane

103

37

40

20

-8

8

20

-15

10.45

10.43

0.02

14

Sidney Crosby

102

31

42

0

2

9

21

-1

5.66

13.95

-8.29

15

Shea Weber

97

18

25

4

12

10

14

13

2.38

5.24

-2.86

16

Max Pacioretty

96

39

22

16

-1

18

4

-1

7.29

9.31

-2.02

17

Keith Yandle

95

8

32

17

5

14

19

0

0

4.49

-4.49

18

Blake Wheeler

94

28

28

11

7

6

3

12

6.78

9.91

-3.13

19

Zach Parise

94

33

26

16

0

13

8

-1

12.77

8.84

3.93

20

Kyle Okposo

94

28

33

13

3

12

7

-1

8

9.84

-1.84

21

Drew Doughty

94

10

29

12

11

10

10

13

0

5.19

-5.19

22

Nicklas Backstrom

93

20

43

6

1

-1

25

-1

18.75

9.44

9.31

23

Steven Stamkos

93

41

26

1

3

7

16

-1

12.5

15.31

-2.81

24

Dion Phaneuf

93

8

22

-4

30

5

6

26

2.7

4

-1.3

25

Evander Kane

92

32

19

-22

14

27

-3

25

6.12

8.06

-1.94

26

Gabriel Landeskog

91

25

29

1

16

7

1

12

10.64

8.21

2.43

27

Rick Nash

91

39

20

15

0

19

-2

-1

7.69

10.62

-2.93

28

Claude Giroux

91

27

39

-11

2

9

27

-1

12

9.46

2.54

29

Chris Kreider

91

23

19

16

22

2

-3

12

7.69

9.57

-1.88

30

James Neal

90

31

21

7

14

9

9

-1

10

11.02

-1.02

31

Corey Perry

90

38

24

1

14

9

4

-1

4.92

11.9

-6.98

32

Travis Hamonic

90

7

20

10

20

10

-3

26

2.13

2.19

-0.06

33

Connor McDavid

90

31

36

-10

3

9

21

-1

21.43

21.43

0

34

Dougie Hamilton

89

14

27

18

10

16

4

0

4.26

3.64

0.62

35

Mark Giordano

89

15

31

14

9

10

10

0

7.84

4.16

3.68

36

Milan Lucic

88

23

25

-5

24

-2

-4

25

17.5

13.42

4.08

37

Brent Burns

87

19

31

-3

13

7

8

12

8.11

6.09

2.02

38

Justin Faulk

86

17

26

3

0

16

11

13

0

3.91

-3.91

39

Victor Hedman

85

13

32

21

8

8

2

0

2.56

5.92

-3.36

40

Alexander Steen

84

28

31

5

2

8

11

-1

13.79

9.78

4.01

41

Vladimir Tarasenko

84

41

27

14

-2

13

5

-15

13.25

11.81

1.44

42

Brandon Dubinsky

83

20

27

-8

14

5

-1

25

12.5

8.51

3.99

43

Scott Hartnell

83

24

22

-11

31

2

4

12

8.89

9.45

-0.56

44

Wayne Simmonds

83

28

21

-14

22

2

12

12

7.69

9.66

-1.97

45

Radko Gudas

82

3

12

-2

40

0

-10

40

0

2.7

-2.7

46

Nathan MacKinnon

81

29

30

4

-4

18

5

-1

10

7.16

2.84

47

Nick Foligno

81

28

25

-2

11

3

4

12

7.55

9.83

-2.28

48

Nikita Kucherov

81

30

29

15

-2

7

3

-1

9.43

12.55

-3.12

49

Ryan Getzlaf

80

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25

39

3

7

2

6

-1

0

11.86

-11.86

50

John Carlson

80

12

30

17

-3

11

13

0

4.26

5.24

-0.98

51

Tom Wilson

79

8

15

-9

59

-5

-14

25

8

4.29

3.71

52

Joe Pavelski

78

34

24

4

-4

5

16

-1

16.33

9.64

6.69

53

Andrew Ladd

77

25

26

-1

11

3

0

12

8.93

10.31

-1.38

54

Phil Kessel

76

34

31

2

-6

16

13

-15

8.47

10.04

-1.57

55

Ryan Johansen

75

25

33

1

1

5

11

-1

10.2

11.06

-0.86

56

David Perron

75

25

22

-1

12

7

-3

12

4.26

12.26

-8

57

Cody Franson

74

6

27

5

-1

0

12

26

5.88

4.71

1.17

58

Jakub Voracek

74

19

39

-12

8

3

19

-1

0

9.73

-9.73

59

Troy Brouwer

74

20

16

2

11

-5

4

25

4.88

10.77

-5.89

60

Ryan Suter

73

6

29

19

3

6

9

0

7.89

2.81

5.08

61

Henrik Zetterberg

72

18

39

-5

-6

7

19

-1

7.84

7.5

0.34

62

Andrei Markov

72

7

29

20

0

-1

17

0

0

4.61

-4.61

63

Jonathan Toews

72

27

30

15

0

1

0

-1

5.56

13.94

-8.38

64

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

71

19

22

-19

3

18

14

13

5.41

6.37

-0.96

65

Jeff Carter

70

30

27

8

-4

7

3

-1

6.67

9.79

-3.12

66

Patrick Sharp

70

28

27

-8

0

15

8

-1

10.94

9.69

1.25

67

Patric Hornqvist

70

27

24

2

-4

15

7

-1

7.84

7.76

0.08

68

Alex Galchenyuk

69

25

26

15

0

4

1

-1

11.63

11.9

-0.27

69

Matt Niskanen

69

9

27

7

4

5

4

13

2.56

4.42

-1.86

70

T.J. Oshie

69

22

32

6

5

0

5

-1

8.93

10.84

-1.91

71

Roman Josi

69

15

30

6

-2

10

10

0

5.56

6.95

-1.39

72

Derick Brassard

68

21

31

15

-1

-1

6

-1

16.33

9.27

7.06

73

Anders Lee

68

23

21

12

2

2

-6

12

3.64

11.54

-7.9

74

Patrice Bergeron

68

25

27

7

2

7

2

-1

6.15

9.08

-2.93

75

Tyler Johnson

68

27

33

16

-8

3

-1

-1

10

11.15

-1.15

76

Ryan Kesler

67

21

17

-3

15

4

1

12

2.5

9.67

-7.17

77

Alexander Edler

66

9

22

-4

10

7

9

13

7.89

2.91

4.98

78

Matt Martin

66

7

4

2

26

-10

-16

52

6.82

6.84

-0.02

79

Mike Green

66

13

31

-6

5

9

15

0

3.33

6.33

-3

80

Martin Hanzal

66

21

25

-25

15

3

1

25

14.71

7.4

7.31

81

Mark Borowiecki

66

1

9

-6

45

-12

-12

40

0

5.41

-5.41

82

Steve Downie

66

12

10

-19

81

-7

-10

-1

13.33

10.57

2.76

83

Brad Marchand

66

27

19

9

26

-2

-11

-1

8.77

11.58

-2.81

84

Derek Dorsett

66

8

10

-24

85

-9

-16

12

2.63

6.21

-3.58

85

John Klingberg

64

12

35

11

-2

-1

10

0

4.88

11.94

-7.06

86

Ondrej Palat

64

17

36

14

-7

-6

-2

12

0

10.44

-10.44

87

Erik Johnson

64

14

19

-4

7

13

2

13

3.7

4.08

-0.38

88

Tyler Myers

63

11

21

6

22

5

-2

0

5.56

7.05

-1.49

89

Zach Bogosian

63

7

25

-20

23

9

-6

26

5.26

4.8

0.46

90

Duncan Keith

63

10

31

17

-4

11

11

-14

4.55

4.07

0.48

91

Jack Eichel

63

30

25

-11

-2

9

12

-1

6.67

6.67

0

92

Tomas Plekanec

62

24

23

6

1

7

3

-1

4.76

9

-4.24

93

Johnny Boychuk

62

9

19

9

-2

15

-1

13

4.26

3.12

1.14

94

Jacob Trouba

62

10

21

7

12

4

-5

13

5.13

4.92

0.21

95

Eric Staal

62

23

30

-6

7

8

2

-1

3.57

8.46

-4.89

96

Pavel Datsyuk

61

23

35

8

-13

-1

11

-1

8.33

10.6

-2.27

97

Kyle Turris

61

25

29

2

-2

5

3

-1

14.29

8.73

5.56

98

Mats Zuccarello

61

20

28

18

0

-2

-2

-1

23.68

11.14

12.54

99

Filip Forsberg

60

21

30

1

-3

4

9

-1

7.81

9.13

-1.32

100

Mikael Granlund

60

13

34

20

-6

-1

1

-1

5.13

7.37

-2.24

 

Just Missed the Cut: Dylan Larkin, Marian Hossa, Boone Jenner, and Anze Kopitar.

*

Follow Mike McMillan on Twitter (@MikeMcMillanNHL) to talk fantasy hockey and for values specific to your league settings, go to FantasyHockeyGeek.com to get customized rankings. As always, check out DobberHockey.com for daily fantasy hockey analysis.

2 Comments

  1. JF Bessette 2015-12-16 at 21:58

    David Backes with a 2 rating at SOG and PPP is absurd.

    Radko Gudas @ 45 and Tom Wilson @ 51 is WAYYYY more absurd.

    There is definetely too much weight on PIM n HITS.

  2. James T. Paterson 2015-12-18 at 11:11

    Given the weighting used in prior season results, players like Panarin, Larkin, Domi, Duclair, Gostisbehere and the like arent appearing on this listing. Having said that, in your opinion who are their comparables on this list?
    For instance, I’d have Panarin’s prospects higher than those of Hornqvist or Perron based on Team construct, results, and potential (though I realize those aren’t taken into consideration when compiling this Dec list)

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